Responsible-Trench — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$198

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

180

Trades

286

lifetime

Volume

$3.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 05-25 22:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 72% -$109

Other

18% 77% +$30

Politics

11% 30% -$105

Sports

7% 0% -$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$233	153	153	-0	Yes	-$14	01-31 18:40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$172	200	200	+0	Yes	-$28	01-18 18:46
will google have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$167	120	120	+0	No	+$13	01-31 18:40
will the total number of tsa passengers for january 27 be less than 2100000	2	$83	43	43	+0	Yes	+$3	01-28 17:04
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$60	75	75	+0	No	$0	01-28 17:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$52	174	174	+0	No	-$28	01-18 18:46
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$50	53	0	+53	Yes	+$3	04-15 23:08
will orbn flip magyar for next hungary pm by jan 31	2	$42	24	24	+0	No	+$2	01-28 17:04
will israel strike 1 countries in january 2026	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	01-31 18:41
trove founder arrested by march 31	2	$41	23	23	+0	No	+$1	01-28 17:04
weed rescheduled by march 31	2	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$1	01-31 18:40
will don lemon be criminally charged	2	$40	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	01-28 17:04
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 16	1	$40	43	0	+43	Yes	+$3	01-12 16:22
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$40	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	01-28 17:17
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$39	24	24	+0	Yes	-$1	01-21 15:57
will russia enter sofiivka by january 31	2	$38	22	22	+0	No	-$2	01-31 18:41
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$27	56	56	+0	Yes	-$1	01-28 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	05-20 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	05-23 15:34
will trump meet with reza pahlavi by january 31	2	$23	77	77	+0	No	-$17	01-21 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	05-18 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-22 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-23 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-20 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-21 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-25 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-18 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-18 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-21 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-20 20:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 22:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xfc41e3…
05-25 20:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe0650a…
05-25 20:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xb9b716…
05-25 19:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x6a0686…
05-25 19:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd60a50…
05-25 19:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x920b58…
05-25 15:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xd8aa1f…
05-25 15:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x68b7ca…
05-25 06:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x835887…
05-25 05:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x83aa1a…
05-25 04:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5f12bc…
05-25 03:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf39eca…
05-25 00:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x284383…
05-25 00:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x26ff4d…
05-25 00:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x91bf4d…
05-25 00:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1c025f…
05-24 23:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x822dfe…
05-24 23:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x588af5…
05-24 23:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7f5938…
05-24 22:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x009d1e…
05-24 22:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x1b7c58…
05-24 22:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x86b602…
05-24 21:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf741c0…
05-24 21:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x87538c…
05-24 21:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xb8ae66…
05-24 21:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6ee799…
05-24 21:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x832f17…
05-24 21:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x085e0a…
05-24 21:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	187	5¢	$10	0x80a089…
05-24 14:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2d7147…
05-24 14:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x840724…
05-24 14:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xfb1064…
05-24 14:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x0d7a20…
05-24 13:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x102ed7…
05-24 13:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x1b89fe…
05-24 10:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa3c2cf…
05-24 09:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x43702c…
05-24 06:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x2dfd3b…
05-24 00:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x678704…
05-24 00:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x249d62…
05-23 22:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x31d3ba…
05-23 22:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xadabe9…
05-23 21:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xaeaee6…
05-23 21:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x1cccc4…
05-23 21:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x3e298a…
05-23 21:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x81abde…
05-23 21:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x25d9c6…
05-23 21:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x36199b…
05-23 20:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x6209ba…
05-23 20:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbcac08…
05-23 19:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xbe4b8f…
05-23 18:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xcb212b…
05-23 18:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x23c77c…
05-23 18:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x743303…
05-23 15:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x9d39e5…
05-23 15:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x6549e6…
05-23 14:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x6c4313…
05-23 14:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa2f58f…
05-23 13:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x57851e…
05-23 13:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x3f296a…
05-23 08:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9b67b9…
05-23 08:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x4c16a6…
05-23 08:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdf1390…
05-23 07:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb8a86c…
05-23 07:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6e3f85…
05-23 07:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xad257b…
05-23 07:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x0f7367…
05-23 07:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x2a74b4…
05-23 07:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa3f4da…
05-23 04:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8c7285…
05-23 01:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x81febd…
05-23 01:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x92f029…
05-23 00:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0a02d9…
05-23 00:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xef122e…
05-22 22:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x442c31…
05-22 22:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x988b46…
05-22 22:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x15d73e…
05-22 22:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xaacc57…
05-22 22:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xff30b1…
05-22 22:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0f65f6…
05-22 20:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x079ff0…
05-22 20:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x63d912…
05-22 19:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x1e50fe…
05-22 19:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x313330…
05-22 19:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5ad5ae…
05-22 15:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xadc26d…
05-22 15:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1cfa7f…
05-22 07:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xa93ebb…
05-22 03:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xce280f…
05-22 03:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7f74aa…
05-22 01:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xc26d66…
05-22 01:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd9e478…
05-22 00:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xfb6b9c…
05-22 00:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x82436f…
05-21 19:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x6b949d…
05-21 18:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x72dd21…
05-21 18:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x1cf693…
05-21 18:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x21a071…
05-21 18:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe0c6db…
05-21 17:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x93443d…