(anonymous) 0x59c35c…ee882f
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Realized P&L
+$48
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
42.4%
Resolved
3
Trades
710
lifetime
Volume
$3.55K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$34
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-12
last 06-09 06:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
53% — —
Other
36% 50% +$12
Sports
10% 100% +$37
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -11 $-10 90¢ $-10 $-0 06-01 05:23
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -61 $-9 16¢ $-10 $-1 05-29 21:14
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-5 68¢ $-5 $-0 05-31 19:25
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -14 $-5 20¢ $-3 +$3 06-01 01:52
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No -2 $-1 74¢ $-2 $-1 06-01 01:58
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -2 $-1 66¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 01:58
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -4 $-1 32¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 01:47
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -19 $-2 4¢ $-1 +$1 06-01 01:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -4 $-1 11¢ $-0 +$0 05-29 09:01
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No -0 $-0 6¢ $-0 +$0 05-28 09:12