Muted-Temporariness — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.3%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

8 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$112

$112 lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-08 06:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$15	16	+16	Up	+$1	05-06 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$15	16	+16	Up	+$1	05-06 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$15	16	+16	Down	+$1	05-07 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$14	16	+16	Down	+$2	05-08 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$14	16	+16	Down	+$2	05-07 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$13	16	+16	Down	+$2	05-07 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$13	16	+16	Down	+$2	05-05 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$13	16	+16	Down	$-13	05-07 02:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 06:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x863abd…
05-07 07:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xc2bc69…
05-07 05:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	85¢	$13	0x8aa3b6…
05-07 03:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x5fd061…
05-07 02:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0xee52b0…
05-06 17:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x857756…
05-06 00:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xb241a8…
05-05 20:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	85¢	$13	0x91d026…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	8	$1.37K	59	05-08 06:50
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	7	$854	72	05-08 06:48
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	7	$694	51	05-08 06:49
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	7	$501	45	05-08 06:49
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	5	$2.59K	36	05-07 07:19
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	5	$1.38K	26	05-08 06:49
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	5	$730	23	05-08 06:49
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	5	$560	14	05-08 06:49