Silky-Pigsty-Toilet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

28.9%

Resolved

Trades

502

lifetime

Volume

$448

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 07-02 00:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

63% 62% $-3

Other

22% 44% $-4

Crypto

10% 0% $-2

Sports

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ariana Grande feature Nicki Minaj on Petal?	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	06-25 08:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$18	47	47	+0	No	$-2	03-18 18:12
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$11	76	76	+0	open	—	03-19 09:56
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 20:10
Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$8	43	43	+0	open	—	03-25 01:51
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$7	100	100	+0	open	—	03-19 12:55
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	03-24 20:13
Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$7	27	27	+0	open	—	03-26 03:43
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	6	$6	14	14	+0	open	—	05-18 03:13
will backpack launch a token on march 23	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-22 23:56
will trump say movie star during the white house easter egg roll	6	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-06 15:39
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$5	12	12	+0	open	—	04-01 00:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	10	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 17:50
will mrbeasts video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 10:11
will trump say hottest during no tax on tips roundtable	5	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 00:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-24 08:56
will mrbeasts next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2	3	$4	3	2	+1	open	—	04-20 11:56
ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 ars	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	03-17 20:20
will mrbeasts video get 85 million or more views on day 6	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 04:12
will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 58 million views on day 2	3	$4	2	2	+1	open	—	04-20 14:19
will trump say obama during address to the nation 925 698	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-02 02:06
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$3	9	9	+0	open	—	05-27 16:42
will trump say nuclear during healthcare event	5	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 20:03
Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$3	17	17	+0	open	—	03-26 18:58
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	06-22 01:52
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$3	12	12	+0	open	—	03-31 20:01
will trump say womens sports during no tax on tips roundtable	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 00:16
xrp up or down march 18 2026 1pm et	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-18 17:39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-25 23:14
will trump post easter egg on truth social this week	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	04-04 00:20
will trump say jesus christ during the white house easter egg roll	3	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-06 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 00:01:20	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9a898b…
06-28 03:18:01	ebola case in the us by june 30	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x6c4485…
06-25 20:21:25	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x129694…
06-25 08:35:58	Will Ariana Grande feature Nicki Minaj on Petal?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xf096f6…
06-24 12:56:50	Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x232547…
06-23 01:36:19	will noah kahan have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x614d79…
06-22 01:52:50	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x63047c…
06-17 21:11:01	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x80121f…
06-16 21:55:02	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0xb8cfa0…
06-16 09:19:48	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x540562…
06-16 07:46:10	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x430eed…
06-16 07:13:51	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xced9cb…
06-16 05:40:46	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xbc8bc2…
06-16 04:20:27	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xbec957…
06-16 04:20:27	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x9d266a…
06-16 04:14:58	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xf465df…
06-14 19:15:40	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0xa1790f…
06-14 18:27:51	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x3371a7…
06-14 05:30:33	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in june 2026	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x850f90…
06-13 02:08:04	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xd4b4d8…
06-04 15:01:04	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x41cfc8…
06-04 09:25:34	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x5765d1…
06-04 09:24:42	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x75fbc0…
06-01 23:49:54	Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x1c6074…
06-01 23:21:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x7cd97b…
06-01 17:00:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x2fb473…
06-01 15:48:46	Will Ariana Grande feature Doja Cat on Petal?	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x7b3e0a…
06-01 15:01:54	Will Ariana Grande feature Nicki Minaj on Petal?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xeb8781…
06-01 15:01:38	Will Ariana Grande feature Doja Cat on Petal?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xad15f0…
06-01 14:56:30	Will "Billie Eilish" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd2d1b2…
06-01 14:56:11	Will "Hayley Williams" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7d8609…
06-01 14:55:55	Will "Fiona Apple" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3eddec…
06-01 14:41:15	Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x53a368…
06-01 14:03:41	Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in June?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1fcf72…
06-01 11:54:22	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x95af20…
06-01 08:25:12	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2aab58…
06-01 03:02:18	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xed5d2e…
06-01 00:05:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfafaad…
05-31 21:48:56	Will Trump say "Interest rate" this week?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x684e1a…
05-31 20:44:36	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdc774d…
05-31 20:41:27	Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x133379…
05-31 20:00:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x414a10…
05-31 12:15:19	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x49cb35…
05-31 11:56:34	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x19c883…
05-31 11:56:20	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xd87858…
05-31 11:56:13	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x729aa2…
05-31 11:56:11	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x0955d1…
05-31 11:56:09	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x24d9e1…
05-31 11:56:06	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xe4ea42…
05-31 11:55:59	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x008ecc…
05-31 11:55:57	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xabf93c…
05-31 11:55:55	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x49d27b…
05-31 11:55:52	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x78d1e8…
05-31 11:55:50	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xe38c1d…
05-31 11:55:24	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xa3d697…
05-31 11:55:22	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xb1a76b…
05-31 11:55:20	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x936822…
05-31 11:55:20	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x436f3c…
05-31 11:55:15	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xde7068…
05-31 11:55:11	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xf78c87…
05-31 11:55:11	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xdf4b33…
05-31 11:55:03	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x4ddaa3…
05-31 11:54:56	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x6f1eb5…
05-31 11:54:49	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x9d7222…
05-31 11:54:07	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x70161e…
05-31 11:48:13	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Mongolia	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd0bb3c…
05-31 02:34:28	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x41c6f6…
05-31 00:29:24	Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)	EC Vitória	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x7dd002…
05-31 00:29:04	Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)	EC Vitória	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xe084be…
05-31 00:28:35	Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)	EC Vitória	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xf5fa21…
05-31 00:28:17	Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)	EC Vitória	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xdc0ce7…
05-31 00:28:15	Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)	EC Vitória	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xf448cf…
05-31 00:26:43	Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)	EC Vitória	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0xc50cd1…
05-31 00:26:41	Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)	EC Vitória	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x6ac65d…
05-31 00:26:01	Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)	EC Vitória	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xab38d7…
05-31 00:25:59	Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)	EC Vitória	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x1761d2…
05-31 00:25:45	Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)	EC Vitória	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xe2ffeb…
05-30 22:46:44	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x25faed…
05-30 21:09:05	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xdd70c7…
05-30 20:52:39	Will Trump say "Uber" this week?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xc7d99e…
05-30 19:09:45	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb509e1…
05-30 16:32:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xf68334…
05-30 13:57:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x68f930…
05-30 02:07:44	Will Trump say "Uber" this week?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xde361f…
05-30 01:24:09	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x886dd4…
05-29 21:33:48	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x051c79…
05-29 20:36:43	Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x310a30…
05-29 18:00:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8edafc…
05-29 11:00:25	Will Trump say "Interest rate" this week?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc0caaa…
05-28 17:07:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9ad8ae…
05-28 12:41:55	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbd71eb…
05-27 16:57:52	Will Trump say "Oman" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd4fb8c…
05-27 16:42:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xd0a0c1…
05-27 16:31:15	Will Trump say "Pool" or "Pond" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x008f7c…
05-27 16:31:02	Will Trump say "Pool" or "Pond" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x366ec2…
05-27 15:36:14	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7e39c3…
05-27 15:35:50	Will Trump say "Table" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb4ebc2…
05-27 00:30:47	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x88e170…
05-26 23:13:21	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 26?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2066e1…
05-26 12:45:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x111c45…