Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$563
$1,534 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$4,018
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 21:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $112 | $112 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $21 | $414 | $393 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $11 | $106 | $95 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Median | 3 | — | $217 | $217 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $90 | $90 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $5 | $11 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $101 | $101 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior-Endpoint 0xa92f…c678 | No | +219 | $212 | $212 | 1 | 05-09 19:28 |
| Substantial-Circulation 0xbdf6…c61b | No | +109 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 05-08 07:44 |
| Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | +57 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-08 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd5e…843d | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x8edc…80d8 | No | +50 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-08 10:39 |
| Glamorous-Fishery 0x8638…2d36 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 00:23 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-09 03:59 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-09 16:29 |
| Insubstantial-Toga 0x2656…a5b8 | Yes | +29 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 01:55 |
| Miserable-Buggy 0xf419…5f89 | Yes | +24 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 10:00 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-09 11:25 |
| Drafty-Timbale 0x0f8e…6e05 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-09 20:13 |
| Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $7 | 2 | 05-09 20:03 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 10:08 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 03:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xe67f…51c5 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 21:24 |
| Guilty-Tension 0x5c3a…58d3 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 00:31 |
| Damp-Ligula 0x26d2…ed55 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 13:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 21:24:52 | (anonymous) 0xe67f…51c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xdfab77… |
| 05-09 20:13:21 | Drafty-Timbale 0x0f8e…6e05 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x3e35e4… |
| 05-09 20:03:23 | Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb3fcd4… |
| 05-09 19:28:12 | Junior-Endpoint 0xa92f…c678 | No | BUY | 219 | 97¢ | $212 | 0xba56f4… |
| 05-09 18:35:25 | Extraneous-Surprise 0x9ea2…665a | Yes | SELL | 120 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x0ace49… |
| 05-09 18:25:46 | Bustling-Abundance 0xc553…a7bd | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x030a9f… |
| 05-09 16:29:34 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x3377a4… |
| 05-09 14:44:00 | Critical-Herring 0x3b82…b217 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xd55d87… |
| 05-09 13:58:18 | Damp-Ligula 0x26d2…ed55 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x266242… |
| 05-09 12:00:07 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x08e4ec… |
| 05-09 12:00:05 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2ad3df… |
| 05-09 11:25:12 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x36494d… |
| 05-09 09:30:19 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6f2241… |
| 05-09 08:10:03 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x176d3a… |
| 05-09 08:10:01 | Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x43f104… |
| 05-09 03:59:50 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x23d106… |
| 05-09 03:59:50 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x423377… |
| 05-09 03:15:44 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0xa14585… |
| 05-09 01:55:16 | Insubstantial-Toga 0x2656…a5b8 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xa7c9d8… |
| 05-09 00:31:19 | Guilty-Tension 0x5c3a…58d3 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x70d473… |
| 05-09 00:23:55 | Glamorous-Fishery 0x8638…2d36 | No | BUY | 33 | 89¢ | $30 | 0x0201ca… |
| 05-08 23:01:15 | (anonymous) 0xbd5e…843d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xabbda1… |
| 05-08 21:00:58 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 57 | 87¢ | $50 | 0xe08450… |
| 05-08 10:39:40 | (anonymous) 0x8edc…80d8 | No | BUY | 50 | 80¢ | $40 | 0x5e9bcf… |
| 05-08 10:08:05 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x5e2e1e… |
| 05-08 10:00:51 | Miserable-Buggy 0xf419…5f89 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xf1d437… |
| 05-08 07:49:26 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1e4def… |
| 05-08 07:44:40 | Substantial-Circulation 0xbdf6…c61b | No | BUY | 109 | 87¢ | $95 | 0xf2da5e… |
| 05-08 06:59:47 | Complete-Race-Perpendicular 0xdaeb…0d2f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x07b8e1… |