Bruised-Print — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.07K

Unrealized P&L

-$40

Hit rate

46.5%

Resolved

749

Trades

4,793

lifetime

Volume

$59.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$49

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 11-05 02:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 148 days

Categories

Other

88% 23% +$4,589

Politics

6% 10% -$776

Crypto

3% 46% -$261

Tech

2% 100% +$25

Sports

1% 0% -$512

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	+200	$20	11¢	$22	+$2	11-04 22:32
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	+7,767	$60	0¢	$19	-$41	10-24 16:36
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	Yes	+1,458	$8	0¢	$7	-$1	10-21 20:50
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?	Yes	+148	$0	0¢	$0	$0	10-16 12:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	94	$2.4K	9,072	2,497	+6,575	No	-$650	05-21 08:47
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	37	$2.4K	2,073	2,073	+0	Yes	+$892	05-19 11:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	22	$1.3K	18,751	2,000	+16,751	No	-$399	09-27 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	36	$1.2K	1,688	1,688	+0	Yes	+$206	05-12 14:27
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	28	$1.2K	3,353	3,353	+0	No	+$131	05-20 15:21
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	6	$1.1K	982	982	-0	Yes	+$485	06-23 15:17
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	3	$1.1K	1,050	1,050	+0	Yes	+$1,007	06-01 07:00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	44	$1.1K	12,334	0	+12,334	No	-$1,074	05-21 04:57
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	13	$1.0K	5,321	1,000	+4,321	Yes	+$5,269	05-16 22:59
Will White House post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	37	$894	3,789	644	+3,145	Yes	+$3,372	09-08 02:31
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	19	$892	11,000	11,000	+0	No	+$370	05-15 01:27
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	3	$810	835	835	+0	Yes	+$25	05-22 22:37
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	8	$788	2,111	1,000	+1,111	Yes	+$868	05-24 16:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	20	$735	1,922	1,922	+0	No	-$50	06-13 11:47
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	10	$716	2,196	1,602	+594	No	+$351	05-26 14:52
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	22	$700	2,810	746	+2,065	Yes	-$491	08-11 12:21
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	36	$647	3,043	0	+3,043	No	-$647	05-30 22:18
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	5	$592	2,881	581	+2,300	No	+$558	08-30 19:30
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	8	$546	1,600	502	+1,098	No	-$29	05-14 22:31
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	10	$507	765	465	+300	No	+$180	08-27 17:48
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	34	$479	5,473	0	+5,473	No	-$479	06-03 19:27
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	7	$471	2,137	687	+1,450	No	-$160	05-16 18:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	16	$450	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	10-13 17:08
Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?	7	$444	519	519	+0	Yes	+$319	09-30 09:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	12	$433	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	10-09 13:56
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	33	$431	2,788	2,688	+100	No	+$261	08-16 21:08
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	32	$431	3,313	3,313	+0	Yes	-$17	05-20 15:22
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	28	$427	5,256	119	+5,137	No	-$242	08-17 16:01
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	17	$418	1,206	793	+413	No	-$67	05-12 15:02
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	12	$405	1,963	0	+1,963	No	-$405	05-19 12:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 02:13:46	Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x611ca7…
11-05 01:33:49	Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc5f7e4…
11-05 01:27:01	Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbec3ce…
11-05 01:27:00	Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0aa66c…
11-05 01:26:57	Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x037a2a…
11-05 01:26:54	Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7ff08b…
11-04 23:39:28	Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x5965f7…
11-04 23:38:15	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	183	3¢	$6	0xa1a13d…
11-04 22:32:04	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	180	10¢	$18	0xa030c9…
11-04 20:40:31	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	No	BUY	77	17¢	$13	0x70edf4…
11-04 19:36:30	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x99c1ab…
11-04 19:18:12	Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x6887ef…
11-04 18:45:37	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	25¢	$30	0xd86d12…
11-04 18:14:06	Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	259	1¢	$4	0xadcb14…
11-04 17:37:15	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	417	2¢	$8	0x6901ff…
11-04 17:31:31	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	430	2¢	$10	0x00f52f…
11-04 17:14:39	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xaeef05…
11-04 17:12:27	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x46ba0a…
11-04 17:10:48	Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	80	24¢	$19	0x754df4…
11-04 16:02:43	Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	51	21¢	$11	0x2daaef…
11-04 16:02:18	Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	124	20¢	$25	0xe21478…
11-04 16:01:45	Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x2040de…
11-04 15:14:03	Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	1¢	$1	0x6b085e…
11-04 07:28:51	Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0x3b0229…
11-03 23:42:06	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xb4812f…
