Extraneous-Surprise — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$1.20K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.5%

Resolved (30d)

255

Trades (30d)

2,286

9,793 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$47.4K

$121.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-31 08:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 171 days

Categories

Other

100% 29% +$9,279

Politics

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	36	$1.6K	2,600	1,337	+1,263	Yes	+$1,066	10-30 14:52
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 29?	32	$1.3K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	+$468	08-29 14:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?	17	$1.3K	2,466	1,548	+918	Yes	+$1,125	09-23 13:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21?	23	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$43	09-21 17:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?	48	$1.3K	1,909	1,259	+650	Yes	+$902	06-26 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?	38	$1.2K	3,742	2,174	+1,569	Yes	+$2,654	06-23 16:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on August 29?	41	$1.1K	5,185	5,185	+0	No	+$69	08-29 12:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?	12	$1.1K	1,480	1,020	+459	No	-$201	10-15 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27?	33	$1.1K	1,510	1,176	+334	Yes	+$628	09-27 14:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 18?	11	$1.1K	1,859	1,859	-0	No	-$58	07-18 11:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	19	$1.0K	1,616	0	+1,616	Yes	+$601	10-25 09:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?	15	$949	1,159	794	+365	Yes	+$797	10-13 15:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29?	21	$933	2,042	2,042	+0	No	-$33	09-29 06:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?	18	$898	1,211	1,119	+93	Yes	+$154	09-30 13:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 5?	29	$851	1,600	867	+733	No	-$4	10-05 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	34	$833	1,800	823	+977	Yes	+$1,419	10-18 20:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?	19	$826	936	373	+563	Yes	+$451	07-22 17:18
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 19?	8	$755	1,382	604	+777	Yes	+$872	10-20 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 19?	32	$733	754	754	+0	Yes	+$378	09-19 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 11?	15	$722	500	500	+0	Yes	+$146	10-11 12:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	5	$719	500	500	-0	Yes	+$195	10-26 22:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?	10	$687	500	500	+0	Yes	+$95	06-24 13:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 3?	9	$676	1,060	553	+508	Yes	+$288	10-03 10:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?	31	$656	1,670	464	+1,205	No	-$138	10-12 16:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?	16	$656	1,110	653	+458	Yes	+$412	09-27 12:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 3?	14	$632	1,255	508	+747	No	-$114	10-03 16:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?	11	$632	1,430	0	+1,430	Yes	+$798	07-15 13:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 13?	19	$621	805	200	+605	Yes	+$116	09-13 12:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 17?	13	$598	500	500	+0	Yes	+$198	10-17 14:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 13?	20	$584	2,153	1,345	+807	No	+$429	07-13 12:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 09:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x11b6d3…
10-31 08:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	813	33¢	$267	0x77e0f7…
10-31 08:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	69	51¢	$35	0xc256c1…
10-31 08:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9aaf7a…
10-31 08:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1c6f02…
10-31 08:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4d1ba6…
10-31 07:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xec32f0…
10-31 07:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x196188…
10-31 07:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0xe017f3…
10-31 07:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	207	1¢	$2	0x8809b3…
10-31 07:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	318	5¢	$17	0xeb7680…
10-31 07:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf90b36…
10-31 07:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	201	24¢	$48	0x7e2da3…
10-31 07:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	99	24¢	$24	0x538938…
10-31 06:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	166	9¢	$14	0x967466…
10-31 06:47:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	953	2¢	$21	0x18b3c6…
10-31 06:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	406	4¢	$17	0xa1c46d…
10-31 06:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x985220…
10-31 06:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x97eb5a…
10-31 06:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x57a343…
10-31 06:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x40b10c…
10-31 06:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x1ad99a…
10-31 05:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x920760…
10-31 05:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x196140…
10-31 05:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0xdc2b57…
10-31 05:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x84a7a7…
10-31 05:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5e0bda…
10-31 05:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5de09c…
10-31 05:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x29e174…
10-31 05:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x1cf494…
10-31 05:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x71951a…
10-31 05:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x647452…
10-31 04:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7b5870…
10-31 04:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x89d6fa…
10-31 04:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	47	60¢	$28	0x6af19f…
10-31 02:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x7b7284…
10-31 02:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xf3ad0a…
10-31 02:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x6717a8…
10-31 02:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x3b204f…
10-31 02:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xbabfd2…
10-31 01:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on October 31?	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$6	0x154a6d…
10-31 01:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xc614eb…
10-31 01:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on October 31?	Yes	BUY	268	2¢	$5	0x6578db…
10-31 00:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x03c6e8…
10-31 00:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xc3d3ba…
10-31 00:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on October 31?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x45cfab…
10-31 00:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe08d3b…
10-30 23:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x893877…
10-30 23:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	700	11¢	$80	0xc3329c…
10-30 23:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x32c0f8…
10-30 23:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0x3af894…
10-30 23:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	292	33¢	$97	0xc9f586…
10-30 23:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x6a3529…
10-30 23:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x58beb0…
10-30 23:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xcf875e…
10-30 23:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0x8e26b3…
10-30 23:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	397	54¢	$213	0xf12ef6…
10-30 23:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xc5be9f…
10-30 23:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x06afdd…
10-30 23:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	67	57¢	$38	0xc3b424…
10-30 22:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x90ea80…
10-30 22:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	574	2¢	$9	0x9efc66…
10-30 22:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x4a0140…
10-30 22:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	490	3¢	$14	0x087715…
10-30 22:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x3e3a7e…
10-30 22:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	38	60¢	$23	0xbccf74…
10-30 22:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on October 31?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x3b5edd…
10-30 22:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x1d84b7…
10-30 22:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on October 31?	Yes	BUY	281	1¢	$3	0xf60d51…
10-30 22:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on October 31?	Yes	BUY	71	2¢	$1	0x6df839…
10-30 22:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	484	12¢	$56	0xcd1d76…
10-30 22:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	216	12¢	$26	0x1acdbc…
10-30 22:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0x3aa4c4…
10-30 22:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x6c6a37…
10-30 22:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	111	3¢	$3	0xd8b279…
10-30 22:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	370	38¢	$139	0xd17579…
10-30 22:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x71624a…
10-30 22:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xa9603e…
10-30 21:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	384	40¢	$153	0xde10d3…
10-30 21:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xb0aed2…
10-30 21:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x465fb8…
10-30 21:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0xd6a8e8…
10-30 20:17:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	800	52¢	$413	0xdc07ba…
10-30 20:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xce3071…
10-30 20:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x6ffdd6…
10-30 20:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x12613a…
10-30 20:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	372	11¢	$39	0x8361c4…
10-30 19:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x1fc029…
10-30 19:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x0b8e48…
10-30 18:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x14518b…
10-30 18:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xc28d2c…
10-30 18:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xdd5de7…
10-30 18:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xcb4245…
10-30 18:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	476	6¢	$27	0x709516…
10-30 17:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	62	7¢	$4	0x0fbfbe…
10-30 17:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xd7155f…
10-30 17:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x8b1d0c…
10-30 17:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xc65ee6…
10-30 17:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x975624…
10-30 17:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x18233c…