Realized P&L
+$3.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$464
Hit rate
46.6%
Resolved
753
Trades
4,793
lifetime
Volume
$59.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$820
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 11-05 02:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 151 days
Categories
Other
88% 23% +$4,587
Politics
6% 12% -$719
Crypto
3% 46% -$261
Tech
2% 100% +$25
Sports
1% 0% -$512
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +873 $116 75¢ $655 +$539 11-04 23:39
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026? No +717 $134 16¢ $111 -$22 11-04 20:40
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +200 $20 11¢ $22 +$2 11-04 22:32
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes +7,767 $60 0¢ $16 -$45 10-24 16:36
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +1,458 $8 0¢ $6 -$2 10-21 20:50
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in November 2026? Yes +183 $6 2¢ $4 -$2 11-04 23:38
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +73 $3 4¢ $3 $0 11-03 20:19
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in November 2026? Yes +500 $7 0¢ $2 -$5 11-05 02:13
Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +3 $0 36¢ $1 +$1 11-03 19:44
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +87 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 11-03 20:19
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? Yes +148 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-16 12:25