Pertinent-Colony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

423

lifetime

Volume

$2.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 06-11 15:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% — —

Politics

31% 0% $-20

Crypto

13% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes		-23	$-5	18¢	$-4	+$1	06-11 15:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$177	135	135	+0	open	—	04-28 13:32
cbb msrst mtnst 2026 01 17 spread home 6pt5	2	$164	180	180	+0	open	—	01-17 22:17
lol tes wb 2026 01 19	20	$128	249	83	+165	open	—	01-19 11:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$122	122	122	+0	open	—	05-01 23:43
atp popyrin muller 2026 01 18	17	$101	75	75	+0	open	—	01-19 12:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$63	111	111	+0	open	—	05-24 13:41
cbb wake flst 2026 01 17	8	$62	63	63	+0	open	—	01-17 22:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	4	$51	71	71	+0	open	—	04-22 12:48
epl wol new 2026 01 18 total 3pt5	1	$50	80	0	+80	open	—	01-18 13:22
bun stu uni 2026 01 18 total 2pt5	6	$48	75	75	+0	open	—	01-18 16:10
cbb sc aubrn 2026 01 17 spread home 12pt5	3	$45	94	0	+94	open	—	01-17 22:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$34	66	46	+20	open	—	05-23 23:09
Will Trump say "Bunker" in May?	3	$28	101	20	+80	open	—	05-25 18:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	3	$27	127	127	+0	open	—	05-15 13:05
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	2	$25	33	33	+0	open	—	04-30 03:15
Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	2	$23	38	38	+0	open	—	04-30 03:15
por gui por 2026 01 18 por	8	$23	36	0	+36	open	—	01-18 22:15
ucl kai1 bru1 2026 01 20 btts	3	$22	48	0	+48	open	—	01-20 15:17
btc updown 5m 1776039000	3	$21	26	13	+12	open	—	04-13 00:12
wta osaka ruzic 2026 01 18	2	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	01-20 11:10
lol vit kcb 2026 01 19	5	$18	18,150	0	+18,150	open	—	01-19 18:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$18	56	56	+0	open	—	04-08 20:49
btc updown 5m 1776042000	4	$17	18	17	+1	open	—	04-13 01:04
atp martine djokovi 2026 01 18	4	$17	65	0	+65	open	—	01-19 11:36
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$16	25	25	+0	open	—	05-09 03:06
nhl sea utah 2026 01 17	10	$15	43	0	+43	open	—	01-17 22:22
mex san jua 2026 01 18 jua	2	$14	24	0	+24	open	—	01-18 22:14
btc updown 5m 1776044100	2	$14	12	11	+0	open	—	04-13 01:39
cbb ntx tulane 2026 01 18	8	$14	28	0	+28	open	—	01-18 22:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	04-28 13:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 15:41:09	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe3fef7…
06-11 15:40:16	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	23¢	$5	0xc61cc9…
06-09 13:28:07	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	No	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0xcfebbf…
06-09 13:27:54	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x314da8…
06-09 13:27:09	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xa9665b…
05-30 17:09:46	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x00db72…
05-30 15:59:14	will trump say yips in june	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xeac72d…
05-30 15:55:27	Will MrBeast say "Strategy" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xfe172b…
05-30 15:55:01	Will MrBeast say "Mystery Box" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xf8af5b…
05-30 15:54:43	Will MrBeast say "Jet" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xba4617…
05-26 18:44:30	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	121	4¢	$5	0x90e2c2…
05-25 18:43:16	Will Trump say "Bunker" in May?	No	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0xbbacc8…
05-25 18:01:26	Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)	Fredrikstad FK	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xbd89e2…
05-25 17:57:06	Will Trump say "Bunker" in May?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$20	0xa5fa1c…
05-25 17:55:54	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1856a3…
05-25 15:53:03	Will Trump say "Epstein" in May?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x4f8315…
05-25 04:15:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x6f1199…
05-25 04:14:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1c37f8…
05-25 02:33:20	Will Trump say "Bunker" in May?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6c156d…
05-25 02:32:31	Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xa594e9…
05-25 02:31:36	Will Trump say "Wolf" in May?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xabc04f…
05-25 02:31:10	Will Trump say "Hawk" in May?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe4149e…
05-24 13:41:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	52	7¢	$4	0x1cf2d2…
05-23 23:09:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf2a0e4…
05-23 21:27:07	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x448062…
05-23 21:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x615c45…
05-23 21:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe8051a…
05-23 21:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xebb479…
05-23 20:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9b86e6…
05-23 20:49:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x742c3d…
05-23 20:48:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	59	80¢	$48	0x054b54…
05-23 20:25:49	Will Bernie say "Climate" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x7cfa95…
05-23 20:25:21	Will Bernie say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	51	12¢	$6	0xdecc50…
05-23 20:24:51	Will Bernie say "Trumpism" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xceaed0…
05-23 20:24:12	Will Bernie say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x569c18…
05-23 20:18:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	46	35¢	$16	0x413628…
