Rigid-Stepuncle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$295

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,987

lifetime

Volume

$15.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 07-19 22:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 88% +$3

Politics

3% 100% +$291

Other

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 266 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$451	265	265	+0	open	—	05-15 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	6	$324	218	218	+0	open	—	05-15 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$289	199	199	+0	open	—	05-15 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	6	$255	137	134	+3	open	—	05-15 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	7	$252	234	133	+101	open	—	05-15 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	7	$251	214	111	+103	open	—	05-15 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$239	161	161	+0	open	—	05-15 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$232	162	117	+45	open	—	05-15 13:18
btc updown 5m 1772347800	4	$228	127	126	+1	open	—	03-01 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	6	$227	354	81	+274	open	—	05-15 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	5	$203	223	0	+223	open	—	05-15 16:10
btc updown 5m 1772346900	2	$156	98	97	+1	open	—	03-01 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	11	$140	111	111	+0	open	—	05-15 14:09
btc updown 5m 1772358900	2	$138	159	0	+159	open	—	03-01 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	6	$137	93	93	+0	open	—	05-15 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	7	$136	94	69	+26	open	—	05-15 17:04
btc updown 5m 1772373000	2	$135	69	69	+0	open	—	03-01 13:52
btc updown 5m 1772800500	2	$131	82	81	+1	open	—	03-06 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	5	$130	103	74	+29	open	—	05-15 16:49
btc updown 5m 1772358600	2	$129	138	0	+138	open	—	03-01 09:54
btc updown 5m 1772358300	4	$129	134	3	+131	open	—	03-01 09:49
btc updown 5m 1772821500	4	$127	85	77	+8	open	—	03-06 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	7	$125	212	171	+41	open	—	05-15 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$125	148	0	+148	open	—	05-15 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$125	142	0	+142	open	—	05-15 16:53
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	3	$124	102	88	+14	open	—	03-05 21:12
btc updown 5m 1772821800	3	$118	64	61	+2	open	—	03-06 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$114	74	74	+0	open	—	05-15 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	5	$110	71	70	+1	open	—	05-15 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	6	$109	107	6	+101	open	—	05-15 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 22:21:27	btc updown 5m 1784499600	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x84565d…
07-19 22:16:48	btc updown 5m 1784499300	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc6a620…
07-19 22:16:07	btc updown 5m 1784499300	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x253dfd…
07-19 22:16:06	btc updown 5m 1784499300	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xee03f1…
07-19 22:16:06	btc updown 5m 1784499300	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc0b027…
07-19 22:16:04	btc updown 5m 1784499300	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x69c9de…
07-18 23:13:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x63f218…
07-18 23:12:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x46f97f…
07-18 23:10:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd8b2b3…
07-18 23:09:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xce154b…
07-18 23:07:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x298be2…
07-18 22:10:52	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0f2835…
07-18 22:08:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x256ce8…
07-14 16:11:28	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xab2f9f…
07-14 16:11:19	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 extra time	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xf67065…
07-11 20:21:25	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x992cf7…
07-11 20:19:59	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf62af2…
07-09 14:06:32	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbfd75c…
07-03 01:35:59	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x5e7af0…
07-03 01:35:20	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xb2f815…
07-01 18:40:32	btc updown 5m 1782931200	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc59913…
07-01 12:25:58	btc updown 5m 1782908700	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc4765b…
07-01 12:23:14	btc updown 5m 1782908400	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x41c7e5…
07-01 12:22:38	btc updown 5m 1782908400	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4e7ccb…
07-01 12:22:02	btc updown 5m 1782908400	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xeee0aa…
07-01 12:20:16	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb282c2…
06-21 18:44:55	btc updown 5m 1782067200	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x587329…
06-18 15:51:25	btc updown 5m 1781797800	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x532ec5…
06-18 15:49:55	btc updown 5m 1781797500	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1b50c9…
06-18 15:46:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x767f02…
06-17 22:27:13	btc updown 5m 1781735100	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9915b7…
06-17 22:26:31	btc updown 5m 1781735100	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc0ee73…
06-09 14:36:34	btc updown 5m 1781015700	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc39fe1…
06-09 14:33:57	btc updown 5m 1781015400	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x664a8d…
06-09 14:33:22	btc updown 5m 1781015400	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x41a801…
06-09 14:32:37	btc updown 5m 1781015400	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x22bbd7…
06-09 14:31:39	btc updown 5m 1781015400	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x63f010…
06-09 14:30:51	btc updown 5m 1781015400	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x27c4e3…
06-09 14:29:24	btc updown 5m 1781015100	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf93c4…
06-09 14:21:46	btc updown 5m 1781014800	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb9e574…
06-09 14:20:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x174e59…
06-09 14:20:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x521a07…
06-04 14:07:22	btc updown 5m 1780581900	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x664736…
06-04 14:06:57	btc updown 5m 1780581900	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa9977c…
06-04 13:06:52	btc updown 5m 1780578300	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfb28d5…
06-03 20:07:27	btc updown 5m 1780517100	Up	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x99556b…
06-03 20:05:42	btc updown 5m 1780517100	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4a2b65…
06-03 20:00:21	btc updown 5m 1780516800	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x96e80f…
06-03 19:59:15	btc updown 5m 1780516500	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xac50ac…
06-03 19:59:00	btc updown 5m 1780516500	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x55d7d3…
06-03 19:58:13	btc updown 5m 1780516500	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa391de…
06-01 22:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd69766…
06-01 22:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x385b1e…
06-01 22:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x155cfe…
06-01 22:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x17f862…
06-01 22:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbeaaeb…
06-01 22:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xedcd5c…
06-01 22:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x78f29d…
06-01 22:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe6bacc…
06-01 16:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x5cc008…
06-01 16:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf032e3…
06-01 16:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xb69e90…
06-01 16:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x309a29…
06-01 16:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcda783…
06-01 12:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7191b5…
05-28 20:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc6e377…
05-28 20:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8da539…
05-28 19:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa274ce…
05-25 17:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7a9663…
05-25 17:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc98ce1…
05-23 13:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x941845…
05-23 13:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x281dd1…
05-22 05:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe50f4f…
05-21 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe61bde…
05-21 20:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x9424cf…
05-21 20:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x669cb5…
05-21 20:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x6786b9…
05-21 20:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x646ff7…
05-21 20:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xafcf6d…
05-21 20:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x06c38c…
05-21 19:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x116b34…
05-21 19:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc029c4…
05-21 19:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x140a88…
05-21 19:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x301cf3…
05-21 19:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xdf2f95…
05-21 19:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x20c6c4…
05-21 19:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x41d17e…
05-21 19:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa5273b…
05-21 19:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x55411c…
05-21 13:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x501369…
05-21 13:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xbd7fd4…
05-21 12:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	28	97¢	$28	0xc562b1…
05-21 12:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x6fd49c…
05-21 12:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x872f35…
05-21 12:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7c056f…
05-21 12:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x0386be…
05-21 12:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xfc4901…
05-21 12:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x5e788a…
05-21 12:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5aa6e1…
05-21 12:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x8a8136…