Misty-Stamen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

Trades

881

lifetime

Volume

$223.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$253

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-08 08:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

62% 0% $-17

Crypto

36% 100% +$37

Politics

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cricipl mum kol 2026 03 29	3	$6.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	03-29 17:36
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	47	$6.6K	3,908	3,908	+0	open	—	03-16 18:20
spx up or down on march 25 2026	3	$6.6K	3,550	3,500	+50	open	—	03-25 19:20
crint ind pak 2026 02 15	11	$5.8K	3,912	1,972	+1,940	open	—	02-15 16:31
meta up or down on march 4 2026	3	$5.2K	3,587	1,800	+1,787	open	—	03-04 20:06
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 40 64	2	$4.0K	2,033	2,033	+0	open	—	02-23 06:15
spx up or down on february 26 2026	20	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-26 20:47
spx up or down on february 27 2026	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-27 20:17
spx up or down on february 24 2026	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-24 20:38
btc updown 5m 1774936800	2	$3.9K	392,390	0	+392,390	open	—	03-31 06:05
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 65 89	2	$3.9K	1,967	1,967	+0	open	—	02-21 08:26
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 360 379	2	$3.9K	1,964	1,964	+0	open	—	02-20 17:01
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	6	$3.8K	2,191	2,191	+0	open	—	02-28 13:51
crint lka pak 2026 02 28	5	$3.8K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	02-28 17:22
crint nam usa 2026 02 15	3	$3.8K	1,905	1,901	+4	open	—	02-15 12:43
btc updown 5m 1774841400	2	$3.8K	3,822	0	+3,822	open	—	03-30 03:34
btc updown 5m 1774836900	1	$3.7K	3,786	0	+3,786	open	—	03-30 02:19
crint npl wst 2026 02 15	2	$3.7K	1,898	1,898	+0	open	—	02-15 08:16
btc updown 5m 1774877400	1	$3.7K	3,700	0	+3,700	open	—	03-30 13:34
spx up or down on march 24 2026	9	$3.6K	2,245	2,245	+0	open	—	03-24 17:53
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	2	$3.6K	1,835	1,835	+0	open	—	02-19 16:09
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 40 64	3	$3.5K	2,051	2,051	+0	open	—	03-08 17:53
googl up or down on march 3 2026	3	$3.5K	1,750	1,750	+0	open	—	03-03 21:04
btc updown 5m 1774498200	1	$3.4K	3,476	0	+3,476	open	—	03-26 04:14
btc updown 5m 1774495500	1	$3.4K	3,412	0	+3,412	open	—	03-26 03:29
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by march 13 992 833 133	3	$3.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	03-13 18:29
btc updown 5m 1774836300	1	$3.0K	3,019	0	+3,019	open	—	03-30 02:09
cbb lou mst 2026 03 21	5	$2.8K	3,053	1,000	+2,053	open	—	03-21 20:55
btc updown 5m 1774502700	1	$2.7K	2,746	0	+2,746	open	—	03-26 05:30
spx up or down on march 10 2026	4	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	03-10 17:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 08:37:51	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt35b	Yes	SELL	500	93¢	$465	0xe434e5…
06-07 22:50:57	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt35b	Yes	BUY	500	95¢	$474	0x7fee84…
06-03 03:55:51	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd6e7c6…
06-03 03:32:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x33c2bd…
06-02 22:42:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$11	0x547e18…
05-22 20:55:55	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0xa71ebc…
05-22 15:49:05	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x4a6280…
05-22 05:16:33	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xff0412…
05-22 05:15:28	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x78746b…
05-17 17:49:58	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x8f37b9…
05-14 00:18:57	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2f6b5b…
05-09 11:44:48	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x286beb…
05-08 03:52:41	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xff4a45…
05-07 20:08:14	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x3d1fda…
05-07 19:10:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	900	95¢	$856	0xb394a5…
05-07 18:42:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	900	95¢	$856	0xb6dedb…
05-05 17:17:16	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Delhi Capitals	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5ded2e…
05-04 16:52:38	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x10f7ce…
05-04 15:52:18	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x76f151…
05-01 21:42:10	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x36ecad…
05-01 13:45:40	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xf57b3b…
05-01 13:29:40	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x854582…
05-01 10:27:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xd15fdf…
05-01 10:26:12	Will gas hit (Low) $4.25 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xd4fdd3…
05-01 10:25:50	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x66882f…
05-01 10:22:22	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xe2ed21…
05-01 09:46:48	Will gas hit (Low) $4.25 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xcc7e43…
05-01 08:32:12	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x76f9fb…
05-01 07:31:38	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x317ebb…
04-30 20:10:58	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x4e2a9b…
04-30 20:00:26	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7673cc…
04-30 19:40:36	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of April 27 2026?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x3f8de6…
04-30 19:39:18	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x49f8aa…
04-29 20:07:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xf38808…
04-29 20:00:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $685 on April 29?	No	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x4c2434…
04-29 19:59:34	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on April 29?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbc4039…
04-29 16:47:06	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x40d472…
04-29 14:29:10	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x820e44…
04-29 14:13:32	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1d175a…
04-29 07:16:26	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	184	71¢	$131	0x020832…
04-29 04:58:40	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x1e29a8…
04-29 04:57:38	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x378994…
