Key-Velocity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$658

Unrealized P&L

-$184

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

257

Trades

830

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$109

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 11-04 21:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Other

62% 71% +$849

Crypto

32% 45% -$258

Tech

3% — —

Sports

2% 33% +$87

Politics

1% 50% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+100	$81	98¢	$98	+$17	10-26 12:37
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	+8	$5	95¢	$7	+$3	10-26 12:35
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+3,593	$207	0¢	$4	-$204	11-04 21:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	49	$438	6,543	2,950	+3,593	open	—	11-04 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$403	716	396	+320	Down	-$182	05-05 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	26	$390	343	343	+0	Up	+$90	05-04 20:24
amat quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 2pt21	10	$363	200	200	+0	Yes	+$21	02-12 21:01
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	11	$339	1,569	1,569	+0	No	-$71	03-23 12:18
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$319	273	273	+0	No	+$19	05-05 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	5	$305	250	250	+0	Up	+$105	05-04 20:09
csco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 1pt02	5	$288	311	0	+311	Yes	+$23	02-05 08:44
akam quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt75	4	$279	320	0	+320	Yes	+$41	02-06 14:48
panw quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt94	9	$266	300	0	+300	Yes	+$34	02-06 14:48
Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$265	300	0	+300	Yes	+$35	05-26 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	10	$262	198	198	+0	Up	+$62	05-04 20:13
cs2 faze mnte 2026 03 08	4	$220	200	200	+0	FaZe	+$0	03-08 09:18
tsem quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 11 2026 0pt59	10	$209	243	0	+243	Yes	+$35	02-07 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	18	$207	146	146	+0	Up	+$57	05-04 20:26
usfd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 1pt01	13	$202	270	0	+270	Yes	+$68	02-12 03:17
amat quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 13 2026 3pt39	2	$184	200	0	+200	Yes	+$16	08-08 09:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	3	$180	500	500	+0	No	-$90	03-19 20:59
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$171	600	400	+200	No	-$18	07-08 17:27
fis quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 1pt69	5	$160	230	0	+230	No	-$160	02-24 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$154	243	143	+100	Up	-$10	05-05 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	18	$153	130	130	+0	Up	-$6	05-11 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$150	1,041	0	+1,041	Down	-$150	05-05 07:52
mrvl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 05 2026 0pt79	9	$140	182	0	+182	Yes	+$42	02-28 17:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 21:40 UTC	10	$136	161	161	+0	Down	+$56	07-12 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	4	$135	100	100	+0	Down	+$25	05-05 07:01
adbe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 12 2026 5pt87	2	$134	166	0	+166	Yes	+$32	02-27 17:03
Will Akamai Technologies (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$128	140	0	+140	Yes	+$12	04-30 06:08
avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 2pt02	3	$128	147	0	+147	Yes	+$20	02-25 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$125	272	0	+272	Down	-$125	05-05 07:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 21:46:49	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x50b8b2…
11-02 20:25:54	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xb0ca7c…
11-02 20:08:49	Will FIS (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xd617ea…
10-31 17:06:27	Will Arm (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe3fe53…
10-30 20:28:15	Will Akamai (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x74b4bb…
10-30 07:04:40	Will AMD (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0x76b132…
10-30 07:04:39	Will AMD (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xb4fb29…
10-30 03:25:19	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xe0c113…
10-29 23:16:21	Will AMD (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x7701d4…
10-29 22:01:21	Will AMD (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x98cb22…
10-29 17:48:25	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xb11c68…
10-28 19:17:10	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xe7ec0b…
10-27 10:19:32	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0x0d2fb6…
10-27 09:08:29	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x9047e5…
10-27 06:56:30	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x378d7c…
10-27 06:05:56	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xf34818…
10-27 06:05:56	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xc5abdb…
10-27 06:05:56	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x82e5de…
10-27 05:46:48	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0xa5c4cc…
10-27 04:57:26	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x8a84d2…
10-27 03:52:44	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0xaad306…
10-27 00:56:47	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0xd2f9a8…
10-26 23:45:41	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xa230ff…
10-26 17:00:26	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xdae4d0…
10-26 16:07:05	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	5¢	$5	0xf90feb…
10-26 16:06:48	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x9a490a…
10-26 16:06:11	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0xf50e10…
10-26 13:19:57	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x94d0d3…
10-26 13:08:02	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x9d6bf2…
10-26 12:54:44	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x19ecf1…
10-26 12:37:20	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	81¢	$77	0xcd94b8…
10-26 12:36:56	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,973	5¢	$200	0x1e53ed…
10-26 12:36:51	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,012	5¢	$100	0xc4a2e7…
