Substantial-Fit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,666

lifetime

Volume

$76.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-30 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

79% 96% +$2

Sports

16% 100% +$1

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	9	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-25 18:11
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	10	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	6	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-09 07:10
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 21:42
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 01:47
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-23 18:12
fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 goals lionel messi gte2	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	06-17 03:00
will canada win the 2026 world baseball classic	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-14 04:28
lol vitb zybesp 2026 04 09	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-09 19:09
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-17 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-18 18:01
cs2 mouz fut 2026 03 13	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-13 22:03
tur gfk ala 2026 04 04 ala	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-04 17:04
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-25 20:05
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	06-20 05:14
Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Oliynykova (+1.5)	1	$50	50	0	+50	Noskova	+$0	05-09 11:47
codmw tex lat1 2026 06 28	3	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	06-28 15:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:59:26	cs2 alkaa red7 2026 06 30 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x48f434…
06-30 19:16:40	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x47d1c3…
06-30 17:59:55	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x557894…
06-30 10:12:49	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xada504…
06-30 04:26:04	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x161afd…
06-30 04:16:10	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x87b2f6…
06-30 01:45:55	mlb det nyy 2026 06 29 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8cd84e…
06-29 19:22:26	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xacb0c6…
06-29 19:06:14	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa92f39…
06-29 16:05:01	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd3e2ce…
06-29 13:52:40	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd60a3f…
06-29 13:08:34	atp kovacev zandsch 2026 06 29 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa8729c…
06-28 22:02:56	2026 travelers championship top10 matt mccarty	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa28715…
06-28 15:20:46	codmw tex lat1 2026 06 28	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd98e5c…
06-28 15:19:07	codmw tex lat1 2026 06 28	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x77e5a9…
06-28 15:17:47	codmw tex lat1 2026 06 28	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf41a19…
06-28 12:40:19	kbo kt sam 2026 06 28	Samsung Lions	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x48c0bd…
06-28 04:01:04	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd7a941…
06-28 03:00:52	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7d54d6…
06-28 01:32:02	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb31aa9…
06-27 19:17:13	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27 go the distance	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8df010…
06-27 18:05:50	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0b3126…
06-27 14:56:02	codmw tex g2m 2026 06 27	OpTic Texas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbe766d…
06-26 21:05:13	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 corners total 12pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdcdf94…
06-26 18:07:40	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xda6349…
06-26 18:07:37	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa4a721…
06-26 12:36:11	kbo han ssg 2026 06 26	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x334974…
06-26 11:54:01	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x05ffdb…
06-26 08:58:44	val t1a soswee 2026 06 26	T1 Academy	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfd23c2…
06-25 22:21:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf99600…
06-25 02:00:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1a2d4b…
06-25 01:49:31	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xec34dd…
06-25 00:04:46	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x42133b…
06-25 00:02:40	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc9a76a…
06-24 01:00:56	mlb tex mia 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x04d784…
06-23 20:00:56	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x68466e…
06-23 19:03:44	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xa6fcb3…
06-23 19:03:41	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x951505…
06-23 18:25:07	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdd7184…
06-23 12:43:44	kbo sam lg 2026 06 23	LG Twins	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1fef94…
06-20 22:09:07	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa8f1a1…
06-20 21:07:23	wnba sea phx 2026 06 20 total 160pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x93d166…
06-20 20:06:40	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfb0b6d…
06-20 19:13:17	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Marcos Giron	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xced7e9…
06-20 05:14:17	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8c6a50…
06-20 02:55:22	mlb stl kc 2026 06 19 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd7ffff…
06-20 02:40:04	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfbfe12…
06-20 01:49:04	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe612a5…
06-19 15:45:28	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x05a98b…
06-19 15:36:19	r6siege allgam tyloo 2026 06 19	TYLOO	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x84fe41…
06-18 22:59:25	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe5e9a8…
06-18 21:03:52	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 goals granit xhaka gte1	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x54f5bc…
06-17 19:24:37	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts first half	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe32aa8…
06-17 19:17:58	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaeb830…
06-17 19:06:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x173112…
06-17 19:05:32	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1d0712…
06-17 19:04:14	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1040fb…
06-17 17:29:58	atp feldbau gulin 2026 06 17	Kilian Feldbausch	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x326588…
06-17 16:10:17	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x53aa18…
06-17 16:08:10	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x58fb07…
06-17 16:06:19	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xef6aaf…
06-17 03:03:51	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3701d6…
06-17 03:00:39	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x63f281…
06-16 14:06:22	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcb1cf1…
06-16 02:29:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd6636f…
06-15 20:59:19	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x38b987…
06-15 20:58:48	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x496109…
06-15 20:58:40	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc21fb3…
06-15 12:41:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x36dda0…
06-15 01:32:10	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x36e0f3…
06-14 19:57:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa176c8…
06-14 19:23:13	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6c73de…
06-14 19:18:36	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Germany	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5e24b4…
06-14 19:02:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x448365…
06-14 06:25:18	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 corners team home 3pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x383f19…
06-13 11:58:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9c86cd…
06-13 01:55:00	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4db5ca…
06-12 22:03:37	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x08c295…
06-12 21:03:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb753e7…
06-12 20:37:12	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xccac37…
06-12 20:26:48	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8a8bdf…
06-12 20:19:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xac58b9…
06-12 20:17:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1d442c…
06-12 13:30:04	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf0ec27…
06-11 22:13:39	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x789bbe…
06-11 21:15:18	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x049657…
06-11 16:53:30	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1653f7…
06-10 20:16:57	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x127a4b…
06-10 20:05:13	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa99ccf…
06-10 17:57:54	lol es1 anb 2026 06 10 game1	Eintracht Spandau	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x89c675…
06-10 08:29:34	mlbb dewa geek 2026 06 10	Geek Fam ID	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9d541f…
06-08 21:37:12	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaace0f…
06-08 12:03:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x22f993…
06-07 23:59:19	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcde04f…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdb6890…
06-07 19:14:04	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdbe9e1…
06-07 17:39:01	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7d1afe…
06-07 16:59:30	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x65135c…
06-07 00:58:55	crint can2 usa3 2026 06 06	USA	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x101e87…
06-06 23:09:45	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x772ba7…