Polished-Casket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

93.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$145

Open exposure

$50

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-20 04:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

70% 89% -$6

Crypto

17% 100% +$1

Politics

9% 100% +$2

Tech

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No		+50	$50	100¢	$50	+$0	10-20 04:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	1	$317	318	0	+318	No	+$1	03-10 08:29
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$299	152	152	+0	No	-$1	05-24 17:13
Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$288	288	0	+288	No	+$0	05-11 05:22
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	3	$281	142	142	+0	No	+$1	05-25 14:26
solana above 110 on june 10 2026	1	$275	275	0	+275	No	+$0	06-08 08:56
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$250	251	0	+251	No	+$1	07-08 10:24
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 160 179	1	$248	248	0	+248	No	+$0	01-03 08:29
zelenskyy of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 180 199	1	$222	222	0	+222	No	+$0	04-11 08:07
will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	1	$222	222	0	+222	No	+$0	06-15 12:45
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 740plus	1	$220	220	0	+220	No	+$0	01-28 05:20
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$220	220	0	+220	No	+$0	02-26 14:04
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	02-26 14:03
ethereum above 2600 on february 3	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-03 13:07
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	1	$190	191	0	+191	No	+$1	07-08 10:25
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$189	189	0	+189	No	+$0	01-03 08:27
ethereum above 1300 on june 16 2026	1	$163	163	0	+163	Yes	+$0	06-15 12:48
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	05-24 17:14
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$132	132	0	+132	No	+$0	04-11 08:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	1	$122	122	0	+122	No	+$0	04-25 03:12
ethereum above 2300 on june 10 2026	1	$122	122	0	+122	No	+$0	06-08 08:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$119	120	0	+120	No	+$1	05-11 05:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$92	93	0	+93	No	+$1	09-12 11:33
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$91	91	0	+91	No	+$0	08-23 05:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$75	76	0	+76	No	+$1	04-11 08:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	10-20 04:57
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	10-10 08:37
will elon musk be richest person on march 31	1	$48	48	0	+48	Yes	+$0	03-23 08:41
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	03-10 08:30
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	10-10 08:35
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	2	$23	22	22	+0	No	-$13	02-26 14:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 04:57:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xfe4382…
10-10 08:37:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xab61dc…
10-10 08:35:49	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xfad911…
09-12 11:33:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x1c1c26…
08-23 05:45:21	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xe8c0a8…
07-08 10:25:38	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	191	99¢	$190	0x60e90e…
07-08 10:24:19	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0xd5ecdf…
06-15 12:48:10	ethereum above 1300 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x216c3c…
06-15 12:45:39	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x6e58df…
06-08 08:56:09	solana above 110 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0x0f3696…
06-08 08:54:13	ethereum above 2300 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xa02e15…
05-25 14:26:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0x9c0c53…
05-24 18:00:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xae20d8…
05-24 17:14:40	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x8140a0…
05-24 17:13:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	152	98¢	$149	0x1f5e7f…
05-24 16:34:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	142	99¢	$140	0x568ac7…
05-24 16:33:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x6c826e…
05-11 05:22:26	Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	288	100¢	$288	0x383cb3…
05-11 05:19:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x205271…
04-25 03:12:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x52bdcf…
04-11 08:07:53	zelenskyy of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 180 199	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x7cef9b…
04-11 08:06:03	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x8c899e…
04-11 08:02:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xd1c0e7…
03-23 08:41:37	will elon musk be richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xbd1baf…
03-10 08:30:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xea3d1e…
03-10 08:29:37	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	318	100¢	$317	0x5dcaeb…
02-26 14:04:14	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x9b30c8…
02-26 14:03:38	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x234626…
02-26 14:02:20	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0x24237a…
02-03 13:07:00	ethereum above 2600 on february 3	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x56ab17…
01-28 05:20:01	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 740plus	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x87803f…
01-03 08:29:43	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0x0105f6…
01-03 08:29:03	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 160 179	No	BUY	248	100¢	$248	0x64953f…
01-03 08:27:35	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x9fa5fe…