(anonymous) 0x59c35c…ee882f
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Realized P&L
+$48
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
42.4%
Resolved
3
Trades
711
lifetime
Volume
$3.55K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$30
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-12
last 06-15 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
53% — —
Other
36% 50% +$12
Sports
10% 100% +$37
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -11 $-10 100¢ $-11 $-2 06-01 05:23
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -61 $-9 16¢ $-10 $-1 05-29 21:14
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-5 72¢ $-5 $-1 05-31 19:25
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No -2 $-1 74¢ $-2 $-1 06-01 01:58
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -19 $-2 6¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 01:59
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No -0 $-0 100¢ $-0 $-0 05-28 09:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -4 $-1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-29 09:01