Misty-Stamen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

Trades

939

lifetime

Volume

$225.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$240

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-21 01:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

62% 0% $-17

Crypto

36% 100% +$37

Politics

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cricipl mum kol 2026 03 29	3	$6.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	03-29 17:36
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	47	$6.6K	3,908	3,908	+0	open	—	03-16 18:20
spx up or down on march 25 2026	3	$6.6K	3,550	3,500	+50	open	—	03-25 19:20
crint ind pak 2026 02 15	11	$5.8K	3,912	1,972	+1,940	open	—	02-15 16:31
meta up or down on march 4 2026	3	$5.2K	3,587	1,800	+1,787	open	—	03-04 20:06
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 40 64	2	$4.0K	2,033	2,033	+0	open	—	02-23 06:15
spx up or down on february 26 2026	20	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-26 20:47
spx up or down on february 27 2026	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-27 20:17
spx up or down on february 24 2026	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-24 20:38
btc updown 5m 1774936800	2	$3.9K	392,390	0	+392,390	open	—	03-31 06:05
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 65 89	2	$3.9K	1,967	1,967	+0	open	—	02-21 08:26
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 360 379	2	$3.9K	1,964	1,964	+0	open	—	02-20 17:01
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	6	$3.8K	2,191	2,191	+0	open	—	02-28 13:51
crint lka pak 2026 02 28	5	$3.8K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	02-28 17:22
crint nam usa 2026 02 15	3	$3.8K	1,905	1,901	+4	open	—	02-15 12:43
btc updown 5m 1774841400	2	$3.8K	3,822	0	+3,822	open	—	03-30 03:34
btc updown 5m 1774836900	1	$3.7K	3,786	0	+3,786	open	—	03-30 02:19
crint npl wst 2026 02 15	2	$3.7K	1,898	1,898	+0	open	—	02-15 08:16
btc updown 5m 1774877400	1	$3.7K	3,700	0	+3,700	open	—	03-30 13:34
spx up or down on march 24 2026	9	$3.6K	2,245	2,245	+0	open	—	03-24 17:53
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	2	$3.6K	1,835	1,835	+0	open	—	02-19 16:09
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 40 64	3	$3.5K	2,051	2,051	+0	open	—	03-08 17:53
googl up or down on march 3 2026	3	$3.5K	1,750	1,750	+0	open	—	03-03 21:04
btc updown 5m 1774498200	1	$3.4K	3,476	0	+3,476	open	—	03-26 04:14
btc updown 5m 1774495500	1	$3.4K	3,412	0	+3,412	open	—	03-26 03:29
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by march 13 992 833 133	3	$3.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	03-13 18:29
btc updown 5m 1774836300	1	$3.0K	3,019	0	+3,019	open	—	03-30 02:09
cbb lou mst 2026 03 21	5	$2.8K	3,053	1,000	+2,053	open	—	03-21 20:55
btc updown 5m 1774502700	1	$2.7K	2,746	0	+2,746	open	—	03-26 05:30
spx up or down on march 10 2026	4	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	03-10 17:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 01:56:22	btc updown 5m 1784598900	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb640b8…
07-21 01:53:34	btc updown 5m 1784598600	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x78585b…
07-18 22:05:39	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x46c9c0…
07-16 18:48:14	wti closes above 81 on july 16 2026	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x1ec675…
07-16 18:15:08	wti closes above 81 on july 16 2026	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x67e184…
07-16 17:42:35	wti closes above 81 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xe43eab…
07-16 17:37:58	wti closes above 81 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x555aac…
07-16 05:04:58	will ng reach 3 40 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xcf3fd0…
07-16 05:02:17	will ng reach 3 50 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xde9863…
07-16 01:54:26	will ng reach 3 40 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x96bc0a…
07-16 01:53:53	will ng reach 3 50 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x42be05…
07-08 19:17:22	wti up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbdf8ab…
07-08 06:10:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,041	47¢	$961	0xb33b54…
07-08 06:10:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,041	49¢	$1,000	0xa9fcf6…
07-06 21:17:35	f1 will max verstappen announce move to new team on july 6 2026 20260706154629503	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x776e74…
07-06 21:15:55	f1 will max verstappen announce move to new team on july 6 2026 20260706154629503	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xe192e1…
07-06 19:58:08	will the announcers say messi during the portugal vs spain fifa world cup match 20260706131659350	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x220e15…
07-04 23:25:35	will radim dvoracek eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559104	U <28	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x079c32…
07-04 23:24:07	will radim dvoracek eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559104	U <28	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x78f728…
07-04 22:50:43	will the announcers say cleat during the paraguay vs france fifa world cup match 20260703212206515	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xde579d…
07-04 22:50:02	will the announcers say cleat during the paraguay vs france fifa world cup match 20260703212206515	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x209996…
07-04 22:05:34	will anyone say mustard 10 times during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701048	Yes	SELL	46	1¢	$0	0x766058…
07-04 22:04:41	will anyone say mustard 10 times during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701048	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xa6c02e…
07-04 22:04:40	will anyone say mustard 10 times during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701048	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xbc4263…
07-04 22:04:40	will anyone say mustard 10 times during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701048	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x2e45a0…
07-04 22:04:29	will anyone say six seven during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701052 353	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x8695cf…
07-04 22:03:53	will anyone say six seven during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701052 353	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x38b42c…
07-04 20:55:07	will radim dvoracek eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559104	U <28	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x0cb583…
07-04 20:52:43	will radim dvoracek eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559104	U <28	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x84378e…
07-03 15:02:22	will ketel marte hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210646879	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xc8a97d…
07-03 15:01:37	will ketel marte hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210646879	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x5a53a0…
