Yellowish-Email — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.56K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

1,403

Trades

3,134

lifetime

Volume

$18.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-26 18:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 60% -$120

Politics

33% 83% -$1,391

Other

2% 33% -$52

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 363 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 6	2	$2.2K	141,702	0	+141,702	No	-$2,201	03-11 08:12
will iran strike israel on march 8	3	$1.3K	790	790	+0	Yes	+$185	03-08 09:50
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$1.2K	795	795	+0	Yes	+$45	03-08 13:52
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	1	$664	1,030	0	+1,030	Yes	+$366	03-08 09:54
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 12 278	1	$500	658	0	+658	Yes	+$158	03-08 13:54
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 13 953	1	$225	280	0	+280	Yes	+$55	03-08 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:35 UTC	2	$207	112	112	+0	Up	+$7	06-05 21:37
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:35 UTC	2	$197	103	101	+2	Up	$0	06-05 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:30 UTC	2	$160	81	81	+0	Down	+$1	09-29 10:33
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?	2	$146	176	176	+0	Yes	-$54	09-01 21:30
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	2	$136	72	72	+0	Yes	+$6	09-04 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	8	$112	128	0	+128	Up	+$16	09-04 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$99	50	50	+0	Down	+$1	09-28 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:25 UTC	2	$99	50	50	+0	Up	+$1	09-28 22:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:10 UTC	2	$99	50	50	+0	Up	+$1	09-28 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:55 UTC	2	$99	50	50	+0	Down	+$1	09-29 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$99	50	50	+0	Up	+$1	09-29 07:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:40 UTC	3	$99	50	50	+0	Down	+$1	09-29 07:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 08:00 UTC	6	$99	50	50	+0	Up	+$1	09-29 08:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:35 UTC	1	$79	81	0	+81	Down	+$2	09-29 10:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:45 UTC	1	$79	81	0	+81	Down	-$79	09-29 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$77	78	0	+78	Down	+$1	10-26 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$77	78	0	+78	Down	+$1	10-26 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$77	78	0	+78	Up	+$1	10-26 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$77	78	0	+78	Down	+$1	10-26 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	6	$77	78	0	+78	Down	+$1	10-26 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	6	$77	78	0	+78	Down	+$1	10-26 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$77	78	0	+78	Down	+$1	10-26 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$76	78	0	+78	Up	+$2	10-26 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:25 UTC	3	$64	50	14	+36	Up	+$1	09-29 00:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xb3be8d…
10-26 18:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x0bd8f6…
10-26 18:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3d8b98…
10-26 18:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xec9acb…
10-26 18:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5e84de…
10-26 18:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x3ed814…
10-26 18:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd5b806…
10-26 18:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9fdb3a…
10-26 18:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x07d777…
10-26 18:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfc4a36…
10-26 18:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xb818de…
10-26 18:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0x81d316…
10-26 17:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xcbd801…
10-26 17:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x06f3ba…
10-26 17:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x754747…
10-26 17:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdab2ee…
10-26 17:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0x8a4fb9…
10-26 17:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x4dd6cc…
10-26 17:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x0ec95a…
10-26 17:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbe0eee…
10-26 16:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xb9393b…
10-26 15:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xf060dc…
10-26 14:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xd7de27…
10-26 14:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x5d446a…
10-26 13:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x8f2539…
10-25 09:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x61c196…
10-25 09:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xf18f23…
10-25 09:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xdad028…
10-24 12:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x638d7e…
10-24 12:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x41eaf0…
10-24 11:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0xe79b09…
10-24 11:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x8c0d01…
10-23 19:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x51232e…
10-23 19:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x43ab53…
10-23 19:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd7ce34…
10-23 19:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc8cafd…
10-23 19:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5d8ff5…
10-23 18:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfeaaab…
10-23 18:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x851c60…
10-23 18:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x84ce6d…
10-23 18:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x60088c…
10-23 18:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xab8680…
10-23 18:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9c3cb0…
10-23 18:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x197649…
10-21 20:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2ec0c1…
10-21 19:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc4bee…
10-21 19:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7ba817…
10-21 19:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5099a9…
10-21 19:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x43174e…
10-21 18:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3d4976…
10-21 17:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6604fc…
10-21 17:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe0291d…
10-21 17:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7d987e…
10-21 16:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x46a415…
10-21 16:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x9ea801…
10-21 16:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x66c225…
10-21 16:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x144318…
10-21 16:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5f02ea…
10-21 15:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x961e19…
10-21 15:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2113d0…
10-21 14:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcbfe84…
10-21 14:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb20b66…
10-21 14:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa083d6…
10-21 14:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x64a3f9…
10-21 14:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc4eea3…
10-21 14:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ae0ad…
10-21 13:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7ae7f…
10-21 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe19644…
10-21 13:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6be806…
10-21 13:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5f47d8…
10-21 13:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb7d0ef…
10-21 13:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x710bd6…
10-21 12:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x570c6a…
10-21 12:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc20354…
10-21 12:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0b7ee1…
10-21 12:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7566df…
10-21 12:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbce2e8…
10-21 11:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa877a9…
10-21 11:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x289ded…
10-21 11:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcc98c6…
10-20 20:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb09185…
10-20 18:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0559a9…
10-17 09:48:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x174b83…
10-17 09:39:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf7acad…
10-17 09:26:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2936c8…
10-17 09:19:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x90c3a2…
10-17 08:08:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x72ec2d…
10-17 07:49:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x252f8a…
10-17 07:28:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6d55da…
10-17 07:17:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb5562e…
10-16 21:28:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb45128…
10-16 21:23:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf88551…
10-16 21:13:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5d4577…
10-16 20:07:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3f7465…
10-16 19:56:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc3ab63…
10-16 19:48:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb43e88…
10-16 19:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x358a71…
10-16 19:27:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbeeec0…
10-16 13:03:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb4c8ca…
10-16 12:53:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcf47d3…