Realized P&L (30d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$128
Hit rate
—
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
48
48 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$11.3K
$11.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$236
Open exposure
$11.4K
11 positions
First seen
2026-10-10
last 10-24 17:39
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
66% — —
Other
25% — —
Tech
9% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +20,082 $2,184 12¢ $2.5K +$327 10-11 09:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +4,800 $2,016 48¢ $2.3K +$312 10-11 09:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +11,880 $2,020 18¢ $2.2K +$178 10-11 09:18
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,600 $1,008 66¢ $1.1K +$56 10-10 08:59
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,400 $994 68¢ $945 -$49 10-10 15:05
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,210 $499 56¢ $678 +$180 10-10 17:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +2,800 $420 16¢ $434 +$14 10-10 09:02
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +1,514 $520 28¢ $416 -$104 10-11 09:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +1,074 $456 34¢ $370 -$85 10-22 18:25
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +4,173 $988 6¢ $271 -$717 10-24 17:39
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes +1,290 $210 18¢ $226 +$16 10-11 09:12