04-29 04:57:20	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0xc725ac…
04-29 04:56:54	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0xb63566…
04-29 04:56:46	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	154	65¢	$100	0x8e65c8…
04-29 01:45:22	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$0	0xeeabc4…
04-29 01:45:00	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x65bbaa…
04-28 19:57:58	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x5c390e…
04-28 19:33:04	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0xe57c11…
04-28 19:32:14	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x4f3cd8…
04-28 15:11:48	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x52d0de…
04-28 13:10:58	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xbbd43b…
04-28 13:10:28	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	Yes	BUY	240	0¢	$0	0x686fac…
04-28 13:10:16	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x17778f…
04-27 14:09:16	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Delhi Capitals	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x39980c…
04-27 14:09:02	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Delhi Capitals	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xed2fd5…
04-26 18:00:16	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa877dc…
04-26 18:00:12	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xeaf31f…
04-26 13:23:48	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titans	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xb54629…
04-25 13:35:28	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings	Delhi Capitals	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0x6a4b1a…
04-25 13:01:34	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings	Delhi Capitals	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x87f259…
04-25 06:39:14	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x6f225b…
04-25 06:30:36	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf76d08…
04-25 04:44:56	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $154 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x25e207…
04-24 22:13:14	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xa0d45f…
04-23 22:29:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 Week of April 20 2026?	No	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x9aac17…
04-23 20:43:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $695 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xdde0e0…
04-23 20:12:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $695 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x62bf0d…
04-23 19:59:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xdcfb1c…
04-23 18:01:48	spy closes above 710 on april 23 2026	No	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0x5fafa5…
04-23 17:58:40	spy closes above 700 on april 23 2026	No	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x99bbd3…
04-23 17:53:56	spy closes above 710 on april 23 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x50074f…
04-23 17:46:14	spy closes above 700 on april 23 2026	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf3015b…
04-23 17:35:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $715 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	22¢	$9	0x14efba…
04-23 17:35:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $715 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0x508930…
04-23 17:32:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $720 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x4ca5cf…
04-23 17:32:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $720 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x752d76…
04-23 17:31:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $725 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xb8bc28…
04-23 17:31:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $725 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x06c648…
04-23 17:30:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $715 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x59a756…
04-23 17:29:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $715 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x7cd78a…
04-23 17:19:58	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings	Mumbai Indians	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xeb4cae…
04-23 13:27:18	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x0c5fb8…
04-23 07:08:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x711dda…
04-23 03:56:56	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0xb4f1d7…
04-23 01:18:46	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of April 20 2026?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xf76717…
04-22 15:31:54	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x152a5e…
04-21 04:52:36	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	273	65¢	$178	0x1116f2…
04-21 03:00:12	Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x12e788…
04-20 19:35:22	spy closes above 710 on april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	41	11¢	$5	0x386b15…
04-20 19:31:16	spy closes above 710 on april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x6e53f0…
04-20 19:31:06	spy closes above 710 on april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	57	11¢	$6	0xe456bf…
04-20 19:30:44	spy closes above 710 on april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0x4a8db5…
04-20 19:30:38	spy closes above 710 on april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x2faa8e…
04-20 18:39:58	spy closes above 705 on april 20 2026	No	BUY	38	11¢	$4	0xaa69e6…
04-20 18:08:50	Will Cigna (CI) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	21	49¢	$11	0x6fb2ad…
04-20 18:05:14	Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xb81358…
04-20 17:55:08	Will Cigna (CI) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc27884…
04-20 17:52:26	Will Cigna (CI) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbe0012…
04-20 17:03:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x888676…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	140	$4.04M	7,344	06-09 07:42
(anonymous) 0x5487…a014	115	$30.7K	4,368	03-22 23:03
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	114	$131.6K	15,205	03-31 06:04
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	107	$1.33K	272	03-31 05:45
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	105	$4.09K	837	03-31 06:05
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	104	$13.3K	3,044	06-08 08:39
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	104	$1.10K	562	03-31 06:05
(anonymous) 0xb4d2…9ee1	102	$75.3K	3,092	03-31 06:01