Droopy-Tragedy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$278

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

230

Trades

253

lifetime

Volume

$3.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 09-02 23:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Sports

48% 53% -$159

Other

43% 52% -$74

Crypto

7% 67% -$51

Tech

2% 100% +$17

Politics

1% 67% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No		+6	$5	97¢	$6	+$1	05-20 04:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$318	318	0	+318	No	+$0	07-13 13:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	09-02 23:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 13:15 UTC	1	$50	82	0	+82	Down	-$50	01-25 13:28
bitcoin above 58k on july 7 2026	2	$46	46	0	+46	Yes	+$0	07-06 20:03
lol al ig1 2026 01 27	1	$41	76	0	+76	Anyone's Legend	+$35	01-27 13:51
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$40	62	0	+62	Knicks	-$40	05-31 15:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 15:15 UTC	2	$40	75	0	+75	Down	-$2	01-25 15:29
lol al blg 2026 02 06	2	$40	54	0	+54	Anyone's Legend	-$40	02-06 11:35
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	2	$37	35	35	+0	No	-$3	07-13 13:45
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	1	$30	44	0	+44	No	-$30	06-21 14:46
lol gen g2 2026 03 21	1	$30	67	0	+67	G2 Esports	-$30	03-21 14:32
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	1	$30	39	0	+39	No	-$30	06-17 00:14
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	1	$30	51	0	+51	Golden Knights	-$30	05-31 15:54
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	2	$30	52	0	+52	Milwaukee Brewers	+$22	09-02 23:04
San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	2	$30	58	0	+58	San Francisco Giants	+$28	09-02 23:04
New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$30	61	0	+61	New York Mets	-$1	09-02 23:06
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	1	$30	43	0	+43	No	-$30	06-21 14:46
mlb mia phi 2026 06 16	1	$30	30	0	+30	Philadelphia Phillies	+$0	06-17 00:14
nba sas mia 2026 03 23	1	$20	30	0	+30	Spurs	+$10	03-21 15:52
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	1	$20	31	0	+31	Yes	+$11	06-21 14:46
mlb sd phi 2026 06 04	1	$20	31	0	+31	Philadelphia Phillies	+$11	06-04 10:12
mlb sf mil 2026 06 04	1	$20	31	0	+31	San Francisco Giants	-$20	06-04 10:12
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	1	$20	31	0	+31	Golden Knights	-$20	05-20 04:11
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	1	$20	57	0	+57	Yes	+$37	07-06 19:57
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$20	37	0	+37	Spurs	-$20	06-04 10:12
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	1	$20	33	0	+33	Yes	+$13	06-25 03:01
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	1	$20	32	0	+32	Yes	+$12	06-21 14:46
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	1	$20	32	0	+32	Hurricanes	+$12	05-07 23:00
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	1	$20	41	0	+41	No	+$21	07-06 19:57
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	1	$20	28	0	+28	Yes	+$8	06-17 00:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 23:07:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x630cb2…
09-02 23:07:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x876cc2…
09-02 23:06:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x04b28a…
09-02 23:06:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xd55460…
09-02 23:06:37	Caribbean Premier League: Trinbago Knight Riders vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons	Trinbago Knight Riders	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x7d60d4…
09-02 23:06:28	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x0b8196…
09-02 23:06:16	New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays	New York Mets	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x906faa…
09-02 23:05:57	US Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Lloyd Harris	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x888b85…
09-02 23:05:37	Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals	Miami Marlins	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x816b21…
09-02 23:05:34	Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x03c832…
09-02 23:05:30	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xd479df…
09-02 23:05:28	Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros	Chicago White Sox	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xc54d65…
09-02 23:05:25	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xabd6b1…
09-02 23:05:21	San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	San Francisco Giants	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x95e2e9…
09-02 23:05:16	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x87f7b9…
09-02 23:05:13	New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x6231aa…
09-02 23:05:09	Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x5c7884…
09-02 23:05:01	Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa71c5b…
09-02 23:04:58	Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7a5e8b…
09-02 23:04:55	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5c624a…
09-02 23:04:48	San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	San Francisco Giants	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x8e5896…
09-02 23:04:16	Will CSD Independiente del Valle win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x388e50…
09-02 23:04:10	Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf2e873…
09-02 23:04:06	Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x435a19…
09-02 23:04:01	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x7bb62a…
09-02 23:03:55	US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x087ded…
09-02 23:03:34	Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-07-25?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x183389…
09-02 23:03:21	US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Donna Vekic	Ann Li	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x9150cd…
09-02 23:03:12	US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech	Iva Jovic	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x202644…
09-02 23:03:04	US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya	Xinyu Wang	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x44ff71…
09-02 23:02:54	US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel	Toby Samuel	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xd79d41…
09-02 23:02:31	San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	San Francisco Giants	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x53ab17…
