Miserly-Fencing — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

216

490 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$492

$14.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 11-07 22:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

84% 76% +$1,069

Crypto

11% 67% -$205

Politics

5% 0% -$310

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 214 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.6B?	2	$1.3K	655	655	+0	No	+$0	05-20 20:59
Will Salesforce Q1 current RPO growth (CC) be between 13% and 14%?	2	$1.0K	558	558	+0	Yes	+$93	05-27 23:43
Will Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth be between 4% and 5.5%?	2	$939	988	0	+988	Yes	+$49	06-02 20:05
Will AutoZone Q3 domestic same store sales growth be between 3.5% and 4.5%?	5	$868	481	481	+0	Yes	+$93	05-26 20:32
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.5B?	2	$449	391	391	+0	No	+$332	05-20 21:12
will trump post filibuster on truth social this week	2	$438	220	220	+0	Yes	-$2	03-23 00:59
will they will kill you opening weekend box office be between 5m and 6m	6	$408	205	205	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:11
Will Home Depot Q1 comparable sales growth be between 0.5% and 1%?	4	$403	805	0	+805	Yes	+$402	05-19 10:01
will khamenei tweet again on march 21 2026 649 572	2	$402	213	213	+0	Yes	+$22	03-21 13:49
will hoppers 4th weekend box office be less than 10m	2	$400	200	200	+0	No	$0	03-29 19:36
will project hail mary 2nd weekend box office be between 42m and 46m	2	$400	200	200	+0	No	$0	03-29 19:33
Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise Q2 Cloud and AI revenue be above $8.0B?	4	$399	418	0	+418	No	+$18	06-01 20:05
Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.50B?	1	$350	354	0	+354	Yes	+$4	05-21 20:05
Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $9.0B in Q3?	2	$339	178	178	+0	No	+$14	05-13 20:24
will trump post ballroom on truth social this week 694	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	-$300	04-13 06:38
Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $8.5B in Q3?	2	$263	137	137	+0	Yes	+$9	05-13 20:24
will elon musks net worth be between 640b and 650b on march 31	2	$260	131	131	+0	Yes	$0	03-31 23:16
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.55B?	5	$252	172	172	+0	No	+$91	05-20 20:59
Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.9B in Q2?	2	$247	252	0	+252	Yes	+$5	05-14 20:01
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	4	$211	110	110	+0	No	+$7	04-01 23:45
Welltower (WELL) Q3 same store NOI (SSNOI) growth 15% to 18%?	2	$199	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	10-26 20:05
highest temperature in miami on march 24 2026 80 81f	2	$197	102	102	+0	No	-$3	03-24 17:31
will khamenei tweet again on march 22 2026 622 684	1	$190	203	0	+203	Yes	+$13	03-22 04:28
will mrbeast say subscribe during his next video 268	6	$140	305	0	+305	No	+$165	03-21 16:00
highest temperature in toronto on march 27 2026 0c	2	$135	114	114	+0	Yes	-$65	03-27 12:06
Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise Q2 Cloud and AI revenue be above $7.5B?	3	$133	139	0	+139	Yes	+$6	06-01 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	6	$121	1,452	0	+1,452	Down	-$121	10-24 20:58
Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.70B?	1	$115	133	0	+133	No	+$18	05-21 20:05
Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise Q2 Cloud and AI revenue be above $7.0B?	4	$113	124	0	+124	Yes	+$11	06-01 20:05
highest temperature in toronto on march 27 2026 neg 1c	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	03-27 04:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 22:55:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xb8f934…
11-07 22:52:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa55cd3…
11-07 22:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2766db…
11-07 22:52:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x759887…
11-07 22:50:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb7016a…
11-07 22:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc2fc93…
11-07 22:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd7c8a4…
11-07 22:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xad5cdb…
11-07 22:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xda5ae4…
11-07 22:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x17de23…
11-07 22:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa59cff…
11-07 22:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xff745d…
11-07 22:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5cd6f1…
11-07 22:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x3a3f9f…
11-07 22:38:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0x801b95…
11-07 22:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8b4296…
11-07 22:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5530f0…
11-07 22:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x079d80…
11-07 22:36:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0xf3fd9f…
11-07 22:36:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0xceab22…
11-07 22:35:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x410a93…
11-07 22:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3a4621…
11-07 22:26:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xaba28a…
11-07 22:26:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x564858…
11-07 22:26:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd1faa7…
11-07 22:25:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc3013d…
11-07 22:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xfb15fa…
11-07 22:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4c3d9f…
11-07 22:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x708dab…
11-07 22:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x480d20…
11-07 22:04:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdca3fc…
11-07 22:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4d2bfe…
11-07 21:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc6b301…
11-07 21:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0ebc12…
11-07 21:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xff015c…
11-07 21:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x40bba7…
11-07 21:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe4e471…
11-07 21:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x583879…
11-07 21:15:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc5188a…
11-07 21:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd020b0…
11-07 21:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb10247…
11-07 21:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1bf370…
11-07 20:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf9acbb…
11-07 20:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0b0326…
11-07 20:39:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb8b7eb…
11-07 20:39:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbc4220…
11-07 20:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdf41e5…
11-07 20:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd88b96…
11-07 20:37:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa407f3…
11-07 20:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0xb712e2…
11-07 20:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x3fe7e4…
11-07 20:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x004e90…
11-07 20:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9b3ea7…
11-07 20:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x25a5fb…
11-07 20:37:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x710525…
11-07 20:37:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe82dc1…
11-07 20:37:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0cac59…
11-07 20:35:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb0c6ae…
11-07 20:35:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc10980…
11-07 20:33:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xce4c04…
11-07 20:33:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xca0d59…
11-07 20:32:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x046bab…
11-07 20:31:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x26de0b…
11-07 20:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x95a6c0…
11-07 20:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x2bc281…
11-07 20:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x92d162…
11-07 20:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x0c34b5…
11-07 20:02:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3100ac…
11-07 20:01:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf18527…
11-07 19:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x55cc3a…
11-07 19:52:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7b7aeb…
11-07 19:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9779d1…
11-07 19:52:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf7b9c2…
11-07 19:52:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xdbc5dc…
11-07 19:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x890a30…
11-07 19:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x218ea9…
11-07 19:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x2bbccf…
11-07 19:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x19f7ab…
11-07 19:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4430cc…
11-07 19:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x752639…
11-07 19:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2a668c…
11-07 19:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x85b1f3…
11-07 19:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x49b413…
11-07 19:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x923c40…
11-07 19:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7ef2af…
11-07 19:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1023ba…
11-07 19:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8b68c2…
11-07 18:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x55f9e3…
11-07 18:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe8bec2…
11-07 18:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x3ec7ca…
11-07 18:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x15f8fd…
11-07 18:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x7c4016…
11-07 18:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xaaf95e…
11-07 18:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xedec65…
11-07 18:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x36259f…
11-07 18:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4ab834…
11-07 18:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x8fade3…
11-07 18:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf349e0…
11-07 18:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf3b985…
11-07 17:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb5328c…