Silent-Backdrop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

121

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$1.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-04 04:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

59% 98% +$4

Politics

24% 75% +$1

Crypto

12% 100% +$1

Tech

5% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$122	61	61	+0	No	+$0	10-05 07:50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$118	60	60	+0	No	+$1	09-07 08:15
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	2	$110	55	55	+0	No	+$0	08-13 05:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$102	53	53	+0	No	+$1	08-24 19:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$86	61	61	+0	open	—	11-02 18:24
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	1	$62	62	0	+62	Yes	+$0	11-04 04:04
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	1	$61	61	0	+61	No	+$0	10-06 05:25
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$60	60	0	+60	Yes	+$0	09-10 14:23
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$58	59	0	+59	No	+$1	08-09 14:24
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$57	58	0	+58	No	+$1	08-04 21:12
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$55	56	0	+56	No	+$0	08-14 11:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$55	56	0	+56	No	+$0	08-22 17:18
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$55	56	0	+56	No	+$0	08-13 16:59
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$54	54	0	+54	Yes	+$0	09-22 14:41
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	09-16 00:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	09-14 18:56
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	08-28 03:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$41	42	0	+42	No	+$0	07-31 20:40
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	10-17 12:46
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	1	$39	40	0	+40	No	+$0	02-28 22:13
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$37	58	58	+0	No	+$0	10-17 16:49
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	10-29 13:18
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-29 15:34
will bnb dip to 500 in march	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-31 04:26
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	05-30 09:41
Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$21	22	0	+22	No	+$0	05-13 01:31
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	2	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$0	06-28 10:43
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	04-29 15:59
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	09-23 14:52
will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in february 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-21 06:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 04:04:10	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x1e6841…
11-02 18:24:46	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	61	71¢	$44	0x3da62f…
10-29 13:18:26	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd2ef26…
10-28 21:31:22	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x3f6052…
10-24 02:10:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$0	0xf8dcb4…
10-24 02:10:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0xeb4277…
10-24 02:10:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xe2138d…
10-24 02:10:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x519025…
10-20 10:37:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	61	70¢	$43	0xe108f4…
10-17 16:49:36	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	32¢	$19	0xe2c255…
10-17 12:46:51	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0x819acf…
10-15 13:21:04	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x135947…
10-15 13:21:02	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x7e0f0c…
10-11 18:27:16	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	32¢	$19	0x6502ba…
10-06 05:25:52	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xc074a4…
10-05 07:50:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xaea70e…
09-24 22:57:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0xebded1…
09-23 14:52:46	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb0c65d…
09-22 14:41:06	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x0ffa4a…
09-16 00:08:42	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x6be94f…
09-14 18:56:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x305b01…
09-11 11:56:37	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1842af…
09-10 14:23:37	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x5f1bda…
09-07 08:15:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xbc7dcf…
09-03 13:29:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x30fabc…
08-28 03:05:40	Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x4a26be…
08-27 04:41:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc20bdc…
08-25 14:30:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c6d84…
08-24 19:12:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x79c241…
08-24 07:38:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x94a91d…
08-23 17:39:48	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb902df…
08-23 14:14:30	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in August?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8137d0…
08-22 17:18:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	56	100¢	$55	0x130031…
08-21 10:48:46	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xf84932…
08-21 10:48:46	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0x50df3a…
08-14 11:50:18	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	56	100¢	$55	0xee6440…
08-13 16:59:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	56	100¢	$55	0xca92b4…
08-13 05:06:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x6e76ef…
08-12 16:25:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x1cd579…
08-12 07:36:07	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x57c47b…
08-11 19:43:30	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x704159…
08-09 14:24:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0xdd0704…
08-04 21:12:00	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0xbf1bcd…
07-31 20:40:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	42	100¢	$41	0xfd85e6…
07-31 01:33:36	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6bf8d9…
07-30 19:27:30	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2a01e4…
07-30 04:50:48	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb257d8…
07-28 20:11:07	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x24c5e5…
07-28 02:48:07	will spy dip to 690 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xff7f61…
07-26 04:21:19	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x391ba1…
07-25 23:41:36	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe75ed6…
07-25 17:43:03	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1e188e…
07-24 22:12:28	will xauusd dip to 3300 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xb9686c…
07-24 10:23:21	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6acf39…
07-24 01:31:39	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf944f8…
07-23 16:42:42	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026 444	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe6f34d…
07-22 14:41:00	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe0895e…
07-03 06:53:32	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5af87c…
06-29 15:34:56	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xcfd7c4…
06-28 10:43:26	Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9f5edb…
06-27 14:05:08	Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a7ac7…
06-26 13:09:28	will meta reach 660 in june 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5c38c6…
05-30 09:41:09	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x985695…
05-24 16:00:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c3b51…
05-17 10:40:32	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcdc95a…
05-17 08:59:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x36529c…
05-13 01:31:25	Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0x808fce…
05-11 15:44:11	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0c37df…
05-11 12:24:09	Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8bb211…
05-09 20:53:28	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x612f64…
05-09 18:53:58	Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0187c…
05-09 13:30:27	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1e9fcc…
05-08 08:59:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0d3693…
05-07 22:07:09	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d663e…
05-07 06:38:53	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd38cae…
05-05 18:51:48	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc289c6…
05-05 18:24:14	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xae4f3c…
05-05 16:23:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa5610f…
05-05 11:54:50	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x583dda…
04-29 15:59:20	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x90508a…
04-27 10:38:02	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x232deb…
04-25 07:03:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x231d21…
04-24 07:34:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa7dcae…
04-22 05:46:04	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8f3bd8…
04-21 04:41:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd6ea0b…
04-20 09:34:30	Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbaa75e…
04-20 05:58:14	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0c685b…
04-19 14:51:48	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3d5164…
04-18 17:15:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x4f9617…
04-18 01:14:34	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x46727a…
04-17 11:30:02	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbf3192…
04-17 03:38:52	Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x67d9cf…
04-15 14:12:16	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x92ef42…
04-14 16:19:59	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x2908fd…
04-05 14:50:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x952942…
03-31 04:26:19	will bnb dip to 500 in march	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcfa5a7…
03-30 14:26:13	will bnb reach 700 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf568b…
03-28 18:46:55	will hyperliquid reach 48 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x954a7e…
03-26 08:31:43	will openai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4e7527…
03-25 08:00:51	will bnb reach 1000 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1511c4…