11-03 22:40:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	11¢	$13	0x6868aa…
11-03 20:19:28	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0xe1b638…
11-03 20:19:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	3¢	$2	0x156dda…
11-03 20:15:16	Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xd93b0e…
11-03 20:14:33	Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	65	11¢	$7	0x809c3d…
11-03 19:44:00	Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xe5e54c…
11-03 19:28:31	Will Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0x1aa254…
11-03 19:28:03	Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	96	52¢	$50	0xa1e4cf…
11-03 18:53:48	Will Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xf92106…
11-03 18:52:34	Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0xb15444…
11-03 17:56:18	Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xac81f7…
11-03 17:32:21	Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	366	7¢	$26	0x4700da…
11-03 17:08:09	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	No	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xbfa76f…
11-03 13:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	80¢	$23	0x3d03c3…
11-03 13:46:49	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	No	BUY	340	21¢	$71	0x940326…
11-03 13:43:21	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	221	80¢	$177	0x332bd1…
11-03 08:26:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	450	17¢	$75	0x374412…
11-01 11:28:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	6¢	$5	0x4cd8e6…
11-01 11:27:52	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	704	1¢	$5	0xc6eaeb…
10-31 20:44:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	12¢	$8	0xb06da8…
10-31 20:43:51	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	12¢	$20	0xed45b2…
10-31 20:21:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xffd374…
10-31 20:19:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xc9fd86…
10-31 20:19:13	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x70abeb…
10-31 20:09:19	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xab8e0e…
10-31 19:34:13	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc5b55c…
10-31 19:28:37	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x36f740…
10-31 19:14:42	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0x92c50c…
10-31 19:13:22	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x72c1b2…
10-31 19:13:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	4¢	$3	0x60bd2e…
10-31 17:38:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xd552d6…
10-31 17:34:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x0086d1…
10-31 15:27:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x000785…
10-31 11:56:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	99	2¢	$2	0x7a26ca…
10-31 11:52:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xc7f78c…
10-31 06:59:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0x059411…
10-31 05:07:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0xe01230…
10-31 04:52:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	98	3¢	$3	0xcfc70c…
10-31 03:38:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x02f9a3…
10-31 02:48:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x905531…
10-31 02:32:52	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x86a739…
10-31 02:32:33	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x60bff2…
10-31 02:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	13¢	$11	0x3d90a9…
10-31 01:31:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x872795…
10-31 00:43:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x4699c8…
10-31 00:18:01	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0x6c7ecd…
10-31 00:06:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xde64bc…
10-31 00:06:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xddece1…
10-31 00:02:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x2971bb…
10-31 00:01:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x938924…
10-31 00:01:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x4371d4…
10-31 00:01:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x3142e4…
10-30 23:58:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x2d613f…
10-30 22:46:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	52	5¢	$2	0xc5b16e…
10-30 22:27:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0x75f517…
10-30 22:05:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x8b4cd2…
10-29 10:34:04	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0x3fa389…
10-29 10:14:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x7ca85b…
10-29 10:01:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x00805c…
10-29 09:56:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xf7010b…
10-29 09:50:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x381c2d…
10-29 09:44:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0x706078…
10-29 09:40:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xf34fda…
10-29 09:27:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x42bf8e…
10-29 09:09:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x6343bc…
10-28 20:05:37	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	403	21¢	$85	0x6fc90d…
10-28 19:56:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	5¢	$7	0xa0df40…
10-28 19:34:17	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x694d25…
10-28 19:28:22	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xe3029f…
10-28 19:28:10	Will Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x28df3e…
10-28 19:26:35	Will Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x6f924c…
10-28 19:24:02	Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x07aa46…
10-28 19:23:34	Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x0ecbe6…
10-28 18:51:49	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x41a028…
10-28 18:51:40	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	99	6¢	$6	0xcdf78c…