Definitive-Lounge — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

2,174 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$7.84K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-02 12:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Politics

55% 24% +$39

Other

44% 16% -$1,018

Tech

1% 0% -$35

Crypto

0% 0% -$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	6	$858	760	760	+0	Yes	+$631	02-28 07:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	61	$804	61,080	51,402	+9,678	No	-$272	05-28 04:39
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	277	$777	32,315	33,625	-1,311	No	-$210	02-28 03:20
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	34	$625	11,976	12,032	-56	No	-$258	01-30 21:51
will the us next strike iran on february 18 2026 et	331	$389	22,958	26,218	-3,260	No	-$38	02-15 11:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	36	$372	14,168	14,168	+0	No	-$165	04-23 03:16
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	470	$324	57,459	56,983	+476	No	-$134	06-30 03:34
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	9	$288	617	617	+0	No	-$17	04-20 07:01
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	12	$222	420	420	+0	No	-$43	05-31 04:34
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	22	$207	506	506	-0	No	-$104	03-09 00:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	60	$204	22,679	20,452	+2,227	No	-$35	04-23 05:51
will the us next strike iran on february 21 2026 et	148	$178	5,315	5,315	+0	No	+$11	02-08 03:51
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	3	$174	280	0	+280	Yes	+$106	05-19 21:41
will the us next strike iran on january 30 2026 et 866	8	$171	4,001	4,001	+0	No	-$78	01-31 01:31
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	90	$158	11,431	2,098	+9,332	No	-$109	02-25 11:37
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	23	$144	4,806	4,806	+0	No	+$10	01-25 21:11
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	10	$128	239	239	-0	No	-$29	03-02 21:18
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	11	$122	2,045	2,045	+0	No	-$11	03-26 21:40
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	21	$110	4,937	4,937	+0	No	-$94	02-08 08:22
will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	84	$108	2,791	2,791	+0	No	+$44	02-08 04:10
Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	3	$103	207	0	+207	Yes	+$103	05-09 22:55
us forces enter iran by march 7	8	$103	587	587	+0	No	-$4	03-05 10:52
will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	16	$93	2,996	2,996	+0	No	+$3	01-25 10:48
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$84	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-24 21:58
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	12	$78	8,001	8,001	-0	Yes	-$35	02-25 21:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	14	$69	341	341	+0	No	-$7	05-28 03:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	7	$53	2,352	2,314	+38	No	-$3	04-29 02:54
us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	5	$50	1,516	829	+687	No	-$29	01-13 01:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	5	$49	139	139	+0	Yes	+$10	04-28 09:03
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	18	$47	816	816	+0	No	-$7	03-04 04:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 12:05:10	Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	BUY	54	11¢	$6	0x43a94b…
07-02 12:01:53	Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x5f158e…
07-02 12:01:53	Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x388b2e…
07-01 02:36:58	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	743	0¢	$3	0x38c3df…
06-30 22:25:46	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x7ea5ae…
06-30 20:47:58	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x02442e…
06-30 20:28:41	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xbf9d6f…
06-30 11:39:31	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	276	0¢	$1	0x96276b…
06-30 05:54:55	grok 4pt4 released by june 30	Yes	SELL	594	0¢	$1	0x668a5d…
06-30 05:52:13	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	0¢	$1	0xf78f19…
06-30 05:51:11	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	0¢	$1	0xae86d3…
06-30 03:59:55	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x0abda6…
06-30 03:37:02	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	0¢	$0	0xe3843e…
06-30 03:34:23	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xef393a…
06-30 03:24:40	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xad4a33…
06-30 02:13:13	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x357517…
06-29 22:27:22	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xefc194…
06-29 22:00:40	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0xd819a6…
06-29 22:00:38	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5a4cee…
06-29 15:08:25	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x42960c…
06-29 14:39:16	grok 4pt4 released by june 30	Yes	BUY	584	0¢	$2	0x67f7dc…
06-29 08:27:10	grok 4pt4 released by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb597d8…
06-29 02:35:56	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x93980b…
06-28 20:24:50	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0xbc7329…
06-28 20:21:44	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x223927…
06-28 20:18:53	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x2d6f1d…
06-28 20:13:34	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x478035…
06-28 19:49:13	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xdb250c…
06-28 19:41:35	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe7a9ff…
06-28 19:41:34	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x36630b…
06-28 19:32:35	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x4751fb…
