Pertinent-Colony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$77

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

281

Trades

474

lifetime

Volume

$2.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 07-23 20:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

55% 41% -$126

Politics

28% 29% +$50

Crypto

11% 38% +$39

Sports

4% 38% -$46

Tech

2% 57% +$11

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+70	$6	1¢	$1	-$5	05-09 20:59
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	Yes		+10	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	04-29 18:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$177	135	135	+0	No	+$85	04-28 13:32
cbb msrst mtnst 2026 01 17 spread home 6pt5	2	$164	180	180	+0	Missouri State Bears	-$2	01-17 22:17
lol tes wb 2026 01 19	20	$128	249	83	+165	Top Esports	+$28	01-19 11:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$122	122	122	+0	No	+$22	05-01 23:43
atp popyrin muller 2026 01 18	17	$101	75	75	+0	Muller	+$2	01-19 12:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$63	111	111	+0	No	+$40	05-24 13:41
cbb wake flst 2026 01 17	8	$62	63	63	+0	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	-$1	01-17 22:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	4	$51	71	71	+0	Yes	+$9	04-22 12:48
epl wol new 2026 01 18 total 3pt5	1	$50	80	0	+80	Under	+$30	01-18 13:22
bun stu uni 2026 01 18 total 2pt5	6	$48	75	75	+0	Under	-$38	01-18 16:10
cbb sc aubrn 2026 01 17 spread home 12pt5	3	$45	94	0	+94	South Carolina Gamecocks	+$49	01-17 22:22
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$38	56	56	+0	open	—	05-23 20:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$34	66	46	+20	No	-$2	05-23 23:09
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$32	29	29	+0	Yes	+$12	06-06 02:53
Will Trump say "Bunker" in May?	3	$28	101	20	+80	Yes	+$12	05-25 18:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	3	$27	127	127	+0	No	-$23	05-15 13:05
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	2	$25	33	33	+0	No	-$15	04-30 03:15
Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	2	$23	38	38	+0	No	-$17	04-30 03:15
por gui por 2026 01 18 por	8	$23	36	0	+36	Yes	-$23	01-18 22:15
ucl kai1 bru1 2026 01 20 btts	3	$22	48	0	+48	Yes	-$22	01-20 15:17
will trump say yips in june	2	$22	30	30	+0	No	+$2	06-16 12:53
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	2	$21	17	17	+0	Yes	+$11	04-30 13:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 00:10 UTC	3	$21	26	13	+12	Up	+$12	04-13 00:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?	2	$20	52	0	+52	No	-$20	05-27 03:16
wta osaka ruzic 2026 01 18	2	$20	24	0	+24	Osaka	+$4	01-20 11:10
will trump say alexander or hamilton during tribute to america rally 20260630160620577	2	$20	24	24	+0	No	$0	07-04 13:45
lol vit kcb 2026 01 19	5	$18	18,150	0	+18,150	Team Vitality	-$18	01-19 18:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$18	56	56	+0	No	-$2	04-08 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 01:00 UTC	4	$17	18	17	+1	Down	+$8	04-13 01:04
atp martine djokovi 2026 01 18	4	$17	65	0	+65	Djokovic	-$2	01-19 11:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 20:51:00	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xe8bc29…
07-15 15:03:29	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xabe003…
07-04 13:46:13	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	31	35¢	$11	0x2087c4…
07-04 13:45:58	will trump say alexander or hamilton during tribute to america rally 20260630160620577	Yes	SELL	24	40¢	$10	0xbe00f5…
07-02 18:08:41	will trump say alexander or hamilton during tribute to america rally 20260630160620577	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3f0c7b…
07-02 18:08:11	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439803 329	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xd753d7…
06-18 15:20:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x68b5a5…
06-17 12:52:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xf74162…
06-16 12:53:31	will trump say yips in june	Yes	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x7c1e58…
06-16 02:15:13	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	3¢	$2	0xf6b1fd…
06-13 21:09:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	15	76¢	$12	0x19b76c…
06-12 20:08:57	Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x642e51…
06-12 20:08:07	Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x479709…
06-11 15:41:09	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe3fef7…
06-11 15:40:16	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	23¢	$5	0xc61cc9…
06-09 13:28:07	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	No	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0xcfebbf…
06-09 13:27:54	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x314da8…
06-09 13:27:09	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xa9665b…
06-07 15:49:31	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0xb7342a…
06-07 15:48:52	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x44aa9c…
06-07 15:48:16	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x2e3047…
06-06 02:56:19	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	2¢	$2	0x5337d9…
06-06 02:53:37	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	29	77¢	$22	0x4b4d60…
06-02 14:57:55	Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7f035c…
06-02 14:57:43	Will Trump say "Sex" in June?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcc6937…
05-30 17:09:46	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x00db72…
05-30 17:08:53	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x25c693…
05-30 15:59:14	will trump say yips in june	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xeac72d…
05-30 15:55:27	Will MrBeast say "Strategy" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xfe172b…
05-30 15:55:01	Will MrBeast say "Mystery Box" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xf8af5b…
