Substantial-Fit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

2,381

Trades

2,587

lifetime

Volume

$113.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 11-10 04:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 240 days

Categories

Other

81% 99% -$6

Sports

15% 100% +$17

Crypto

3% 97% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes		+6	$6	100¢	$6	+$0	11-10 16:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 00:55
Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	06-18 06:41
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	9	$100	50	50	+0	The Otter Side	$0	05-25 18:11
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$100	50	50	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:37
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	6	$100	50	50	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:10
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:37
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	10	$100	50	50	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:26
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	03-23 13:58
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:47
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 16:02:52	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4c0b9a…
11-10 04:11:10	Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic	Ognjen Milic	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd396e2…
11-10 03:41:40	Pacers vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3fb012…
11-10 02:53:48	Syracuse Orange vs. Indiana Hoosiers	Indiana Hoosiers	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf4c528…
11-09 19:44:52	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Play-In	ILLYRIANS	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x68335a…
11-09 03:28:40	Matsuyama: Masamichi Imamura vs Ryuki Matsuda	Ryuki Matsuda	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x896414…
11-08 19:03:15	Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group C	MASONIC	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x74a0ad…
11-08 18:10:33	Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais	Emile Hudd	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x81e177…
11-08 04:25:49	Rockets vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x96b9e2…
11-08 00:39:12	UT Martin Skyhawks vs. IU Indy Jaguars	IU Indy Jaguars	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47d3ca…
11-07 21:54:00	Lamar Cardinals vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats	Abilene Christian Wildcats	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ef16e…
11-07 19:26:48	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd366c4…
11-07 17:13:40	Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xbcce70…
11-07 16:35:03	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x97cfac…
11-07 16:05:54	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcf08d6…
11-07 14:49:18	Counter-Strike: Lunacy Team vs maybe - Map 2 Winner	Lunacy Team	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1b9e15…
11-07 08:17:49	M15 Hilton Head Island, SC: Raul Garcia vs Max Sheldon	Max Sheldon	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x409904…
11-06 17:04:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd442ae…
11-06 17:04:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4a82fc…
11-06 08:20:36	W100 Incheon: Priska Madelyn Nugroho vs Yeonwoo Ku	Yeonwoo Ku	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x90d870…
11-05 22:18:30	Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group B	maybe	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4bced9…
11-05 22:13:04	Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group B	maybe	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x49b291…
11-05 20:08:34	Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf27672…
11-05 19:42:21	Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x103bf4…
11-05 12:19:51	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	maybe	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcd4f36…
11-05 06:26:28	Heat vs. Clippers	Heat	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb6bde9…
11-02 15:24:07	Villa Maria: Santiago De la Fuente vs Ryo Tabata	Ryo Tabata	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94d108…
11-02 07:02:43	Taipei: Hou Chun Chien vs Kaichi Uchida	Hou Chun Chien	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdc50a6…
11-02 07:02:19	Taipei: Kasidit Samrej vs Omar Jasika	Omar Jasika	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52d590…
11-02 03:53:27	Taipei: Yanki Erel vs Masamichi Imamura	Masamichi Imamura	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x32b30c…
11-01 19:02:18	Counter-Strike: prodigy vs Ducks - Map 2 Winner	prodigy	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7fccb1…
11-01 15:16:21	Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6c9709…
11-01 02:36:46	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x163563…
11-01 01:38:52	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6a9fa4…
11-01 01:09:24	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x016539…
11-01 00:43:15	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc58662…
11-01 00:15:00	Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0eb67c…
11-01 00:05:09	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe79e5c…
10-31 23:20:13	Florida vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x35ac68…
10-31 16:00:21	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x639846…
10-31 00:23:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe45191…
10-30 23:40:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf4c051…
10-30 22:23:49	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Valeriya Strakhova	Tatjana Maria	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xd222cb…
10-30 16:39:18	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf0265d…
10-30 16:19:12	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x457108…
10-30 04:33:54	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9ce31a…
10-29 20:05:15	Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x32fd8c…
10-29 16:56:22	M15 João Pessoa: Nicolas Bruna vs Bastian Malla	Nicolas Bruna	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6788a0…
10-29 15:14:13	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x032ea0…
10-29 14:53:44	M25 Sheffield: Matt Ponchet vs Martin Krumich	Matt Ponchet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf35f2b…
10-28 19:17:17	M25 Norman, OK: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Giles Hussey	Johan Alexander Rodriguez	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x346562…
10-28 15:38:17	W50 Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Ekaterina Dotsenko	Ekaterina Dotsenko	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb0b3b5…
10-27 21:08:24	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x958431…
10-27 13:12:06	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xda69cb…
10-25 22:08:56	Sioux Falls: Cooper Woestendick vs Andrew Fenty	Andrew Fenty	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x740902…
10-25 15:58:05	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x25490d…
10-25 09:30:57	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x423b26…
10-25 04:37:36	Will San Diego FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x669683…
10-24 19:01:00	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf21add…
10-24 16:55:44	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd66913…
10-24 13:22:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x705b1e…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe40085…
10-24 08:54:35	Illawarra Hawks vs. Brisbane Bullets	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc7f131…
10-23 19:57:09	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1a2f72…
10-23 19:42:08	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3963c4…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5e95b5…
10-23 06:10:05	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb78bd3…
10-22 20:17:35	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x009c99…
10-22 20:17:21	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x36901d…
10-22 03:03:08	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xff7ee3…
10-22 03:02:56	Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xbe258d…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6acc84…
10-20 19:44:39	Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x904e1f…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x96d90a…
10-20 18:39:18	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x415a45…
10-20 17:07:15	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe67146…
10-20 15:06:41	Counter-Strike: Revise vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Privateer Gaming	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1c3ead…
10-19 19:19:29	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3f0fa8…
10-19 15:46:36	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbc4647…
10-18 22:40:00	Fort Worth: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Michael Antonius	Michael Antonius	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4e5179…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4b952b…
10-18 15:35:05	European Open, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Gauthier Onclin	Clement Chidekh	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4df515…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9168e6…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x518d3b…
10-17 13:14:09	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xa79796…
10-15 20:32:44	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xf8a4c5…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x98632b…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8fb556…
10-14 12:36:45	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6fd5e9…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x943793…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9ab810…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3658dc…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x94ed62…
10-13 16:29:51	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec04f1…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x783c5f…
10-13 01:33:27	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xfe23df…
10-12 16:35:44	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x40559c…
10-12 09:02:30	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc5ba4f…
10-12 04:54:30	Wuhan Tennis Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Sonay Kartal	Sonay Kartal	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf49b56…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5bc43d…