06-28 19:26:41	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xbaeecd…
06-28 19:16:53	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xa01e2c…
06-28 19:07:28	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0x27ef2f…
06-28 18:37:58	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x66089c…
06-28 16:28:40	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3ee738…
06-28 16:19:17	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc2a528…
06-28 16:18:28	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x42dac7…
06-28 13:36:19	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x590633…
06-28 12:59:28	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x00e34f…
06-28 12:19:43	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa42a13…
06-28 12:09:56	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xebbe69…
06-28 12:07:50	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x936767…
06-28 12:06:56	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0x1a8f2d…
06-28 12:06:04	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7087cd…
06-28 11:55:02	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xff6f11…
06-28 11:54:41	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5e2f1f…
06-28 11:53:04	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0xc346d1…
06-28 11:52:59	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	0¢	$0	0xb966fd…
06-28 10:50:35	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xb55c86…
06-28 08:39:41	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x66e21e…
06-28 08:15:47	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xb11630…
06-28 08:09:29	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x9503f9…
06-28 07:52:52	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xcf5137…
06-28 07:51:55	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xe4d631…
06-28 07:31:55	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x1c440f…
06-28 07:25:01	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x57ef4c…
06-28 07:25:01	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x1ab74f…
06-28 07:24:59	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x2e08ee…
06-28 06:13:13	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x80880e…
06-28 06:12:17	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x1248c0…
06-28 03:14:46	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x3b750c…
06-28 02:47:28	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x6e922d…
06-28 02:12:04	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdf59bb…
06-27 21:30:38	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x99e683…
06-27 18:12:13	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x093c10…
06-27 13:11:23	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x4623db…
06-27 13:00:59	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xb697f5…
06-27 12:55:47	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x69a8d6…
06-27 12:34:04	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xb53263…
06-26 02:09:37	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	52	25¢	$13	0xabdb28…
06-26 02:08:50	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,892	0¢	$14	0xe8a731…
06-26 01:30:23	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 Australia?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd177d7…
06-26 01:29:26	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 Australia?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6d2bb1…
06-26 01:29:26	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 Australia?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x691859…
06-26 01:12:13	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 Australia?	Yes	BUY	153	1¢	$1	0xebf6e9…
06-26 01:11:47	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 Australia?	Yes	BUY	168	1¢	$1	0xaff37e…
06-26 01:08:08	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 Australia?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xdc06d5…
06-26 01:07:55	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 Australia?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xfa7fbb…
06-25 22:21:47	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	Yes	SELL	2,769	0¢	$3	0x532a43…
06-25 05:44:41	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xdcc805…
06-25 05:44:38	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xb8b260…
06-25 05:44:35	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x216dca…
06-25 05:44:32	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x9bd242…
06-25 05:44:29	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x3a8016…
06-25 05:44:26	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf1af91…
06-25 05:44:22	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x6a1f76…
06-25 05:44:20	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x75b54a…
06-25 05:44:16	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xe0df1c…
06-25 05:44:13	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x8e6be9…
06-25 05:24:41	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xaaac30…
06-25 02:19:25	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0xb96aee…
06-25 02:18:26	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0xdf7be9…
06-25 02:16:32	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	0¢	$0	0xaafaa4…
06-25 00:30:53	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x9965c7…
06-25 00:30:52	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xfc4f78…
06-25 00:29:29	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x6168ae…
06-25 00:29:29	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	376	0¢	$1	0x1494d6…
06-24 23:23:19	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	245	0¢	$0	0x35feab…
06-24 23:23:14	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	0¢	$0	0xfe0d61…