Heavenly-Widget — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$2.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$56

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 06-11 07:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

57% — —

Sports

23% 100% +$0

Other

18% 50% +$0

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+69	$35	56¢	$38	+$3	06-03 05:06
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	-72	$-22	24¢	$-17	+$5	06-11 07:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	$-0	06-06 07:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+1	$0	48¢	$0	+$0	06-10 19:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$241	126	126	+0	No	+$0	04-09 19:24
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	12	$217	163	163	+0	open	—	06-06 13:32
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$214	111	111	+0	No	+$0	04-26 05:06
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	6	$148	75	75	+0	open	—	05-30 03:52
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	5	$146	105	105	+0	open	—	06-04 00:11
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$143	76	76	+0	open	—	05-28 10:12
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	6	$142	161	161	+0	open	—	06-10 07:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	4	$140	113	113	+0	open	—	06-08 01:39
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	6	$140	72	72	+0	open	—	06-09 12:52
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$132	70	70	+0	Yes	+$0	04-23 16:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	4	$113	148	79	+69	open	—	06-03 05:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$77	47	47	+0	open	—	06-01 17:15
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$74	42	42	+0	open	—	04-26 22:28
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	3	$71	37	37	+0	open	—	05-29 07:50
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	05-14 21:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	3	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	06-06 02:51
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$67	35	34	+1	open	—	04-21 08:49
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	04-21 19:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$64	33	32	+1	open	—	06-06 07:01
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$59	32	32	+0	open	—	04-13 10:24
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	03-27 06:01
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	3	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	03-22 12:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$41	3	44	-41	open	—	05-28 00:46
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$36	0	37	-37	open	—	05-25 20:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	5	$25	38	37	+1	open	—	06-10 19:42
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$22	0	72	-72	open	—	06-11 07:12
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	2	$8	56	56	+0	open	—	06-10 13:06
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$7	76	76	+0	open	—	04-25 22:47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-26 15:53
Will Alberta join the US?	4	$7	75	75	+0	open	—	06-05 04:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 07:12:06	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xaf9aef…
06-11 06:22:19	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x95a847…
06-11 06:08:48	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x82f51a…
06-11 02:57:28	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0x60f04d…
06-11 02:57:28	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	46	31¢	$14	0x07687b…
06-10 19:42:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	33¢	$12	0xad5c4d…
06-10 18:39:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x6b9651…
06-10 18:38:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8429e9…
06-10 18:38:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x619aac…
06-10 18:38:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x3c2d96…
06-10 13:06:49	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	56	6¢	$3	0xdca851…
06-10 11:21:04	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	56	8¢	$4	0xadda6f…
06-10 07:54:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	87	43¢	$37	0xff2795…
06-10 06:31:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	87	42¢	$37	0x9d5db2…
06-09 18:08:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0xdb658b…
06-09 18:08:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	59	44¢	$26	0x67ac02…
06-09 16:05:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0xc3dfe0…
06-09 16:05:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xaec94c…
06-09 12:52:28	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x40f8b6…
06-09 12:51:40	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x2fe562…
06-09 08:31:58	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x719a74…
06-08 01:39:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	51	69¢	$35	0x13db51…
06-07 23:29:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	51	68¢	$35	0xa911ad…
06-06 13:32:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	36	19¢	$7	0x41ff53…
06-06 11:59:31	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	36	19¢	$7	0x85df79…
06-06 07:01:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xc187e1…
06-06 07:01:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xd7df0b…
06-06 05:30:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x3c55df…
06-06 02:51:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xbdef55…
06-06 02:51:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x7a9806…
06-05 23:19:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xdbf1da…
06-05 20:03:55	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	35	81¢	$28	0xbb0394…
06-05 20:03:55	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0xaff8d2…
06-05 15:06:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	43	81¢	$35	0xb5212c…
06-05 04:30:18	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0xf8f39f…
06-05 02:25:19	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xc743b0…
06-04 23:06:06	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xbc17d4…
06-04 23:06:06	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	36	80¢	$29	0xbb60f3…
06-04 23:06:06	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xb98452…
06-04 19:42:30	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	43	81¢	$35	0x346c65…
06-04 08:24:48	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x3efb83…
06-04 00:11:25	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x67fa0a…
06-04 00:11:25	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	46	70¢	$32	0x0f2fa4…
06-03 20:51:49	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	49	70¢	$34	0x9e59c6…
06-03 16:43:16	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0xb361d6…
06-03 13:57:43	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0x545b8f…
06-03 05:06:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	69	51¢	$35	0x69a538…
06-03 00:04:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	49¢	$29	0x34f7f0…
06-03 00:04:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x192e9f…
06-03 00:03:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	49¢	$39	0x55c149…
06-02 12:31:34	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	56	69¢	$39	0x9f4a0a…
06-02 12:30:48	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	56	69¢	$39	0xa2eef7…
06-01 17:15:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	47	82¢	$39	0xad92c9…
06-01 14:38:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	47	81¢	$38	0x2b49a8…
05-30 21:57:59	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xf30b77…
05-30 19:00:25	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xfccca5…
05-30 19:00:25	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x9f6ecf…
05-30 15:36:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	62	56¢	$35	0xe4af74…
05-30 13:29:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	57¢	$35	0x43ed1d…
05-30 08:08:56	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$2	0xe65e6a…
05-30 06:37:57	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	36	4¢	$2	0x8974a3…
05-30 03:52:33	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x8b0d66…
05-30 03:51:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xb4997b…
05-29 20:25:27	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x8954a2…
05-29 20:25:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xfb2333…
05-29 20:25:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x5f5f9b…
05-29 16:19:49	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x29f8e5…
05-29 07:50:20	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x71d37e…
05-29 07:50:20	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x684ff5…
05-29 04:08:38	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0xef9709…
05-28 10:12:20	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	38	93¢	$35	0x0000c4…
05-28 06:56:44	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0xb87cd4…
05-28 00:46:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	21	87¢	$18	0x368aa4…
05-28 00:46:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0xe3b5bc…
05-27 23:28:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x7268b7…
05-27 19:06:07	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x63f80f…
05-27 19:06:05	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x5e8714…
05-27 17:00:42	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x5aecab…
05-26 15:53:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xff3169…
05-26 12:46:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xa07db2…
05-25 20:18:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xba0a6c…
05-25 20:18:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x7d16ab…
05-14 21:56:27	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x9571ec…
05-14 17:37:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x5834d9…
04-26 22:28:38	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0x833dcb…
04-26 22:28:38	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x400dc5…
04-26 20:55:48	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x6fae00…
04-26 05:06:54	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xf56420…
04-26 05:06:54	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x00399d…
04-26 02:23:50	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x4790f6…
04-25 22:47:22	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	76	5¢	$3	0x9335be…
04-25 20:42:28	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0xa71d7a…
04-25 20:42:28	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xa2e8c1…
04-25 20:42:28	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x99cf90…
04-25 04:21:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	81	4¢	$3	0x0c622c…
04-25 02:18:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$1	0xb7773b…
04-25 02:18:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$1	0xb427d0…
04-25 02:18:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7f9327…
04-24 19:33:38	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x6e5f60…
04-24 18:18:48	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0xd29284…