07-02 06:58:11	will the announcers say patience during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034684	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6f1cca…
07-02 06:16:41	will the announcers say history during the belgium vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260630205128579	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x8811ad…
07-02 06:15:59	will the announcers say history during the belgium vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260630205128579	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x674255…
07-02 02:14:08	will the announcers say fan 10 times during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034676	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf272c5…
07-02 00:36:52	will the announcers say fan 10 times during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034676	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf07ace…
06-29 09:11:34	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcfec1c…
06-26 05:24:47	will viggo bjorck be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346479	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xf4a36f…
06-26 05:20:32	will viggo bjorck be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346479	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x9136bb…
06-26 04:19:07	will chase reid be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346476	Yes	SELL	13	50¢	$6	0x5b4c6d…
06-26 04:00:43	will oliver suvanto be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346491	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x7f641b…
06-26 03:59:49	will oliver suvanto be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346491	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc583b2…
06-26 03:29:25	will ivar stenberg be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346475	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x3feddf…
06-26 03:28:47	will ivar stenberg be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346475	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xd5e02e…
06-26 03:11:13	will chase reid be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346476	Yes	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x38944a…
06-26 03:06:29	will chase reid be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346476	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc09c05…
06-23 11:46:50	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	No	SELL	320	33¢	$106	0x8d5ac2…
06-23 08:02:08	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x74d6a4…
06-23 08:01:02	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xdad8cd…
06-23 07:57:37	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	No	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0xf26824…
06-23 07:57:31	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0xa279f4…
06-23 07:57:04	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x95e00a…
06-23 07:26:23	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xc9cb04…
06-22 12:38:08	r6siege chf ep 2026 06 22	ENTERPRISE Esports	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0xeaa603…
06-16 04:02:27	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x838e2f…
06-16 04:01:00	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xeed90c…
06-08 08:37:51	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt35b	Yes	SELL	500	93¢	$465	0xe434e5…
06-07 22:50:57	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt35b	Yes	BUY	500	95¢	$474	0x7fee84…
06-03 03:55:51	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd6e7c6…
06-03 03:32:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x33c2bd…
06-02 22:42:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$11	0x547e18…
05-22 20:55:55	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0xa71ebc…
05-22 15:49:05	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x4a6280…
05-22 05:16:33	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xff0412…
05-22 05:15:28	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x78746b…
05-17 17:49:58	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x8f37b9…
05-14 00:18:57	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2f6b5b…
05-09 11:44:48	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x286beb…
05-08 03:52:41	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xff4a45…
05-07 20:08:14	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x3d1fda…
05-07 19:10:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	900	95¢	$856	0xb394a5…
05-07 18:42:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	900	95¢	$856	0xb6dedb…
05-05 17:17:16	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Delhi Capitals	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5ded2e…
05-04 16:52:38	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x10f7ce…
05-04 15:52:18	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x76f151…
05-01 21:42:10	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x36ecad…
05-01 13:45:40	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xf57b3b…
05-01 13:29:40	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x854582…
05-01 10:27:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xd15fdf…
05-01 10:26:12	Will gas hit (Low) $4.25 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xd4fdd3…
05-01 10:25:50	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x66882f…
05-01 10:22:22	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xe2ed21…
05-01 09:46:48	Will gas hit (Low) $4.25 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xcc7e43…
05-01 08:32:12	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x76f9fb…
05-01 07:31:38	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x317ebb…
04-30 20:10:58	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x4e2a9b…
04-30 20:00:26	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7673cc…
04-30 19:40:36	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of April 27 2026?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x3f8de6…
04-30 19:39:18	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x49f8aa…
04-29 20:07:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xf38808…
04-29 20:00:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $685 on April 29?	No	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x4c2434…
04-29 19:59:34	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on April 29?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbc4039…
04-29 16:47:06	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x40d472…
04-29 14:29:10	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x820e44…
04-29 14:13:32	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1d175a…
04-29 07:16:26	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	184	71¢	$131	0x020832…
04-29 04:58:40	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x1e29a8…
04-29 04:57:38	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x378994…
04-29 04:57:20	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0xc725ac…
04-29 04:56:54	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0xb63566…