Realized P&L
+$6.46K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.79K
Hit rate
64.2%
Resolved
81
Trades
2,376
lifetime
Volume
$171.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$72
Open exposure
$28.3K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 11-05 19:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
52% 57% +$5,462
Tech
18% 60% -$791
Sports
17% 53% +$4,702
Politics
13% 20% -$2,916
Crypto
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +7,000 $4,775 62¢ $4.3K -$438 11-05 01:02
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +3,950 $2,824 94¢ $3.7K +$870 07-08 01:51
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +3,094 $2,206 90¢ $2.8K +$594 10-18 23:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +15,000 $4,180 18¢ $2.6K -$1,555 11-05 19:39
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +4,500 $3,600 56¢ $2.5K -$1,102 11-05 15:43
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? No +2,562 $1,607 82¢ $2.1K +$494 10-22 00:10
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? No +4,513 $2,027 44¢ $2.0K -$41 10-20 21:44
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +5,600 $3,399 30¢ $1.7K -$1,691 11-04 19:50
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +40,000 $1,380 3¢ $1.2K -$140 09-10 02:54
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +3,557 $1,312 32¢ $1.1K -$192 10-20 16:12
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +3,000 $2,000 34¢ $1.0K -$980 11-04 16:00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,000 $692 21¢ $846 +$154 11-04 17:18
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,071 $497 60¢ $637 +$141 11-04 13:43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31? Yes +3,000 $1,140 20¢ $585 -$555 10-28 04:04
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $260 2¢ $390 +$130 11-04 18:13
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20,000 $200 1¢ $190 -$10 11-04 23:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +2,450 $547 7¢ $181 -$365 10-29 09:49
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -100 -$29 98¢ $-98 -$69 06-02 19:29
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +100 $74 80¢ $80 +$6 09-04 17:00
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -22,659 -$159 0¢ $-79 +$79 05-11 02:12
Will Kenneth Walker III win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes +455 $101 11¢ $51 -$50 10-27 18:32
Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +3,300 $90 1¢ $26 -$64 09-15 03:15