Prudent-Mileage — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$340

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved (90d)

2,171

Trades (90d)

8,003

12,597 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$28.6K

$67.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 11-05 03:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 220 days

Categories

Other

97% 40% -$6

Crypto

3% 58% -$41

Politics

0% 100% +$11

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 263 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on June 25?	4	$796	400	400	+0	No	+$4	06-25 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 22?	27	$714	432	432	+0	No	+$108	06-22 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 8?	3	$660	366	366	+0	Yes	+$72	07-08 11:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?	10	$614	400	400	+0	Yes	-$158	06-25 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 24?	3	$586	301	301	+0	No	+$15	06-24 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 21?	10	$552	282	282	+0	Yes	+$11	06-21 17:51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?	8	$501	269	269	+0	Yes	+$37	06-20 18:36
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 19?	2	$395	200	200	+0	No	+$5	06-19 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?	9	$375	200	200	+0	Yes	+$10	06-18 15:25
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 20?	7	$374	192	192	+0	No	+$10	06-20 10:56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 27?	15	$369	226	226	+0	No	+$23	06-27 04:32
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 23?	9	$368	189	189	+0	No	+$9	06-23 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on June 19?	8	$359	180	180	+0	No	+$0	06-19 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or below on June 22?	10	$359	188	188	-0	Yes	+$17	06-22 17:57
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 29?	4	$349	177	177	+0	No	+$5	06-29 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?	7	$322	169	169	+0	No	+$16	06-19 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?	11	$321	175	175	+0	Yes	+$28	06-20 17:35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?	4	$321	220	220	+0	No	-$101	06-25 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 21?	6	$317	168	168	+0	Yes	+$18	06-21 10:15
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 29?	9	$297	157	157	+0	Yes	+$7	06-29 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 24?	6	$289	151	151	+0	Yes	+$12	06-24 17:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?	5	$288	150	150	+0	Yes	+$12	06-24 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?	5	$288	150	150	+0	No	+$12	06-24 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 22?	12	$286	146	146	+0	No	+$6	06-22 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 22?	9	$286	145	145	+0	Yes	+$4	06-22 17:03
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 24?	7	$281	148	148	+0	No	+$10	06-24 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 21?	5	$277	140	140	+0	Yes	+$3	06-21 16:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 24?	12	$276	150	150	+0	No	+$23	06-24 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 20?	7	$267	140	140	+0	Yes	+$12	06-20 10:06
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 19?	11	$267	138	138	+0	No	+$8	06-19 13:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 03:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 5?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xf153e0…
11-05 03:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 5?	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xadb4d5…
11-05 03:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 5?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x702def…
11-05 03:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 5?	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x4fe44c…
11-05 03:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 5?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x62fe84…
11-05 02:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x2dd433…
11-05 02:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xbfe659…
11-05 01:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x7b9ff2…
11-05 01:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 24°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xece31f…
11-05 01:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 24°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x514d2a…
11-05 01:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 24°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x677b40…
11-05 01:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 24°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x3696f3…
11-05 01:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on November 5?	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0xf853fc…
11-05 01:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x607e5c…
11-05 01:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x72c197…
11-05 01:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x395f4f…
11-05 01:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd0f92f…
11-05 01:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x690893…
11-05 01:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 5?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x6ff7fc…
11-05 01:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7fbd73…
11-05 01:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xe54849…
11-05 01:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	28	38¢	$11	0xc5d4f3…
11-05 01:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x437b90…
11-05 01:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	27	44¢	$12	0xdca15c…
11-05 01:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xafbace…
11-05 00:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 24°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc1e6ee…
11-05 00:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x7a7e2a…
11-05 00:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 5?	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xd1ebc2…
11-05 00:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 24°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x6dee0d…
11-05 00:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 24°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x2a4028…
11-05 00:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 24°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x870cc3…
11-05 00:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 5?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xd5cef4…
11-05 00:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 5?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x5214fe…
11-05 00:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 5?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x3cded1…
11-04 18:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb538ff…
11-04 17:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 5?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x2a3a60…
11-04 16:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xa3498a…
11-04 16:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on November 4?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3808bc…
11-04 16:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x0b68f1…
11-04 16:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on November 4?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xe5fff3…
11-04 16:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 5?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xfa36d2…
11-04 16:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 5?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x0422e0…
11-04 14:58:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on November 4?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe154b2…
11-04 14:49:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on November 4?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf207d9…
11-04 14:49:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on November 4?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x6eedda…
11-04 14:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x4aba2e…
11-04 14:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfb9b32…
11-04 14:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf9751c…
11-04 14:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x894a88…
11-04 14:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x1a2db2…
11-04 12:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0xff24bb…
11-04 12:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x3f7718…
11-04 11:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x553da9…
11-04 11:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xa10989…
11-04 11:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on November 4?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x02155f…
11-04 11:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xbfde2c…
11-04 11:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xad71f8…
11-04 11:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x6cb08f…
11-04 10:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 4?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x471e3f…
11-04 10:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x1b9ae5…
11-04 10:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on November 4?	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x8c947e…
11-04 10:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0xa72d8d…
11-04 10:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5b30b8…
11-04 10:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xeb3b92…
11-04 10:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x77f637…
11-04 09:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x924ccf…
11-04 09:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 4?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x7799b6…
11-04 09:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x676e57…
11-04 09:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x8a9ce0…
11-04 09:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x14d0cd…
11-04 09:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 4?	No	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x6416de…
11-04 09:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 4?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x58f6ad…
11-04 08:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x3f7440…
11-04 08:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on November 4?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x3e1455…
11-04 08:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on November 4?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd24689…
11-04 08:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x2dfd6c…
11-04 08:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x70b627…
11-04 08:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 4?	No	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xdd5f30…
11-04 07:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8fe62e…
11-04 06:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x7a67c1…
11-04 06:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x3c3b07…
11-04 06:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9700c4…
11-04 06:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on November 4?	No	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x136bc5…
11-04 06:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on November 4?	No	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x4d3e2d…
11-04 06:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x822179…
11-04 05:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x24799f…
11-04 05:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xd3e554…
11-04 05:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xb865be…
11-04 04:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x27b8aa…
11-04 03:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xfcf7a0…
11-04 03:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xd82139…
11-04 03:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xc0dd09…
11-04 03:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 4?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0xb13a95…
11-04 03:10:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 3?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xdaf71f…
11-04 03:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 4?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xdee2b4…
11-04 02:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0xd6b755…
11-04 02:19:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 3?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x6e102d…
11-04 02:19:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 3?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xa21782…
11-04 02:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on November 4?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xdf97dd…
11-04 02:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 4?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x90ba0d…