05-30 15:54:43	Will MrBeast say "Jet" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xba4617…
05-29 19:12:18	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x14fe33…
05-29 03:31:39	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x0e0c12…
05-28 18:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xd23609…
05-28 18:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0xbe49f3…
05-28 18:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5cf73d…
05-27 03:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x619cf7…
05-27 03:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x1bac1b…
05-27 03:18:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	257	2¢	$5	0x31faa4…
05-27 03:17:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x1a01ee…
05-27 03:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xb242b1…
05-27 03:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xbebf10…
05-27 03:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x582b48…
05-27 03:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xeba30d…
05-26 18:44:30	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	121	4¢	$5	0x90e2c2…
05-25 18:43:16	Will Trump say "Bunker" in May?	No	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0xbbacc8…
05-25 18:04:55	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd4a3f3…
05-25 18:02:03	Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x2227f5…
05-25 18:01:26	Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)	Fredrikstad FK	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xbd89e2…
05-25 17:57:06	Will Trump say "Bunker" in May?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$20	0xa5fa1c…
05-25 17:55:54	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1856a3…
05-25 15:53:03	Will Trump say "Epstein" in May?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x4f8315…
05-25 04:15:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x6f1199…
05-25 04:14:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1c37f8…
05-25 02:33:20	Will Trump say "Bunker" in May?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6c156d…
05-25 02:32:31	Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xa594e9…
05-25 02:31:36	Will Trump say "Wolf" in May?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xabc04f…
05-25 02:31:10	Will Trump say "Hawk" in May?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe4149e…
05-24 13:41:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	52	7¢	$4	0x1cf2d2…
05-23 23:09:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf2a0e4…
05-23 21:27:07	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x448062…
05-23 21:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x615c45…
05-23 21:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe8051a…
05-23 21:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xebb479…
05-23 20:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x23825c…
05-23 20:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9b86e6…
05-23 20:49:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x742c3d…
05-23 20:48:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	59	80¢	$48	0x054b54…
05-23 20:25:49	Will Bernie say "Climate" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x7cfa95…
05-23 20:25:21	Will Bernie say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	51	12¢	$6	0xdecc50…
05-23 20:24:51	Will Bernie say "Trumpism" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xceaed0…
05-23 20:24:12	Will Bernie say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x569c18…
05-23 20:18:50	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	56	33¢	$18	0x792755…
05-23 20:18:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	46	35¢	$16	0x413628…
05-22 23:33:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x152e30…
05-22 23:30:01	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31?	Yes	SELL	175	1¢	$1	0x7a7cdf…
05-15 20:57:51	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xffac28…
05-15 13:05:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	127	2¢	$2	0x6ad219…
05-09 20:59:28	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x93644b…
05-09 03:06:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	9¢	$4	0x3e5317…
05-09 03:06:24	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0x28e92e…
05-06 14:00:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	46	28¢	$13	0xf2353f…
05-06 14:00:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0xb41cc1…
05-05 18:09:06	Will Trump say "Ruckus" this week?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x030e3f…
05-05 18:08:50	Will Trump say "My father" this week?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xd5a3db…
05-05 18:04:06	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x54dc0f…
05-05 18:01:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xc30b7e…
05-02 23:20:30	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5e695e…
05-02 23:19:50	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xa47f02…
05-02 07:23:50	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31?	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0x6ab952…
05-02 07:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x1040cd…
05-02 07:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x846e68…
05-02 07:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x850e26…
05-01 23:53:28	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xa790ac…
05-01 23:51:52	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5bebc2…
05-01 23:43:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	122	59¢	$72	0x49b702…
05-01 00:39:16	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x24b7ae…
05-01 00:38:48	Will Trump say "Disney" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe847fe…
05-01 00:38:38	Will Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xab8a25…
05-01 00:38:24	Will Trump say "Beautiful Bill" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa960f3…