Hot-Fantasy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$869

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

235

Trades

5,191

lifetime

Volume

$110.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 05-10 00:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 56% +$752

Other

2% 100% +$117

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 387 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	4	$2.3K	2,483	2,280	+203	open	—	04-26 03:10
xrp updown 5m 1776494100	21	$362	291	274	+17	open	—	04-18 06:39
xrp updown 5m 1776586500	7	$328	250	239	+11	open	—	04-19 08:21
xrp updown 5m 1776244800	7	$319	242	229	+13	open	—	04-15 09:21
xrp updown 5m 1776141900	2	$316	309	294	+15	open	—	04-14 04:48
btc updown 5m 1775419200	4	$312	314	294	+20	open	—	04-05 20:05
btc updown 5m 1776653400	7	$304	224	213	+11	open	—	04-20 02:55
xrp updown 5m 1775916900	3	$302	258	242	+16	open	—	04-11 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	8	$292	244	241	+3	Up	+$173	05-08 00:00
xrp updown 5m 1776151500	2	$281	203	196	+8	open	—	04-14 07:27
xrp updown 5m 1775997000	3	$277	276	256	+21	open	—	04-12 12:33
xrp updown 5m 1776593400	6	$272	188	180	+8	open	—	04-19 10:13
xrp updown 5m 1776148500	2	$267	183	175	+8	open	—	04-14 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	10	$267	250	247	+3	Up	+$210	05-08 22:25
xrp updown 5m 1776499200	7	$264	180	172	+8	open	—	04-18 08:04
xrp updown 5m 1776584100	3	$255	168	163	+5	open	—	04-19 07:40
btc updown 15m 1776663000	11	$252	250	232	+18	open	—	04-20 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	4	$235	228	141	+87	Up	+$37	05-06 04:15
xrp updown 5m 1776490500	9	$229	139	135	+4	open	—	04-18 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	11	$224	151	149	+2	Up	+$64	05-08 06:44
btc updown 5m 1776664200	8	$216	206	121	+85	open	—	04-20 05:54
btc updown 5m 1776664800	15	$216	208	121	+86	open	—	04-20 06:03
btc updown 5m 1776745500	2	$216	179	167	+11	open	—	04-21 04:30
xrp updown 5m 1776590700	4	$213	226	119	+107	open	—	04-19 09:28
xrp updown 5m 1776579300	5	$212	121	118	+3	open	—	04-19 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	7	$211	177	168	+9	open	—	04-25 14:36
btc updown 5m 1777005300	3	$206	198	110	+88	open	—	04-24 04:39
btc updown 5m 1775796900	4	$202	167	159	+8	open	—	04-10 05:00
btc updown 5m 1776386700	3	$202	169	159	+10	open	—	04-17 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	12	$202	181	179	+2	Up	+$144	05-09 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 00:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0x523d8a…
05-10 00:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0x17496f…
05-10 00:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x130d14…
05-10 00:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x0e4eb1…
05-10 00:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xe9308a…
05-09 23:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xbf0c92…
05-09 23:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x8737cb…
05-09 23:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x71d441…
05-09 23:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x47b544…
05-09 23:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	32	96¢	$30	0x386233…
05-09 23:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x2fb196…
05-09 23:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1865c9…
05-09 23:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xf6419f…
05-09 23:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0xfedf6d…
05-09 23:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x4bbc54…
05-09 23:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x88c66c…
05-09 23:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	45	52¢	$23	0xd3b574…
05-09 23:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$7	0x36fedb…
05-09 23:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	64	96¢	$61	0xddff25…
05-09 23:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xc1bacd…
05-09 23:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xd15d8f…
05-09 23:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x394c56…
05-09 23:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x09dd06…
05-09 23:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	122	25¢	$30	0x0528f9…
05-09 23:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xea006a…
05-09 23:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xeb2940…
05-09 23:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x95621f…
05-09 23:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x83daae…
05-09 23:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x76bbd9…
05-09 23:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x714db7…
05-09 23:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x50159f…
05-09 23:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2f944c…
05-09 23:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x23e389…
05-09 23:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xc83bc4…
05-09 23:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x597410…
05-09 23:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0xa70297…
05-09 23:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xa7e267…
05-09 23:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x566c85…
05-09 23:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf611e2…
05-09 23:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xcb5536…
05-09 23:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x3adfa5…
05-09 23:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x3a0595…
05-09 23:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x3961d6…
05-09 23:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xc0086f…
05-09 23:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xce0c6f…
05-09 22:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x301df6…
05-09 22:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	44	67¢	$30	0xfcf476…
05-09 18:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	830	2¢	$15	0xb1342f…
05-09 18:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	488	1¢	$5	0x8f724f…
05-09 16:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	58	40¢	$23	0xe6d7e2…
05-09 16:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x893dd3…
05-09 16:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0xd79144…
05-09 14:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x219910…
05-09 14:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	68	49¢	$33	0xa4d8ad…
05-09 14:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x367a62…
05-09 13:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0x228210…
05-09 13:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xcff9bd…
05-09 13:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xf25b61…
05-09 13:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0xfaf065…
05-09 13:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x7db530…
05-09 13:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xe910f3…
05-09 13:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	71	36¢	$26	0xfbc37c…
05-09 13:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x61abf5…
05-09 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	99	15¢	$15	0xce5e45…
05-09 13:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	99	30¢	$30	0x7633ed…
05-09 13:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	74	96¢	$71	0x69d470…
05-09 13:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xb920ce…
05-09 13:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	63	96¢	$61	0xa4a090…
05-09 13:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x637ea9…
05-09 13:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	63	96¢	$61	0xc2022a…
05-09 13:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0x2c47f2…
05-09 13:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	44¢	$11	0x36fb8d…
05-09 13:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3a3c36…
05-09 13:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x820d81…
05-09 13:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x49f633…
05-09 13:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe60b50…
05-09 13:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xe5fafd…
05-09 13:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xb03594…
05-09 13:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x58f4bd…
05-09 13:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x48fd59…
05-09 13:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2d64cb…
05-09 13:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x16753b…
05-09 13:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xadb1f6…
05-09 12:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xf7ea60…
05-09 12:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	91	17¢	$16	0x067fc5…
05-09 12:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x2ecf15…
05-09 12:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	86	32¢	$27	0x5f636b…
05-09 12:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	62	51¢	$32	0xd27a22…
05-09 12:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xa8f5c9…
05-09 12:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x63ddfc…
05-09 12:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	82	96¢	$79	0x0ec32a…
05-09 12:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x966176…
05-09 12:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	78	96¢	$75	0x8ed84e…
05-09 11:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x5eb0fd…
05-09 11:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	71	96¢	$68	0x49f15b…
05-09 11:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0xdc186d…
05-09 11:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x7d038a…
05-09 11:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xb1d3a8…
05-09 11:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	66¢	$12	0x4d3056…
05-09 11:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xecd6a6…