Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$82
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
49
lifetime
Volume
$11.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$243
Open exposure
$10.8K
11 positions
First seen
2026-10-10
last 10-27 21:01
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
68% — —
Other
24% — —
Tech
8% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +20,082 $2,184 14¢ $2.7K +$527 10-11 09:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +4,800 $2,016 49¢ $2.4K +$336 10-11 09:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +11,880 $2,020 18¢ $2.1K +$59 10-11 09:18
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,600 $1,008 68¢ $1.1K +$72 10-10 08:59
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,400 $994 69¢ $966 -$28 10-10 15:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +2,800 $420 15¢ $406 -$14 10-10 09:02
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +1,514 $520 26¢ $401 -$119 10-11 09:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +1,074 $456 26¢ $285 -$171 10-22 18:25
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +4,173 $988 6¢ $271 -$717 10-24 17:39
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes +1,290 $210 18¢ $226 +$16 10-11 09:12
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10 -$115 50¢ $5 +$120 10-27 21:01