Juicy-Lollipop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

100

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$1.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-23 09:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

58% 99% +$4

Politics

27% 100% +$4

Crypto

10% 100% +$1

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	6	$195	107	107	+0	No	+$3	10-23 09:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$119	60	60	+0	No	+$0	10-03 04:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$114	57	57	+0	No	+$1	09-07 12:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$95	48	48	+0	No	+$0	08-14 05:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	3	$92	47	47	+0	No	+$2	08-31 21:43
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$77	54	54	+0	open	—	10-20 10:01
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$59	59	0	+59	Yes	+$0	09-22 15:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	09-14 15:38
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	08-05 14:27
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$48	48	0	+48	Yes	+$0	08-20 18:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$1	08-14 05:34
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-27 05:11
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	07-01 00:03
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	03-31 09:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	07-31 06:46
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	1	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-30 09:45
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	4	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-06 14:28
will ethereum reach 3400 in february 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-25 05:35
will coin reach 195 in june 2026	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-28 19:52
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-29 08:12
will nvda dip to 168 in june 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	06-30 13:38
Will Solana reach $190 in October?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	10-10 10:08
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-05 15:19
msft above 405 on january 30 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	01-24 01:52
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	2	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-20 22:59
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-05 09:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-05 06:21
will xrp dip to 0pt4 in january 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	01-14 08:51
will meta reach 680 in june 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-29 09:44
will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	02-21 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 09:33:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0xb70f0c…
10-23 09:33:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0x628d00…
10-22 18:27:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0x32f53f…
10-20 10:01:53	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	54	73¢	$39	0x9e1fab…
10-19 22:21:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	54	71¢	$38	0x9389e1…
10-18 16:03:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	49	92¢	$45	0x123dd0…
10-18 15:46:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xb019e4…
10-17 15:46:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0xc53a6b…
10-10 10:08:43	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x904c2e…
10-03 04:41:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0xbdbbeb…
09-24 14:29:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x2f1ad9…
09-22 15:42:03	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x33bcc8…
09-14 15:38:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x01b9b0…
09-08 09:41:57	Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x9247ad…
09-07 12:47:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x63aca7…
09-03 13:29:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x9ff05b…
08-31 21:43:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xb8a0a1…
08-25 13:38:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xcd7ec4…
08-25 09:57:21	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x6104e7…
08-25 08:43:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$18	0x0ad061…
08-25 08:38:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$27	0xd17517…
08-23 21:25:48	Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4e8fb8…
08-20 18:06:42	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x611480…
08-17 09:09:09	Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x2d7a35…
08-14 05:34:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	48	98¢	$48	0x4219be…
08-14 05:21:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x92bfb3…
08-11 13:14:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x689f13…
08-06 14:50:38	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x96d848…
08-05 14:27:50	Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd6a975…
08-05 03:47:30	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaddc70…
08-04 22:32:24	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd8b366…
08-04 03:04:03	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x19d0a8…
08-03 21:45:39	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5decff…
07-31 06:46:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x73c682…
07-30 19:32:56	will nvda reach 224 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x40c035…
07-30 01:32:33	will xagusd reach 68 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x09a5e2…
07-29 08:11:08	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd65108…
07-28 23:50:26	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x33e151…
07-26 17:08:22	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf0cb9b…
07-26 12:25:58	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbe6ee4…
07-26 09:42:18	will wti dip to 45 in july 2026 954	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x489e33…
07-25 15:11:37	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbba2df…
07-25 05:57:18	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeb7ccc…
07-23 09:17:43	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4bd45b…
07-23 04:00:03	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaf87a0…
07-22 21:29:21	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b2ad9…
07-21 08:29:57	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe9a97e…
07-21 05:28:30	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2acea0…
07-04 18:16:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5283c1…
07-01 00:03:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd56689…
06-30 13:38:47	will nvda dip to 168 in june 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfaa01b…
06-29 09:44:35	will meta reach 680 in june 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe3e3ff…
06-29 08:12:46	Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x830180…
06-28 19:52:50	will coin reach 195 in june 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf4e083…
06-27 17:17:19	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf59e5d…
06-27 06:23:14	will coin reach 200 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x160e34…
06-27 05:11:16	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb1a549…
05-30 09:45:02	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x2cab47…
05-07 14:59:14	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7edcf3…
05-06 14:28:32	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xba550e…
05-06 11:24:58	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7625f5…
05-05 23:05:20	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xca47a4…
05-05 20:59:38	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x27b3ab…
05-05 20:20:40	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb70acf…
05-05 15:19:50	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5406a8…
05-05 09:07:14	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd423f2…
05-05 06:21:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c895c…
05-05 04:54:00	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa8a3ed…
04-29 09:12:14	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdca5a7…
04-24 19:11:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x832cbb…
04-20 12:53:14	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9fc4ca…
04-20 04:46:18	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x38420d…
04-19 11:12:56	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1a5fe2…
04-18 14:18:30	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb2da7e…
04-18 10:48:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcaebf0…
04-17 10:02:32	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xba5016…
04-16 20:36:24	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x646bf3…
04-16 07:58:42	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6c41e6…
04-15 23:40:56	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xecfd1d…
04-14 22:16:38	Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb65477…
04-13 21:46:33	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfeaf65…
04-13 08:58:29	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8c4040…
04-06 03:39:09	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb97f13…
03-31 09:47:15	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x744a4b…
03-29 06:54:10	will ethena reach 0pt24 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd13e82…
03-26 23:14:43	will elon musks net worth be between 690b and 700b on march 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54d852…
03-24 13:14:17	will bnb dip to 300 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc0f201…
03-23 18:40:27	pltr above 128 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x244165…
03-20 15:38:27	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7d6199…
03-19 15:08:15	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x29e170…
03-19 02:09:29	will ethena reach 0pt32 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x062474…
03-16 12:09:25	will alibaba have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0005da…
03-12 18:14:41	will baidu have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd96560…
03-12 00:50:59	nflx above 160 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbcb835…
03-10 23:46:53	will moonshot have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa950f8…
03-09 16:45:05	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x5f6ddf…
03-06 00:19:15	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1ef0ce…
03-04 11:14:23	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe85fbf…
02-25 19:14:32	googl above 280 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3360b7…
02-25 05:35:46	will ethereum reach 3400 in february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6fe228…