Violent-Basil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.84K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

422

Trades

2,369

lifetime

Volume

$267.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-20 14:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 73% -$3,269

Other

3% 46% +$476

Sports

1% 67% -$45

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 12 9am et	86	$7.4K	4,964	4,964	+0	Up	+$133	01-12 14:56
bitcoin above 72k on march 17	14	$7.2K	3,853	3,852	+0	Yes	-$104	03-17 14:48
bitcoin above 68k on march 10	9	$5.2K	2,652	2,652	+0	Yes	-$45	03-10 15:24
bitcoin up or down january 7 11am et	62	$5.2K	4,853	5,253	-400	Down	-$4,435	01-07 17:04
bitcoin up or down january 5 3am et	14	$4.0K	2,339	2,339	+0	Down	-$91	01-05 09:12
bitcoin above 72k on march 10	17	$3.8K	1,950	1,950	+0	No	-$27	03-10 14:46
bitcoin up or down january 5 5am et	25	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	Up	+$298	01-05 11:22
bitcoin above 66k on february 24	10	$3.4K	2,304	1,153	+1,151	No	+$67	02-24 16:36
bitcoin up or down january 5 1am et	27	$3.3K	1,900	1,900	+0	Up	+$149	01-05 07:03
bitcoin above 70k on march 16	13	$3.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	+$28	03-16 14:42
bitcoin above 68k on march 31	5	$3.1K	2,195	1,295	+899	No	-$175	03-31 14:56
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	12	$2.8K	1,593	1,593	+0	No	-$26	02-23 17:23
bitcoin above 70k on march 17	2	$2.7K	1,363	1,363	+0	Yes	+$3	03-17 01:37
bitcoin above 68k on march 5	8	$2.7K	1,367	1,367	+0	Yes	+$29	03-05 15:30
bitcoin above 68k on march 12	2	$2.6K	1,308	1,308	+0	Yes	+$3	03-12 15:10
bitcoin above 66k on march 11	3	$2.6K	1,302	1,302	+0	Yes	+$5	03-11 15:07
bitcoin up or down january 6 2am et	26	$2.6K	2,662	0	+2,662	Down	+$80	01-06 07:42
bitcoin above 66k on february 28	20	$2.5K	2,235	1,235	+1,000	No	-$47	02-28 16:48
bitcoin above 68k on march 23	2	$2.5K	1,282	1,281	+1	Yes	+$63	03-23 16:08
bitcoin above 78k on march 17	4	$2.5K	1,237	1,237	+0	No	+$14	03-17 13:36
bitcoin above 62k on february 25	3	$2.4K	1,223	1,223	+0	Yes	+$2	02-25 17:21
bitcoin above 70k on february 25	14	$2.4K	1,223	1,223	+0	No	-$1	02-25 12:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 19:15 UTC	2	$2.4K	1,322	1,314	+7	Up	+$237	01-13 19:31
bitcoin up or down january 7 1am et	14	$2.4K	1,337	1,337	+0	Up	-$25	01-07 07:38
bitcoin up or down january 12 3am et	9	$2.3K	1,279	1,279	+0	Down	+$147	01-12 08:36
ethereum up or down january 9 10am et	14	$2.3K	1,279	1,279	+0	Up	-$16	01-09 15:54
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	32	$2.3K	1,700	1,700	+0	Yes	+$21	07-03 04:51
bitcoin above 74k on march 19	2	$2.2K	1,129	1,128	+0	No	+$23	03-19 11:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 08:15 UTC	17	$2.2K	1,174	1,172	+2	Down	+$111	01-12 08:28
bitcoin above 64k on february 27	7	$2.2K	1,150	1,150	+0	Yes	-$64	02-27 12:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 14:32:12	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	178	72¢	$128	0x15274a…
09-24 03:49:38	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	178	80¢	$143	0x8073b3…
09-19 13:05:48	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	145	58¢	$84	0xbb6680…
07-19 20:17:04	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	225	93¢	$210	0x3f991a…
07-19 20:05:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	SELL	185	29¢	$54	0xb2c53c…
07-19 11:29:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xd45a68…
07-18 23:48:34	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	524	41¢	$214	0x1d13ab…
07-15 11:59:02	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x602869…
07-12 08:50:56	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	524	19¢	$100	0x3908c5…
07-12 08:47:35	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	262	38¢	$100	0xe136af…
07-12 02:51:22	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0xe214dc…
07-12 02:50:50	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	302	80¢	$240	0x41f68b…
07-12 01:42:46	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	302	88¢	$265	0x150155…
07-03 04:51:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	400	76¢	$304	0x8c2175…
06-27 21:25:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	263	63¢	$166	0xc8ee7e…
06-27 21:00:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x6a7744…
06-27 20:48:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x4d5491…
06-27 19:04:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	114	63¢	$72	0x350175…
06-27 12:40:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	37	65¢	$24	0x2bc07f…
06-27 11:39:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xe3f06b…
06-27 09:50:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	123	65¢	$80	0x57272e…
06-27 09:41:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x995396…
06-27 09:03:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xc7e0b9…
06-27 08:19:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x955475…
06-27 08:17:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	31	65¢	$20	0x8f5e39…
06-27 08:15:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0x461f5f…
06-27 08:05:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xd28db4…
06-27 07:56:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	400	65¢	$260	0x0b9597…
06-27 07:24:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xcb38cd…
06-27 06:58:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x966d72…
06-27 06:42:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	23	65¢	$15	0x01e825…
06-27 06:08:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x35374b…
06-27 05:40:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	31	65¢	$20	0xb6a741…
06-27 05:26:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	38	65¢	$25	0xf80b70…
06-27 04:40:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xb40440…
06-27 04:11:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x6e663f…
06-27 03:54:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0xe2b215…
06-27 02:52:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0xf7a3fc…
