Extraneous-Surprise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.74K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

1,017

Trades

10,118

lifetime

Volume

$124.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 11-01 14:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 172 days

Categories

Other

100% 29% +$8,739

Politics

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 286 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	36	$1.6K	2,600	1,337	+1,263	Yes	+$1,066	10-30 14:52
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 29?	32	$1.3K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	+$468	08-29 14:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?	17	$1.3K	2,466	1,548	+918	Yes	+$1,125	09-23 13:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21?	23	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$43	09-21 17:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?	48	$1.3K	1,909	1,259	+650	Yes	+$902	06-26 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?	38	$1.2K	3,742	2,174	+1,569	Yes	+$2,654	06-23 16:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on August 29?	41	$1.1K	5,185	5,185	+0	No	+$69	08-29 12:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?	12	$1.1K	1,480	1,020	+459	No	-$201	10-15 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27?	33	$1.1K	1,510	1,176	+334	Yes	+$628	09-27 14:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 18?	11	$1.1K	1,859	1,859	-0	No	-$58	07-18 11:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	19	$1.0K	1,616	0	+1,616	Yes	+$601	10-25 09:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?	15	$949	1,159	794	+365	Yes	+$797	10-13 15:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29?	21	$933	2,042	2,042	+0	No	-$33	09-29 06:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?	18	$898	1,211	1,119	+93	Yes	+$154	09-30 13:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 5?	29	$851	1,600	867	+733	No	-$4	10-05 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	34	$833	1,800	823	+977	Yes	+$1,419	10-18 20:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?	19	$826	936	373	+563	Yes	+$451	07-22 17:18
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 19?	8	$755	1,382	604	+777	Yes	+$872	10-20 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 19?	32	$733	754	754	+0	Yes	+$378	09-19 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 11?	15	$722	500	500	+0	Yes	+$146	10-11 12:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	5	$719	500	500	-0	Yes	+$195	10-26 22:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?	10	$687	500	500	+0	Yes	+$95	06-24 13:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 3?	9	$676	1,060	553	+508	Yes	+$288	10-03 10:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?	31	$656	1,670	464	+1,205	No	-$138	10-12 16:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?	16	$656	1,110	653	+458	Yes	+$412	09-27 12:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 3?	14	$632	1,255	508	+747	No	-$114	10-03 16:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?	11	$632	1,430	0	+1,430	Yes	+$798	07-15 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 31?	35	$629	1,413	400	+1,013	No	-$249	10-31 10:56
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 13?	19	$621	805	200	+605	Yes	+$116	09-13 12:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 17?	13	$598	500	500	+0	Yes	+$198	10-17 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 16:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0x8e83b6…
11-01 16:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xfa3345…
11-01 16:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcdb324…
11-01 16:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	300	30¢	$91	0xf83f5d…
11-01 16:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	60	46¢	$28	0xb2917a…
11-01 16:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	345	9¢	$30	0x2777db…
11-01 14:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xd6c077…
11-01 14:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	251	14¢	$35	0xa94eca…
11-01 14:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	47	13¢	$6	0x21ad09…
11-01 14:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	160	17¢	$27	0xf2df14…
11-01 14:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	240	18¢	$43	0x2ad1e3…
11-01 12:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa7f4f1…
11-01 12:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2d77c5…
11-01 12:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x39935f…
11-01 12:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x3f530d…
11-01 12:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	60	14¢	$9	0x058b4b…
11-01 12:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x84c125…
11-01 12:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x8dd28b…
11-01 12:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xc99aaf…
11-01 12:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	133	10¢	$13	0x86d23e…
11-01 12:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$3	0x925991…
11-01 11:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	35	10¢	$3	0x383858…
11-01 11:56:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x53209f…
11-01 11:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x8ea2cc…
11-01 11:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x55c7f2…
11-01 11:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0x56b47f…
11-01 11:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xeb536c…
11-01 11:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0xc8ae7d…
11-01 11:41:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x86dc2b…
11-01 11:41:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x487190…
11-01 11:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	34	64¢	$22	0xed907b…
11-01 11:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x42b07d…
11-01 11:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x236434…
11-01 11:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0xe134db…
11-01 11:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	150	70¢	$104	0x1e7a0a…
11-01 11:24:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	253	3¢	$8	0xd09a50…
11-01 11:24:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0xb95ae3…
11-01 11:21:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0xdb0969…
11-01 11:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	45	64¢	$29	0x4ad764…
11-01 11:18:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x2bf327…
11-01 11:11:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0xb176aa…
11-01 11:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	105	33¢	$35	0xa779cd…
11-01 11:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xe5fe2b…
11-01 11:00:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	80	70¢	$56	0x3e24e2…
11-01 10:59:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x8e5820…
11-01 10:59:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x402d84…
11-01 10:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0x1224cc…
11-01 10:59:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xff7545…
11-01 10:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x777b1b…
11-01 10:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	11	75¢	$9	0x885468…
11-01 10:53:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x24c9a5…
11-01 10:53:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xf7ac96…
11-01 10:53:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x8acd93…
11-01 10:53:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0x63bc02…
11-01 10:53:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x286d96…
11-01 10:53:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0f0b18…
11-01 10:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xe86113…
11-01 10:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x030296…
11-01 10:50:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd69d9b…
11-01 10:48:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x625966…
11-01 10:43:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	67	50¢	$34	0x1bc027…
11-01 10:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x47345a…
11-01 08:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x82d310…
11-01 08:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	280	2¢	$5	0x852644…
11-01 08:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x51edcd…
11-01 08:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xede97e…
11-01 08:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x8b0860…
11-01 08:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x3d6c52…
11-01 08:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	505	1¢	$6	0xe2b3f5…
11-01 08:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xbc2051…
11-01 08:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x52140f…
11-01 08:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe34205…
11-01 08:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x02dd19…
11-01 08:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x99a4a4…
11-01 08:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x63b0d9…
11-01 08:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x279d8e…
11-01 08:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa99071…
11-01 08:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xcd2e42…
11-01 08:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x8ef727…
11-01 08:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x5d4652…
11-01 07:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x23a397…
11-01 07:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x732f95…
11-01 07:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2f5532…
11-01 07:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfa0567…
11-01 07:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x100809…
11-01 07:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3ea9cf…
11-01 06:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	62	28¢	$17	0x7f1c89…
11-01 06:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x769a7a…
11-01 06:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x3d9ae1…
11-01 06:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x59efeb…
11-01 06:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	329	28¢	$92	0x577c6f…
10-31 23:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	45	13¢	$6	0x5e8fed…
10-31 23:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x086a58…
10-31 23:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xc3b721…
10-31 23:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x1d792f…
10-31 23:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xee7f24…
10-31 23:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x08c4cc…
10-31 23:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	48	13¢	$6	0x6614d4…
10-31 22:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xbd3b8e…
10-31 22:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x6324a8…