Key-Velocity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$244

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

Trades

488

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 05-27 18:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

67% 55% +$2

Crypto

32% 47% $-246

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$403	716	396	+320	Down	$-182	05-05 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	26	$390	343	343	+0	Up	+$90	05-04 20:24
amat quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 2pt21	10	$363	200	200	+0	open	—	02-12 21:01
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	11	$339	1,569	1,569	+0	open	—	03-23 12:18
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$319	273	273	+0	open	—	05-05 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	5	$305	250	250	+0	Up	+$105	05-04 20:09
csco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 1pt02	5	$288	311	0	+311	open	—	02-05 08:44
akam quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt75	4	$279	320	0	+320	open	—	02-06 14:48
panw quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt94	9	$266	300	0	+300	open	—	02-06 14:48
Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$265	300	0	+300	open	—	05-26 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	10	$262	198	198	+0	Up	+$62	05-04 20:13
cs2 faze mnte 2026 03 08	4	$220	200	200	+0	open	—	03-08 09:18
tsem quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 11 2026 0pt59	10	$209	243	0	+243	open	—	02-07 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	18	$207	146	146	+0	Up	+$57	05-04 20:26
usfd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 1pt01	13	$202	270	0	+270	open	—	02-12 03:17
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	3	$180	500	500	+0	open	—	03-19 20:59
fis quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 1pt69	5	$160	230	0	+230	open	—	02-24 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$154	243	143	+100	Up	$-10	05-05 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	18	$153	130	130	+0	Up	$-6	05-11 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$150	1,041	0	+1,041	Down	$-150	05-05 07:52
mrvl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 05 2026 0pt79	9	$140	182	0	+182	open	—	02-28 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	4	$135	100	100	+0	Down	+$25	05-05 07:01
adbe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 12 2026 5pt87	2	$134	166	0	+166	open	—	02-27 17:03
Will Akamai Technologies (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$128	140	0	+140	Yes	+$12	04-30 06:08
avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 2pt02	3	$128	147	0	+147	open	—	02-25 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$125	272	0	+272	Down	$-125	05-05 07:56
Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$125	159	0	+159	Yes	+$35	04-30 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	17	$124	99	99	+0	Down	+$24	05-04 20:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$119	230	230	+0	open	—	04-01 22:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$116	400	400	+0	open	—	04-16 02:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 18:26:10	Will Snowflake (SNOW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0xb14296…
05-26 16:01:09	Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xc0803b…
05-24 04:08:31	Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xfedf13…
05-20 05:19:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	66	93¢	$61	0x0c8139…
05-16 00:32:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xc52303…
05-15 11:26:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb66698…
05-14 20:09:13	Will Rumble (RUM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x2405b8…
05-11 18:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x19b457…
05-11 18:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2ff135…
05-11 18:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5dd837…
05-11 11:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x2a4d7b…
05-11 11:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf4c7a6…
05-11 11:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x420b38…
05-11 11:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xfc43fd…
05-11 11:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb54beb…
05-11 11:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb51836…
05-11 11:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc69a1a…
05-11 11:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0x0ccfc6…
05-11 11:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x286b73…
05-11 11:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x07677f…
05-11 11:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xee9899…
05-11 11:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x954997…
05-11 11:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x618053…
05-11 11:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x28d241…
05-11 11:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9c0582…
05-11 11:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc159c0…
05-11 11:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x599d69…
05-11 11:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4d8df5…
05-11 11:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3c2b68…
05-11 11:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4d03aa…
05-11 11:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x43ca37…
05-11 11:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6e18a3…
05-11 11:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x308eac…
05-11 11:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	67	17¢	$11	0xf4385c…
05-11 11:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x1b2a3e…
05-11 11:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x43ba70…
05-11 11:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1e59a1…
05-11 11:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x088d8f…
05-11 11:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf07018…
05-11 11:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4a9090…
05-11 11:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd4f88f…
05-11 11:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	29	67¢	$20	0x44afe8…
05-11 11:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0c9566…
05-11 11:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xaa96cc…
05-11 11:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbc8ecb…
05-11 11:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8033c1…
05-11 11:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x04a5b1…
05-11 11:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x131263…
05-11 10:40:25	Will Rumble (RUM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x47a77c…
05-10 12:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	24	45¢	$11	0xc9f416…
05-10 12:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0xb12e7d…
05-10 12:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe079d7…
05-10 12:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8335c0…
05-10 12:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x2a1933…
05-10 12:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x131ab5…
05-10 12:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xafb019…
05-10 12:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3d217f…
05-10 12:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x37f9d7…
05-10 11:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x9b8788…
05-10 11:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf4dd57…
05-10 11:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbb61e6…
05-10 11:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x12eaf7…
05-10 11:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbf48b2…
05-10 11:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	47	64¢	$30	0x676d51…
05-10 11:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xba5b2d…
05-10 11:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa30660…
05-10 11:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x139d21…
05-10 11:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x5d5bb8…
05-10 11:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1,119	2¢	$22	0xd07470…
05-10 10:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xfd3bc7…
05-10 10:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	64	90¢	$58	0xcae725…
05-10 10:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x5e1f51…
05-10 10:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xd5f7a2…
05-10 10:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x152e08…
05-10 10:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	17	50¢	$9	0x21fb94…
05-10 10:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x4896b1…
05-10 10:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x26026a…
05-10 10:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	73	30¢	$22	0x1be8e8…
05-08 08:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	51	65¢	$33	0x294b66…
05-08 08:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xaf1f57…
05-08 08:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	86	29¢	$25	0x71da53…
05-08 08:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x43a3ab…
05-07 20:05:15	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xbb24e8…
05-07 20:05:08	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0xd4f3ad…
05-07 20:01:05	Will Trade Desk (TTD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0xb00011…
05-06 12:56:06	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xdf83e8…
05-06 11:35:06	Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xdee4da…
05-06 11:03:40	Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xf98410…
05-06 11:03:38	Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xbae163…
05-06 11:03:06	Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x944dc6…
05-06 08:40:50	Will Trade Desk (TTD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x8b7524…
05-05 21:31:14	Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xcb33fa…
05-05 12:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xdc307d…
05-05 12:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x7bf318…
05-05 12:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	143	50¢	$72	0x9ebc3a…
05-05 12:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x82f3dd…
05-05 12:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xe0703e…
05-05 10:00:06	Will Dupont (DD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x87a3f9…
05-05 09:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	91	8¢	$7	0x6b52bb…
05-05 09:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	46	55¢	$25	0xd32d2b…