Extraneous-Surprise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.86K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.1%

Resolved

961

Trades

9,283

lifetime

Volume

$113.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-28 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Other

100% 29% +$8,856

Politics

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 29?	32	$1.3K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	+$468	08-29 14:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?	17	$1.3K	2,466	1,548	+918	Yes	+$1,125	09-23 13:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21?	23	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$43	09-21 17:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?	48	$1.3K	1,909	1,259	+650	Yes	+$902	06-26 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?	38	$1.2K	3,742	2,174	+1,569	Yes	+$2,654	06-23 16:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on August 29?	41	$1.1K	5,185	5,185	+0	No	+$69	08-29 12:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?	12	$1.1K	1,480	1,020	+459	No	-$201	10-15 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27?	33	$1.1K	1,510	1,176	+334	Yes	+$628	09-27 14:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 18?	11	$1.1K	1,859	1,859	-0	No	-$58	07-18 11:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	19	$1.0K	1,616	0	+1,616	Yes	+$601	10-25 09:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?	15	$949	1,159	794	+365	Yes	+$797	10-13 15:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29?	21	$933	2,042	2,042	+0	No	-$33	09-29 06:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?	18	$898	1,211	1,119	+93	Yes	+$154	09-30 13:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 5?	29	$851	1,600	867	+733	No	-$4	10-05 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	34	$833	1,800	823	+977	Yes	+$1,419	10-18 20:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?	19	$826	936	373	+563	Yes	+$451	07-22 17:18
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 19?	8	$755	1,382	604	+777	Yes	+$872	10-20 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 19?	32	$733	754	754	+0	Yes	+$378	09-19 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 11?	15	$722	500	500	+0	Yes	+$146	10-11 12:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	5	$719	500	500	-0	Yes	+$195	10-26 22:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?	10	$687	500	500	+0	Yes	+$95	06-24 13:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 3?	9	$676	1,060	553	+508	Yes	+$288	10-03 10:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?	31	$656	1,670	464	+1,205	No	-$138	10-12 16:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?	16	$656	1,110	653	+458	Yes	+$412	09-27 12:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 3?	14	$632	1,255	508	+747	No	-$114	10-03 16:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?	11	$632	1,430	0	+1,430	Yes	+$798	07-15 13:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 13?	19	$621	805	200	+605	Yes	+$116	09-13 12:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 17?	13	$598	500	500	+0	Yes	+$198	10-17 14:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 13?	20	$584	2,153	1,345	+807	No	+$429	07-13 12:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 16?	9	$575	938	385	+553	Yes	+$280	10-16 07:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	312	26¢	$80	0xafd563…
10-28 13:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x86f3b1…
10-28 13:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	88	26¢	$23	0x6e19a3…
10-28 13:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x48385c…
10-28 13:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	41	8¢	$3	0x4372c6…
10-28 13:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0x4600de…
10-28 12:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8c696e…
10-28 11:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd760ef…
10-28 11:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x7be546…
10-28 11:35:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x8184cd…
10-28 11:35:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x2ffe24…
10-28 11:35:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	21	36¢	$7	0x578f0f…
10-28 11:19:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc11852…
10-28 11:19:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x622aff…
10-28 11:13:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x9a7cad…
10-28 11:13:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x912f18…
10-28 11:13:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xd7ae20…
10-28 11:13:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x29464b…
10-28 11:13:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc7495b…
10-28 11:13:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x42f0c2…
10-28 11:00:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xc4e2bc…
10-28 10:59:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xaa7416…
10-28 10:59:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xc0b63f…
10-28 10:59:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	48	8¢	$4	0x4b10a3…
10-28 10:59:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0x1d5240…
10-28 10:58:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	441	36¢	$157	0x0997c3…
10-28 10:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	500	44¢	$222	0xd6ef30…
10-28 10:52:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x7edfb8…
10-28 10:51:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	389	22¢	$84	0x77c734…
10-28 10:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	54	41¢	$22	0xb2eef1…
10-28 08:37:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x50729c…
10-28 06:03:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	298	14¢	$41	0x4f1706…
10-28 05:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xbe4fb0…
10-28 05:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xb59756…
10-28 05:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x2e2d0e…
10-28 05:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x02e263…
10-28 05:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xf661ca…
10-28 05:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	500	41¢	$205	0xf50f20…
10-28 05:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xb8ec73…
10-28 05:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xb48365…
10-28 05:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x148d9e…
10-28 05:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x5c29f7…
10-28 05:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	828	6¢	$50	0x96a4a6…
10-28 05:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x714c82…
10-28 05:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x6db4e1…
10-28 05:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	105	30¢	$32	0xd7e573…
10-28 05:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	195	30¢	$58	0x81f9a8…
10-28 05:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	500	57¢	$283	0xace373…
10-27 23:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xf6ec50…
10-27 23:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x951147…
10-27 23:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	77	2¢	$2	0x7ab80b…
10-27 23:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$1	0x2c457d…
10-27 23:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x244190…
10-27 23:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x1aaf3b…
10-27 23:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x02a505…
10-27 22:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf29c52…
10-27 22:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xb4e386…
10-27 22:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x0aaece…
10-27 22:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x15d4d0…
10-27 22:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xe766f5…
10-27 21:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x51a472…
10-27 21:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	41	16¢	$7	0xbef43c…
10-27 20:59:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6ca047…
10-27 20:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	269	1¢	$3	0x7cd7f0…
10-27 20:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x7b8d8c…
10-27 20:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x4fff76…
10-27 20:20:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	341	16¢	$54	0xc8ac29…
10-27 20:20:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x52717b…
10-27 20:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	169	25¢	$42	0x5bfa9f…
10-27 19:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	400	35¢	$140	0xfcd2f4…
10-27 19:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xaa7ca5…
10-27 13:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x9673fa…
10-27 13:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	290	91¢	$263	0x50e76e…
10-27 13:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	36	89¢	$32	0x4241d3…
10-27 13:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x748cdd…
10-27 13:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0xcc9518…
10-27 13:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0x14a1a4…
10-27 13:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	34	89¢	$30	0xed13ce…
10-27 13:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x27b86b…
10-27 13:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x6ffe25…
10-27 11:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x421bb1…
10-27 10:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x9563e4…
10-27 10:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x61ac43…
10-27 10:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x502158…
10-27 10:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	544	2¢	$11	0x993e27…
10-27 10:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	149	35¢	$52	0x6ef0b2…
10-27 10:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xbebbb5…
10-27 10:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x391251…
10-27 10:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x361ed1…
10-27 10:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x900071…
10-27 09:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xfa1f66…
10-27 08:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xe62b75…
10-27 08:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x3d7cb7…
10-27 08:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x98c22c…
10-27 08:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xcc7368…
10-27 08:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xa0c4e0…
10-27 08:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x969c31…
10-27 07:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xfc1f7e…
10-27 07:31:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	25	34¢	$9	0x3c9e4a…
10-27 07:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x8ac89b…