Hot-Fantasy — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$126

Unrealized P&L

+$37

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

14 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$402

$402 lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$88

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 07:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-126

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up		+48	$30	99¢	$47	+$17	05-06 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down		+42	$22	99¢	$41	+$19	05-06 07:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$50	72	0	+72	Down	$-50	05-06 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$50	86	0	+86	Up	$-50	05-06 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$50	55	0	+55	Down	+$5	05-06 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	4	$38	67	25	+42	open	—	05-06 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$34	60	0	+60	Down	+$26	05-06 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$30	50	0	+50	Up	$-30	05-06 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$30	48	0	+48	Up	+$18	05-06 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$30	64	0	+64	Up	$-30	05-05 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$30	34	0	+34	Down	$-30	05-06 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$30	45	0	+45	Up	+$15	05-06 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$30	48	0	+48	open	—	05-06 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 07:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xbbf8bd…
05-06 07:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0x6ba7ea…
05-06 07:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0x4ccc76…
05-06 07:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x809f42…
05-06 07:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x0c7163…
05-06 05:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x2d6c3c…
05-06 05:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xf10e49…
05-06 04:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x7df31c…
05-06 04:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x6858d3…
05-06 04:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	60	56¢	$34	0x0ef6c2…
05-06 02:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x053931…
05-06 02:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xa6a1aa…
05-06 00:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x60a241…
05-05 07:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x33fb78…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	11	$2.59K	75	05-06 07:24
Pricey-Maker 0x94f4…77a2	10	$1.94K	50	05-06 07:15
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	10	$1.50K	63	05-06 07:24
Athletic-Baseball 0xd1c5…5f91	9	$5.89K	35	05-06 07:14
Visible-Depth 0x23f5…7a6e	9	$872	24	05-06 07:14
Physical-Competence 0xfa67…d948	9	$696	23	05-06 07:15
Adored-Dory-Producer 0x04a1…3527	7	$2.92K	28	05-06 07:14
Stiff-Blackberry 0x10c9…e999	7	$1.09K	24	05-06 07:09