09-02 23:02:30	New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x307039…
07-19 07:50:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	55¢	$5	0x9843aa…
07-13 13:50:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x5d1953…
07-13 13:50:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xe5654d…
07-13 13:49:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xa1431f…
07-13 13:48:56	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x8968bf…
07-13 13:48:49	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0xf7d3c7…
07-13 13:48:35	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Chicago White Sox	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x43be8e…
07-13 13:48:32	mlb ari stl 2026 06 25	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb4ca9f…
07-13 13:48:25	npb nip fuk 2026 07 14	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x3e742a…
07-13 13:48:20	crint wst2 nzl7 2026 07 13	New Zealand	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x3dc5cf…
07-13 13:48:13	nbasl uta chi 2026 07 13	Utah Jazz	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xe64545…
07-13 13:48:08	nbasl cle mia 2026 07 13	Miami Heat	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe20893…
07-13 13:48:04	Will América FC win on 2026-07-13?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x85b12b…
07-13 13:47:58	wnba la atl 2026 07 13	Atlanta Dream	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x44acd0…
07-13 13:47:53	atp arsenea marti 2026 07 13	Andres Martin	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x09835e…
07-13 13:47:47	wta burel putints 2026 07 13	Clara Burel	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbdaea7…
07-13 13:47:35	atp jong gaubas 2026 07 13	Jesper de Jong	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7933b8…
07-13 13:47:26	atp collign skatov 2026 07 13	Timofey Skatov	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xc6f73b…
07-13 13:47:16	wta penicko thandi 2026 07 13	Karman Thandi	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xaec6c9…
07-13 13:47:10	wta bondar tormo 2026 07 13	Anna Bondar	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x46bb08…
07-13 13:47:05	wta kabbaj perelyg 2026 07 13	Yasmine Kabbaj	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd9eca3…
07-13 13:45:22	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	35	48¢	$17	0x765573…
07-06 20:03:46	bitcoin above 58k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd84e0b…
07-06 20:03:10	mlb sea mia 2026 07 07	Miami Marlins	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaf0d7c…
07-06 20:03:05	mlb atl pit 2026 07 07	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x066ab6…
07-06 20:02:58	mlb nyy tb 2026 07 07	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x1b3978…
07-06 20:02:52	mlb chc bal 2026 07 07	Chicago Cubs	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x522254…
07-06 20:02:43	mlb tor sf 2026 07 06	San Francisco Giants	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe25868…
07-06 20:02:35	mlb mil stl 2026 07 06	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe28611…
07-06 20:02:32	mlb nym atl 2026 07 06	New York Mets	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5464c2…
07-06 20:02:28	mlb hou wsh 2026 07 06	Houston Astros	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x21c165…
07-06 20:02:14	itf yesypch fetecau 2026 07 07	Daria Yesypchuk	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe80f2c…
07-06 20:02:07	atp dedurap tabur 2026 07 07	Clement Tabur	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x218ad1…
07-06 20:02:01	Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xdde882…
07-06 20:01:50	mlb ari sd 2026 07 06	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x3759fa…
07-06 20:01:46	mlb nyy tb 2026 07 06	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x4ed374…
07-06 20:01:40	crict20blast lan der 2026 07 06	Derbyshire	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xd48f0f…
07-06 20:01:35	atp aboian alvare 2026 07 06	Luis Carlos Alvarez	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x5849e3…
07-06 20:01:26	mlb phi kc 2026 07 06	Kansas City Royals	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x54106e…
07-06 20:01:16	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x594e14…
07-06 19:59:01	bitcoin above 58k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xd59839…
07-06 19:57:53	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x17cc4b…
07-06 19:57:47	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x8fc628…
07-06 19:57:44	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xf6dfbc…
07-06 19:57:38	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x44072b…
07-06 19:57:31	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xf69740…
07-06 19:57:20	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x6e7d99…
06-25 03:02:04	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	36	40¢	$14	0xb0f521…
06-25 03:01:46	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xe58ffa…
06-25 03:01:40	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x39e425…
06-25 03:01:34	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x119da9…
06-25 03:01:31	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x47b74d…
06-21 14:47:32	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	FURIA	BUY	33	41¢	$14	0x3cc42e…
06-21 14:47:07	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x0f77f3…
06-21 14:47:04	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x85d36a…
06-21 14:46:56	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xdf5acf…
06-21 14:46:50	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x8bf3d7…
06-21 14:46:43	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x3b7c56…
06-21 14:46:38	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x125f6f…
06-21 14:46:34	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x2ba1df…
06-21 14:46:31	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x725cf9…
06-17 00:15:44	mlb tb lad 2026 06 16	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x8082b1…
06-17 00:15:34	mlb pit oak 2026 06 16	Athletics	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x57ab17…
06-17 00:15:19	mlb cle mil 2026 06 16	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xf5dd6e…
06-17 00:15:01	mlb nym cin 2026 06 16	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x134422…
06-17 00:14:49	mlb kc wsh 2026 06 16	Washington Nationals	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xc87319…
06-17 00:14:40	mlb mia phi 2026 06 16	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7beacd…