10-26 12:36:48	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	478	4¢	$20	0xf634b4…
10-26 12:36:06	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0x86bcaa…
10-26 12:35:29	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x35ea41…
10-26 12:35:17	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x3b32bc…
10-26 09:18:42	Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0xc2bd7a…
10-24 14:44:56	Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x5ccc1d…
10-24 10:26:36	Will General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x50fb75…
10-24 00:09:00	Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xd5ec0d…
10-23 13:00:18	Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2bad7c…
10-23 05:05:21	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x56b95c…
10-22 20:00:15	Will Tradeweb (TW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xea6d95…
10-22 18:20:32	Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xa2791e…
10-22 17:12:51	Will Tradeweb (TW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x44f391…
10-22 17:11:12	Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x4a4843…
10-22 17:11:05	Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x37e1a5…
10-22 13:06:17	Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x5e70a7…
10-22 10:55:44	Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x22297e…
10-22 10:19:21	Will Tradeweb (TW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x6ab9cf…
10-22 09:56:35	Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x020dde…
10-22 05:43:11	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	46	20¢	$9	0x93c1aa…
10-22 05:43:11	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x1cfaef…
10-22 00:06:47	Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x7fc26c…
10-22 00:06:35	Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	39	73¢	$29	0x1edf45…
10-21 23:21:45	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x13c511…
10-21 23:21:44	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x56355c…
10-21 21:47:21	Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xf318f9…
10-21 20:33:15	Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x059408…
10-21 16:05:18	Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x3a65d4…
10-21 16:02:57	Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xf4029c…
10-21 15:58:26	Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xd31b40…
10-21 15:57:03	Will General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x771568…
10-21 13:00:08	Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x575ae7…
10-21 10:58:41	Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xc84db4…
10-20 08:44:49	Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x056235…
10-20 08:42:38	Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xf73769…
10-20 08:40:22	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x0e5113…
10-20 08:39:41	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xf75b46…
10-20 08:33:20	Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xabe5ec…
10-20 08:30:31	Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x19155d…
10-20 08:25:43	Will General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xfd652b…
09-13 14:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5648a2…
09-13 14:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x144fb1…
09-13 14:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb41d58…
08-11 19:43:19	wmt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 20 2026 0pt74	Yes	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0x028087…
08-11 12:40:30	csco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 12 2026 1pt17	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xd39979…
08-08 09:28:15	amat quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 13 2026 3pt39	Yes	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0x337152…
08-08 09:28:09	amat quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 13 2026 3pt39	Yes	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0x28e36a…
08-07 07:11:58	nmax quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 13 2026 neg0pt03	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x129e96…
08-07 07:10:10	wmt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 20 2026 0pt74	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xaa76f1…
08-05 18:43:30	expe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 5pt28	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x625384…
08-05 14:20:51	akam quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt58	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x50544e…
08-04 14:35:11	csco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 12 2026 1pt17	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xfb8812…
08-04 14:32:24	met quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 2pt29	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x6e0e42…
08-04 11:00:05	tsem quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 0pt67	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x99eadd…
08-03 09:33:15	ttd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt4	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xe8cffb…
07-30 13:47:57	aapl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt89	Yes	BUY	44	81¢	$36	0x177ad3…
07-30 13:34:57	aapl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt89	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4e9894…
07-30 08:49:50	wix quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1pt21	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xbcf558…
07-29 11:21:50	akam quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt58	Yes	BUY	99	81¢	$80	0x5660be…
07-21 15:51:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcada9b…
07-21 15:51:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x75b02d…
07-21 15:51:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x078e03…
07-21 15:51:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x33383f…
07-21 13:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd2940e…
07-21 13:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf6d9c4…
07-16 13:12:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x396c51…
07-16 13:12:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdaafe1…