Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$140

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-24

last 09-30 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

81% 53% -$3

Politics

17% 67% +$0

Tech

3% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say steel during michigan remarks 20260724162420360	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	07-26 15:17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-09 08:52
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-01 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-08 14:17
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-11 17:25
spx up or down on august 10 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	08-08 06:46
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-13 05:01
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-13 23:56
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-13 07:29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-17 17:21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-16 16:57
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-04 02:07
spy up or down on august 5 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$4	08-05 10:21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-07 11:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-13 15:56
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-08 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-18 15:03
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-08 22:32
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-22 02:35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-23 02:39
spx up or down on september 4 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	-$2	09-04 01:44
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-17 19:20
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-22 17:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-03 10:02
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-02 08:04
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-01 23:32
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-02 07:25
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-11 04:39
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on August 31, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-23 06:01
will pltr dip to 162 by august 10 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-11 12:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 18:55:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x79e4f7…
09-30 10:52:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9f56c1…
09-30 02:51:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9c8d19…
09-23 02:39:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xf3d134…
09-22 18:39:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x7e39f5…
09-22 10:36:46	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xb24b7c…
09-22 02:35:32	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x636681…
09-18 15:03:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2efef5…
09-18 02:17:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x106107…
09-17 17:21:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf21ef0…
09-17 08:38:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x82b823…
09-13 23:56:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x4f9ce9…
09-13 15:56:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xeac8f0…
09-13 07:29:46	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xbd3888…
09-11 17:25:54	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x6f464e…
09-09 08:52:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x34b170…
09-08 22:32:45	Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xfeaf84…
09-08 14:17:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x019b31…
09-08 14:00:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd6303e…
09-08 05:21:19	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6e2013…
09-07 20:31:37	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xb6de0c…
09-07 11:52:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7d3d99…
09-04 01:44:18	spx up or down on september 4 2026	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x723262…
09-03 10:56:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xbb0b21…
09-03 02:11:49	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x750c6a…
09-02 17:59:49	will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x25f90a…
09-02 07:25:30	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x35f8e2…
09-01 17:46:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x14967b…
08-23 14:51:10	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb155d1…
08-23 06:01:18	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa2d91b…
08-22 17:46:34	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x898fe4…
08-22 02:33:33	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3e91a4…
08-19 01:30:40	wti closes above 84 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5e9a67…
08-18 03:20:54	will xagusd dip to 64 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf8ade9…
08-17 19:20:00	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2a52e1…
08-17 10:55:31	will xauusd reach 4450 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb3ded1…
08-17 01:58:03	will aapl dip to 296 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x75bfbc…
08-16 16:57:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4d5a6a…
08-13 05:01:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x65189c…
08-12 20:53:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4a8a8d…
08-11 12:43:21	will pltr dip to 162 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x945a2b…
08-11 04:39:37	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9c8e94…
08-08 06:46:57	spx up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x718120…
08-06 10:44:45	xauusd up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xb0fe2f…
08-06 02:23:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xaf2f1d…
08-05 18:22:21	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x6800ff…
08-05 10:21:56	spy up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xed578e…
08-05 02:15:00	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x55b73d…
08-04 18:14:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x367d53…
08-04 10:08:20	Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb00a1b…
08-04 02:07:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4d1ee4…
08-03 18:07:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x4c223c…
08-03 10:02:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x958e65…
08-03 00:40:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xe27738…
08-02 16:39:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x5fad9b…
08-02 08:04:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa069d5…
08-01 23:32:08	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x953c07…
08-01 15:15:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x69183b…
08-01 04:21:42	another pandemic before gta vi	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x27535e…
07-31 20:21:27	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xaceb52…
07-31 12:18:48	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xea205b…
07-31 04:00:54	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4eebfa…
07-29 15:51:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe44d98…
07-29 04:25:48	Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x3e699e…
07-28 11:32:07	will trump say golf or golfer during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556644	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe64d82…
07-27 18:11:01	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0e4b06…
07-27 03:17:31	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x159f0c…
07-26 15:17:09	will trump say steel during michigan remarks 20260724162420360	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x93ba21…
07-26 03:08:03	will warsh say projection during july press conference 20260720204109048	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x453dcf…
07-25 15:07:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc7a14c…
07-25 03:04:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe6b226…
07-24 15:03:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x153868…
07-24 03:03:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x91c136…