Extraneous-Surprise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.74K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

1,017

Trades

10,033

lifetime

Volume

$123.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-31 23:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 172 days

Categories

Other

100% 29% +$8,739

Politics

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 286 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	36	$1.6K	2,600	1,337	+1,263	Yes	+$1,066	10-30 14:52
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 29?	32	$1.3K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	+$468	08-29 14:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?	17	$1.3K	2,466	1,548	+918	Yes	+$1,125	09-23 13:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21?	23	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$43	09-21 17:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?	48	$1.3K	1,909	1,259	+650	Yes	+$902	06-26 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?	38	$1.2K	3,742	2,174	+1,569	Yes	+$2,654	06-23 16:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on August 29?	41	$1.1K	5,185	5,185	+0	No	+$69	08-29 12:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?	12	$1.1K	1,480	1,020	+459	No	-$201	10-15 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27?	33	$1.1K	1,510	1,176	+334	Yes	+$628	09-27 14:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 18?	11	$1.1K	1,859	1,859	-0	No	-$58	07-18 11:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	19	$1.0K	1,616	0	+1,616	Yes	+$601	10-25 09:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?	15	$949	1,159	794	+365	Yes	+$797	10-13 15:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29?	21	$933	2,042	2,042	+0	No	-$33	09-29 06:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?	18	$898	1,211	1,119	+93	Yes	+$154	09-30 13:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 5?	29	$851	1,600	867	+733	No	-$4	10-05 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	34	$833	1,800	823	+977	Yes	+$1,419	10-18 20:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?	19	$826	936	373	+563	Yes	+$451	07-22 17:18
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 19?	8	$755	1,382	604	+777	Yes	+$872	10-20 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 19?	32	$733	754	754	+0	Yes	+$378	09-19 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 11?	15	$722	500	500	+0	Yes	+$146	10-11 12:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	5	$719	500	500	-0	Yes	+$195	10-26 22:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?	10	$687	500	500	+0	Yes	+$95	06-24 13:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 3?	9	$676	1,060	553	+508	Yes	+$288	10-03 10:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?	31	$656	1,670	464	+1,205	No	-$138	10-12 16:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?	16	$656	1,110	653	+458	Yes	+$412	09-27 12:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 3?	14	$632	1,255	508	+747	No	-$114	10-03 16:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?	11	$632	1,430	0	+1,430	Yes	+$798	07-15 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 31?	35	$629	1,413	400	+1,013	No	-$249	10-31 10:56
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 13?	19	$621	805	200	+605	Yes	+$116	09-13 12:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 17?	13	$598	500	500	+0	Yes	+$198	10-17 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 23:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	45	13¢	$6	0x5e8fed…
10-31 23:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x086a58…
10-31 23:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xc3b721…
10-31 23:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x1d792f…
10-31 23:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xee7f24…
10-31 23:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x08c4cc…
10-31 23:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	48	13¢	$6	0x6614d4…
10-31 22:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xbd3b8e…
10-31 22:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x6324a8…
10-31 22:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x36c29b…
10-31 22:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x483be1…
10-31 22:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x359a4c…
10-31 22:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x116900…
10-31 22:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0xe52020…
10-31 22:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x34fdba…
10-31 22:24:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x2ef0db…
10-31 22:22:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$2	0x4db345…
10-31 22:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xd785c6…
10-31 22:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x7de8e7…
10-31 22:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xf60d55…
10-31 22:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x593e66…
10-31 22:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x0aaa43…
10-31 22:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x9425dd…
10-31 22:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x8560f8…
10-31 22:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xbff3ed…
10-31 22:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x0b2994…
10-31 22:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xc159ce…
10-31 22:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x37ce62…
10-31 22:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x79bd28…
10-31 22:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x6a214e…
10-31 22:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x9197ad…
10-31 22:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x1e9f88…
10-31 22:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xbd1c0c…
10-31 22:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xfba52d…
10-31 22:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe5dcc3…
10-31 22:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x97a1a5…
10-31 22:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x77929a…
10-31 22:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x28171c…
10-31 22:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xaec6f0…
10-31 22:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x0fa619…
10-31 22:16:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x186379…
10-31 22:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe7cae5…
10-31 22:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	53	7¢	$4	0xb78769…
10-31 22:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	51	7¢	$4	0x832531…
10-31 22:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x504c01…
10-31 22:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	183	7¢	$13	0x3742f1…
10-31 22:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x159a18…
10-31 21:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0x84c723…
10-31 19:58:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x6a91be…
10-31 19:33:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe8ca21…
10-31 19:33:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xc3394d…
10-31 19:28:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xa6fba9…
10-31 19:24:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0x74fadd…
10-31 19:23:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x960d75…
10-31 19:23:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	300	30¢	$89	0xb25353…
10-31 19:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x17c69d…
10-31 18:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x22466e…
10-31 17:18:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x64f3e6…
10-31 17:18:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xf824d9…
10-31 17:17:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xea51f0…
10-31 17:17:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x187f2d…
10-31 17:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	164	12¢	$20	0xf43122…
10-31 17:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1,024	12¢	$118	0x54ad15…
10-31 17:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x1a0e0e…
10-31 17:13:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x8a5716…
10-31 17:13:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x20c70e…
10-31 17:13:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xcfcf9d…
10-31 17:12:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xc802c9…
10-31 17:12:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa9aad7…
10-31 17:12:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x423e2f…
10-31 17:12:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xbb3714…
10-31 17:12:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xcf53d7…
10-31 17:12:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x767efa…
10-31 17:10:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xfc6d5b…
10-31 17:10:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x80ecc2…
10-31 17:10:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x24b6b8…
10-31 17:10:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x8557bf…
10-31 17:10:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x67de26…
10-31 17:10:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x45966c…
10-31 17:02:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xff7181…
10-31 17:02:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x2ac07a…
10-31 17:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x30e4c2…
10-31 17:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xaa5110…
10-31 16:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa21fce…
10-31 16:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x921b1f…
10-31 16:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	555	43¢	$237	0x510a6d…
10-31 16:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	415	8¢	$33	0xec1045…
10-31 16:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	585	7¢	$43	0x1de54c…
10-31 16:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	498	7¢	$35	0x0ad4ce…
10-31 16:45:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0xd4a217…
10-31 16:45:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	400	28¢	$114	0x9d6ac7…
10-31 16:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	24	48¢	$12	0x4e9eaa…
10-31 16:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	240	48¢	$115	0x2d6c4c…
10-31 16:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	295	48¢	$141	0x684f0f…
10-31 16:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x45cacd…
10-31 16:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x673e59…
10-31 16:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xb7c185…
10-31 16:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xccca76…
10-31 16:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xbe44c2…
10-31 16:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x4b90ac…