Misty-Stamen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.44K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

431

Trades

1,165

lifetime

Volume

$244.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$209

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-12 08:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 145 days

Categories

Other

59% 26% -$1,229

Crypto

35% 56% -$3,153

Politics

3% 23% -$13

Pop-Culture

2% 40% $0

Tech

0% 33% -$4

Sports

0% 32% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes		+10	$1	27¢	$3	+$2	09-30 20:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cricipl mum kol 2026 03 29	3	$6.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$52	03-29 17:36
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	47	$6.6K	3,908	3,908	+0	Yes	-$257	03-16 18:20
spx up or down on march 25 2026	3	$6.6K	3,550	3,500	+50	Up	-$127	03-25 19:20
crint ind pak 2026 02 15	11	$5.8K	3,912	1,972	+1,940	India	+$41	02-15 16:31
meta up or down on march 4 2026	3	$5.2K	3,587	1,800	+1,787	Up	-$28	03-04 20:06
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 40 64	2	$4.0K	2,033	2,033	+0	No	+$65	02-23 06:15
spx up or down on february 26 2026	20	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$15	02-26 20:47
spx up or down on february 27 2026	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$6	02-27 20:17
spx up or down on february 24 2026	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Up	+$42	02-24 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 06:00 UTC	2	$3.9K	392,390	0	+392,390	Up	-$3,924	03-31 06:05
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 65 89	2	$3.9K	1,967	1,967	+0	No	+$6	02-21 08:26
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 360 379	2	$3.9K	1,964	1,964	+0	No	+$16	02-20 17:01
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	6	$3.8K	2,191	2,191	+0	No	-$4	02-28 13:51
crint lka pak 2026 02 28	5	$3.8K	2,200	2,200	+0	Pakistan	-$374	02-28 17:22
crint nam usa 2026 02 15	3	$3.8K	1,905	1,901	+4	USA	+$3	02-15 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:30 UTC	2	$3.8K	3,822	0	+3,822	Down	+$38	03-30 03:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:15 UTC	1	$3.7K	3,786	0	+3,786	Down	+$38	03-30 02:19
crint npl wst 2026 02 15	2	$3.7K	1,898	1,898	+0	West Indies	+$57	02-15 08:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:30 UTC	1	$3.7K	3,700	0	+3,700	Up	+$37	03-30 13:34
spx up or down on march 24 2026	9	$3.6K	2,245	2,245	+0	Down	+$50	03-24 17:53
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	2	$3.6K	1,835	1,835	+0	No	+$33	02-19 16:09
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 40 64	3	$3.5K	2,051	2,051	+0	No	-$396	03-08 17:53
googl up or down on march 3 2026	3	$3.5K	1,750	1,750	+0	Down	+$34	03-03 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 04:10 UTC	1	$3.4K	3,476	0	+3,476	Down	+$70	03-26 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 03:25 UTC	1	$3.4K	3,412	0	+3,412	Down	+$34	03-26 03:29
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by march 13 992 833 133	3	$3.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$51	03-13 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:05 UTC	1	$3.0K	3,019	0	+3,019	Up	+$38	03-30 02:09
cbb lou mst 2026 03 21	5	$2.8K	3,053	1,000	+2,053	Michigan State Spartans	-$10	03-21 20:55
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	120	$2.7K	1,384	1,384	+0	Yes	+$36	06-30 20:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 05:25 UTC	1	$2.7K	2,746	0	+2,746	Down	+$27	03-26 05:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 08:52:49	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	95	48¢	$45	0xc91ed0…
11-12 08:52:28	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x7d15b4…
11-12 06:00:39	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xebd477…
11-11 16:12:34	KHL: HC Sochi vs. Lada Togliatti	Lada Togliatti	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbbbc08…
11-11 03:31:37	Spread: Thunder (-1.5)	Thunder	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x58f6d3…
11-09 13:34:15	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Bills	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x451ee4…
11-08 06:35:33	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Colts	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x98cafc…
11-05 16:12:25	Magic vs. Suns	Magic	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x87d619…
11-02 16:35:33	Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)	Pelicans	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6ac0a6…
10-30 16:26:13	Spread: Raptors (-5.5)	Raptors	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7f57d8…
10-29 16:36:41	Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)	Pelicans	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbf2197…
10-27 17:08:27	Spread: Spurs (-18.5)	Spurs	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdb3a24…
10-21 02:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc5c247…
10-21 02:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x903ced…
10-21 02:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8dad44…
10-21 02:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x09c2e0…
10-21 02:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x604dac…
10-21 02:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdaf67c…
10-21 02:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe2e64f…
10-21 02:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x35af0a…
10-21 02:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xacc05f…
10-21 02:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc3e587…
09-30 20:33:53	Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3e20fb…
09-30 16:12:33	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	53¢	$32	0xad5317…
09-27 00:14:54	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x4f8668…
09-21 01:59:19	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.70 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$1	0x6a5b9b…
09-21 00:54:50	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb2913c…
09-21 00:54:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x63ffcb…
09-20 23:25:13	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x4f389f…
09-20 21:50:11	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xac1665…
09-20 21:50:04	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb03641…
09-20 17:35:52	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x6cc082…
09-20 12:37:39	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.70 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	2¢	$3	0x751769…
09-20 12:32:21	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.70 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xfae7f8…
09-19 21:52:38	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x14aeb5…
09-19 16:06:12	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	125	52¢	$65	0x4f1f6e…
09-18 19:37:52	Will NetNet be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$494	0x31e51a…
