Realized P&L
-$1.46K
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
74.4%
Resolved
1,668
Trades
3,949
lifetime
Volume
$53.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$61
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 21:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 214 days
Categories
Other
68% 52% -$796
Crypto
30% 58% -$590
Politics
1% 38% -$77
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 60% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,610 $10 2¢ $27 +$17 10-12 05:12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +34 $20 62¢ $22 +$2 10-23 23:18
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes -856 -$7 1¢ $-5 +$2 05-13 19:54
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +88 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-21 20:05
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +54 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-27 22:15
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? Yes -71 -$3 1¢ $-1 +$2 05-13 22:09
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +200 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-23 23:20
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-21 20:04
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +249 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 10-21 20:05
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +77 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-23 23:20
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes -114 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$1 05-13 22:09
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-23 23:20
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +167 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-21 20:05
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $0 $0 10-21 20:04
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +122 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-21 20:05
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +13 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-21 20:39