Mad-Waterwheel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$723

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-13 10:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

100% 29% $-36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 10?	1	$330	0	332	-332	No	$-2	05-10 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 7?	2	$295	135	164	-29	Yes	+$4	05-07 20:11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?	2	$53	59	30	+29	Yes	$-19	05-13 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 13?	2	$26	0	29	-29	No	$-3	05-13 10:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 13?	1	$9	60	0	+60	No	$-9	05-12 20:57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 11?	1	$8	21	0	+21	No	$-8	05-10 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 9?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	05-09 12:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 10:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 13?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x5f6cad…
05-13 08:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 13?	No	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0x798c59…
05-13 08:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?	No	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x9129b9…
05-12 20:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x75739b…
05-12 20:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?	No	BUY	59	61¢	$36	0x64b345…
05-10 08:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xbedaf5…
05-10 06:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 10?	No	SELL	332	99¢	$330	0xf5f8d3…
05-09 12:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x056fde…
05-07 20:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	164	100¢	$164	0xf1d1c1…
05-07 14:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	135	97¢	$131	0x653670…