06-27 02:24:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	77	65¢	$50	0xd8f06f…
06-27 02:15:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0xc44b69…
06-27 01:28:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0xd36ca1…
06-26 23:51:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	389	65¢	$253	0xa9b8b4…
06-23 10:07:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	722	67¢	$483	0xa911d7…
06-23 09:30:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	500	68¢	$340	0x7610fe…
06-23 09:29:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	78	67¢	$53	0xe2b7d7…
06-11 09:58:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x39afe0…
06-11 09:57:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x17bd00…
06-11 09:57:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x5210b7…
06-11 09:55:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb2d61a…
06-11 08:23:43	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xa74d6b…
06-08 12:19:16	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xf52f29…
06-05 05:47:24	tread fdv above 80m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xbcb838…
06-05 05:46:58	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xc26db9…
06-04 08:17:58	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xaabd8f…
06-01 14:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xfc29c9…
06-01 14:40:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x7e1956…
06-01 13:25:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	55¢	$138	0xdd3c29…
06-01 11:24:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x5a1b4f…
06-01 10:39:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$7	0x38d93b…
06-01 10:39:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	239	57¢	$136	0x853a01…
05-29 06:19:06	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	KOLESIE	SELL	22	56¢	$12	0xce955f…
05-29 06:08:43	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	KOLESIE	SELL	260	57¢	$148	0xc519fd…
05-29 06:03:16	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	KOLESIE	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xdd0770…
05-29 06:03:14	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	KOLESIE	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xa265b1…
05-29 06:03:00	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	KOLESIE	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x62c981…
05-29 06:03:00	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	KOLESIE	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0x480728…
05-29 06:02:58	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	KOLESIE	SELL	170	58¢	$98	0x9297e3…
05-29 06:01:55	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	KOLESIE	BUY	500	62¢	$310	0xd3623c…
05-29 04:34:09	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	KOLESIE	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x723f09…
05-29 04:33:20	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	KOLESIE	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x01bd94…
05-29 04:33:17	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	KOLESIE	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x322bc5…
05-27 16:07:56	JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xd9a827…
05-27 16:06:52	JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xa7a8e3…
05-27 16:03:36	JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x302b65…
05-27 16:02:59	JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x5a3902…
05-27 05:52:09	Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Gentle Mates	SELL	500	87¢	$435	0x4b21f4…
05-27 05:51:32	Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Gentle Mates	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0x7dcadb…
05-27 05:47:04	Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Gentle Mates	SELL	279	87¢	$242	0xbddc64…
05-27 05:41:51	Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Gentle Mates	BUY	279	86¢	$240	0x1eeead…
05-26 08:24:27	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0xc6fea9…
05-26 08:23:43	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	86	79¢	$68	0x83e3ea…
05-26 05:07:57	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0x6b2455…
05-26 05:03:02	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xacf9d1…
05-25 10:53:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	1,089	98¢	$1,068	0xe76aa5…
05-25 10:52:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xe781c0…
05-25 10:36:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,100	98¢	$1,082	0x4cedac…
05-25 04:32:35	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open above $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xeaab13…
05-25 04:30:43	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,300 and $7,400 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	1¢	$1	0xf6ed11…
05-25 04:28:41	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x395ab8…
05-25 04:28:41	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,300 and $7,400 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x098b56…
05-25 04:28:13	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x552470…
05-25 04:27:33	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	52¢	$31	0xb4468e…
05-25 04:27:03	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,300 and $7,400 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xa34c23…
05-25 04:26:45	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open below $7,300 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	0¢	$1	0xc9e421…
05-24 22:48:50	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	55¢	$43	0x604b3a…
05-24 22:34:57	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x4e786d…
05-24 22:33:54	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc6f281…
05-24 22:33:38	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xdd5948…
05-24 21:10:50	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xdfe6bd…
05-24 16:34:51	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	SELL	506	99¢	$501	0x858a7f…