Extraneous-Surprise — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.3%

Resolved (30d)

248

Trades (30d)

2,208

9,680 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$45.8K

$118.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-30 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 170 days

Categories

Other

100% 29% +$9,025

Politics

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 191 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	36	$1.6K	2,600	1,337	+1,263	open	—	10-30 14:52
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 29?	32	$1.3K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	+$468	08-29 14:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?	17	$1.3K	2,466	1,548	+918	Yes	+$1,125	09-23 13:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21?	23	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$43	09-21 17:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?	48	$1.3K	1,909	1,259	+650	Yes	+$902	06-26 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?	38	$1.2K	3,742	2,174	+1,569	Yes	+$2,654	06-23 16:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on August 29?	41	$1.1K	5,185	5,185	+0	No	+$69	08-29 12:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?	12	$1.1K	1,480	1,020	+459	No	-$201	10-15 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27?	33	$1.1K	1,510	1,176	+334	Yes	+$628	09-27 14:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 18?	11	$1.1K	1,859	1,859	-0	No	-$58	07-18 11:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	19	$1.0K	1,616	0	+1,616	Yes	+$601	10-25 09:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?	15	$949	1,159	794	+365	Yes	+$797	10-13 15:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29?	21	$933	2,042	2,042	+0	No	-$33	09-29 06:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?	18	$898	1,211	1,119	+93	Yes	+$154	09-30 13:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 5?	29	$851	1,600	867	+733	No	-$4	10-05 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	34	$833	1,800	823	+977	Yes	+$1,419	10-18 20:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?	19	$826	936	373	+563	Yes	+$451	07-22 17:18
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 19?	8	$755	1,382	604	+777	Yes	+$872	10-20 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 19?	32	$733	754	754	+0	Yes	+$378	09-19 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 11?	15	$722	500	500	+0	Yes	+$146	10-11 12:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	5	$719	500	500	-0	Yes	+$195	10-26 22:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?	10	$687	500	500	+0	Yes	+$95	06-24 13:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 3?	9	$676	1,060	553	+508	Yes	+$288	10-03 10:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?	31	$656	1,670	464	+1,205	No	-$138	10-12 16:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?	16	$656	1,110	653	+458	Yes	+$412	09-27 12:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 3?	14	$632	1,255	508	+747	No	-$114	10-03 16:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?	11	$632	1,430	0	+1,430	Yes	+$798	07-15 13:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 13?	19	$621	805	200	+605	Yes	+$116	09-13 12:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 17?	13	$598	500	500	+0	Yes	+$198	10-17 14:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 13?	20	$584	2,153	1,345	+807	No	+$429	07-13 12:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x8bafdb…
10-30 16:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xcdf775…
10-30 16:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x68fde4…
10-30 15:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x39688e…
10-30 15:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xa0bbdc…
10-30 15:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xbe1a35…
10-30 15:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5c9574…
10-30 15:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x8b82a6…
10-30 15:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x5615af…
10-30 15:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x36f869…
10-30 15:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x84ceba…
10-30 15:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x1d0c48…
10-30 15:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x07f654…
10-30 15:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x241ede…
10-30 15:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5d5e6b…
10-30 15:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x313a4d…
10-30 15:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xa97330…
10-30 15:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x010a2b…
10-30 15:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	344	41¢	$141	0xceee0a…
10-30 15:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	56	42¢	$23	0xccdeb0…
10-30 15:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	413	55¢	$227	0x4d0a86…
10-30 14:52:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x99543e…
10-30 14:52:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	44	89¢	$39	0x1106c1…
10-30 14:52:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x6b610a…
10-30 14:51:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	45	89¢	$40	0xbe6133…
10-30 13:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x157cdd…
10-30 13:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x333a24…
10-30 13:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	377	30¢	$112	0x18d94c…
10-30 13:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xbf1dae…
10-30 13:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x3dc2d1…
10-30 13:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x226179…
10-30 13:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x0c0c1a…
10-30 13:28:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	62	68¢	$42	0x9379e4…
10-30 13:26:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	137	68¢	$93	0x838760…
10-30 13:20:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	55	41¢	$22	0x2654c6…
10-30 13:09:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	25	41¢	$10	0x5adfde…
10-30 13:09:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x034f81…
10-30 12:16:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa8350a…
10-30 12:16:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x28311f…
10-30 11:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xad7c55…
10-30 11:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x0d283e…
10-30 11:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x770c76…
10-30 11:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x2e7699…
10-30 11:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8dba74…
10-30 11:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x0dc57d…
10-30 11:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x5be389…
10-30 11:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x206aa0…
10-30 11:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1263ae…
10-30 11:36:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x1944e8…
10-30 11:31:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	86	52¢	$45	0xe1b347…
10-30 11:29:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0x0e5e6b…
10-30 11:28:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x9ae523…
10-30 11:28:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x5b8a78…
10-30 11:28:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	170	51¢	$88	0xc7f650…
10-30 11:28:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xd63c03…
10-30 11:28:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x521d52…
10-30 11:08:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x840bd0…
10-30 11:08:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x5a2e2c…
10-30 11:08:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	37	45¢	$17	0xdd9a8f…
10-30 11:08:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xcd5662…
10-30 10:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0xa74558…
10-30 10:17:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0x4aab9f…
10-30 10:15:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe9268f…
10-30 10:15:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x95c702…
10-30 10:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x11827f…
10-30 09:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x8f355f…
10-30 09:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xeb42fc…
10-30 09:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x9e157c…
10-30 09:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x45a48b…
10-30 09:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	65	39¢	$25	0xd4eb06…
10-30 09:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x8a2770…
10-30 09:10:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x30b4db…
10-30 09:10:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xb3cc8d…
10-30 09:10:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb6f766…
10-30 09:10:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xf8130a…
10-30 09:06:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x523953…
10-30 09:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x46fed0…
10-30 09:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xfa21fd…
10-30 09:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xf32f80…
10-30 09:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x00951b…
10-30 09:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x867c1a…
10-30 09:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x498457…
10-30 09:04:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf1fdd8…
10-30 09:04:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8c5f64…
10-30 09:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xfff4cb…
10-30 09:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x97bf5c…
10-30 09:03:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc22a64…
10-30 08:34:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x86f2c1…
10-30 08:25:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x9df61e…
10-30 08:25:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	375	33¢	$123	0xc5751e…
10-30 08:25:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x18fd21…
10-30 08:25:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	79	2¢	$1	0x15bdec…
10-30 08:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	33	10¢	$3	0xba8f65…
10-30 08:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xc2b31b…
10-30 08:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0xfc11d2…
10-30 08:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0xf03c4c…
10-30 08:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x31e494…
10-30 07:41:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x7b5515…
10-30 07:37:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x933d5b…
10-30 07:36:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x6fae08…