05-22 23:33:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x152e30…
05-22 23:30:01	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31?	Yes	SELL	175	1¢	$1	0x7a7cdf…
05-15 13:05:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	127	2¢	$2	0x6ad219…
05-09 03:06:24	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0x28e92e…
05-06 14:00:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	46	28¢	$13	0xf2353f…
05-06 14:00:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0xb41cc1…
05-05 18:09:06	Will Trump say "Ruckus" this week?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x030e3f…
05-05 18:08:50	Will Trump say "My father" this week?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xd5a3db…
05-05 18:01:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xc30b7e…
05-02 07:23:50	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31?	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0x6ab952…
05-02 07:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x1040cd…
05-02 07:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x846e68…
05-02 07:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x850e26…
05-01 23:53:28	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xa790ac…
05-01 23:51:52	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5bebc2…
05-01 23:43:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	122	59¢	$72	0x49b702…
05-01 00:39:16	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x24b7ae…
05-01 00:38:48	Will Trump say "Disney" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe847fe…
05-01 00:38:38	Will Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xab8a25…
05-01 00:38:24	Will Trump say "Beautiful Bill" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa960f3…
04-30 23:46:38	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x6bea2f…
04-30 14:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x02b91b…
04-30 03:15:56	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0xc1bcf7…
04-30 03:15:50	Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	38	9¢	$3	0xb79881…
04-29 18:02:14	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x4eee09…
04-29 18:01:42	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8d02a5…
04-28 21:06:10	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xdf6b56…
04-28 21:05:22	Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xda31ae…
04-28 21:04:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x576ce6…
04-28 19:59:16	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x134e00…
04-28 13:32:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	135	97¢	$131	0x641f9d…
04-28 13:32:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xda80fd…
04-25 13:03:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xb76375…
04-22 12:49:26	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xbbc4f5…
04-22 12:48:58	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	48	42¢	$20	0x4aab25…
04-21 18:04:04	btc updown 5m 1776794700	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0x1fbb8f…
04-19 15:50:20	btc updown 5m 1776613800	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x746fd1…
04-19 15:46:52	btc updown 5m 1776613500	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xebd837…
04-18 23:01:58	btc updown 5m 1776553200	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x2e26b7…
04-18 22:56:30	btc updown 5m 1776552900	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe6188f…
04-18 22:47:38	btc updown 5m 1776552300	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x4900c2…
04-18 22:28:30	btc updown 5m 1776551100	Up	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x9518b4…
04-18 22:27:38	btc updown 5m 1776551100	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xe720e0…
04-18 22:22:54	btc updown 5m 1776550800	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x047b73…
04-18 22:17:20	btc updown 5m 1776550500	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x9e4d3a…
04-18 22:10:44	btc updown 5m 1776550200	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x124eab…
04-18 22:09:22	btc updown 5m 1776549900	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x7a68eb…
04-18 22:07:56	btc updown 5m 1776549900	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x7e3437…
04-18 22:05:24	btc updown 5m 1776549900	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7af94e…
04-18 22:03:06	btc updown 5m 1776549600	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xf664ca…
04-18 14:50:54	btc updown 5m 1776523800	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x66a64e…
04-18 14:45:52	btc updown 5m 1776523500	Down	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xecb3e2…
04-18 14:42:12	btc updown 5m 1776523200	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x9f31ca…
04-18 14:30:46	btc updown 5m 1776522600	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xcf23b3…
04-18 14:25:46	btc updown 5m 1776522300	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x078e40…
04-17 18:55:06	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 100 119	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x60214b…
04-15 22:25:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	48	27¢	$13	0x92d28c…
04-14 00:16:47	btc updown 5m 1776125700	Down	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x0f41d8…
04-14 00:07:05	btc updown 5m 1776125400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xde05f8…
04-14 00:01:03	btc updown 5m 1776124800	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x90f0c4…
04-13 23:57:51	btc updown 5m 1776124500	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf15966…
04-13 23:51:33	btc updown 5m 1776124200	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x456c51…
04-13 23:39:11	btc updown 5m 1776123300	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x65aa68…
04-13 23:36:51	btc updown 5m 1776123300	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x0d947f…