09-18 17:18:45	Will NetNet be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x637ef1…
09-18 06:10:42	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x54b92a…
09-17 19:56:00	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0xc5e271…
09-17 19:53:51	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	53¢	$24	0x99bf1e…
09-17 18:53:57	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	1,000	95¢	$951	0x770c8a…
09-17 18:42:37	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0x87f713…
09-17 18:06:24	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x3b839b…
09-17 18:05:03	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x8459cf…
09-17 16:55:36	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x46d08e…
09-15 11:21:46	Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0xc2804a…
09-15 10:38:48	Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$491	0x790010…
09-06 04:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x18d5f1…
09-06 04:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xedbf8f…
08-13 01:35:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc72b52…
08-07 01:00:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x47f828…
07-21 01:56:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb640b8…
07-21 01:53:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x78585b…
07-18 22:05:39	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x46c9c0…
07-18 21:51:15	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0xd76bbd…
07-18 21:50:48	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xfb1894…
07-16 18:48:14	wti closes above 81 on july 16 2026	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x1ec675…
07-16 18:15:08	wti closes above 81 on july 16 2026	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x67e184…
07-16 17:42:35	wti closes above 81 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xe43eab…
07-16 17:37:58	wti closes above 81 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x555aac…
07-16 05:04:58	will ng reach 3 40 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xcf3fd0…
07-16 05:02:17	will ng reach 3 50 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xde9863…
07-16 01:54:26	will ng reach 3 40 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x96bc0a…
07-16 01:53:53	will ng reach 3 50 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x42be05…
07-15 18:48:49	Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xcfb612…
07-15 18:48:31	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xcc13a1…
07-14 16:17:34	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	SELL	500	90¢	$450	0xaeba21…
07-14 15:53:38	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0xf853a7…
07-08 19:17:22	wti up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbdf8ab…
07-08 06:10:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,041	47¢	$961	0xb33b54…
07-08 06:10:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,041	49¢	$1,000	0xa9fcf6…
07-06 21:17:35	f1 will max verstappen announce move to new team on july 6 2026 20260706154629503	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x776e74…
07-06 21:15:55	f1 will max verstappen announce move to new team on july 6 2026 20260706154629503	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xe192e1…
07-06 19:58:08	will the announcers say messi during the portugal vs spain fifa world cup match 20260706131659350	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x220e15…
07-06 12:37:17	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	70	90¢	$63	0x612fc5…
07-06 12:36:14	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x8fa8b6…
07-06 12:36:14	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x3d6640…
07-05 02:16:26	Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?	No	SELL	378	6¢	$23	0x240cf2…
07-05 01:50:35	Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?	No	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0x4b6178…
07-05 01:49:26	Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?	No	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xb6d49d…
07-05 01:49:23	Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?	No	BUY	320	6¢	$19	0xbc05f3…
07-04 23:25:35	will radim dvoracek eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559104	U <28	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x079c32…
07-04 23:24:07	will radim dvoracek eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559104	U <28	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x78f728…
07-04 22:50:43	will the announcers say cleat during the paraguay vs france fifa world cup match 20260703212206515	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xde579d…
07-04 22:50:02	will the announcers say cleat during the paraguay vs france fifa world cup match 20260703212206515	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x209996…
07-04 22:05:34	will anyone say mustard 10 times during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701048	Yes	SELL	46	1¢	$0	0x766058…
07-04 22:04:41	will anyone say mustard 10 times during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701048	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xa6c02e…
07-04 22:04:40	will anyone say mustard 10 times during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701048	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xbc4263…
07-04 22:04:40	will anyone say mustard 10 times during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701048	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x2e45a0…
07-04 22:04:29	will anyone say six seven during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701052 353	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x8695cf…
07-04 22:03:53	will anyone say six seven during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701052 353	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x38b42c…
07-04 20:55:07	will radim dvoracek eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559104	U <28	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x0cb583…
07-04 20:52:43	will radim dvoracek eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559104	U <28	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x84378e…
07-04 12:04:04	Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x425140…
07-04 12:03:31	Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x1d8ef4…
07-03 15:02:22	will ketel marte hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210646879	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xc8a97d…
07-03 15:01:37	will ketel marte hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210646879	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x5a53a0…
07-02 06:58:11	will the announcers say patience during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034684	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6f1cca…
07-02 06:16:41	will the announcers say history during the belgium vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260630205128579	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x8811ad…