Hot-Curio — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.97K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

2,036

Trades

2,602

lifetime

Volume

$59.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 10-25 16:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 59% -$516

Other

27% 58% -$2,436

Sports

0% 0% -$23

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	2	$2.7K	1,737	1,737	+0	Yes	+$745	05-03 21:12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	2	$1.9K	1,157	1,157	+0	Yes	+$438	05-05 21:29
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?	2	$1.7K	1,250	1,250	+0	Yes	+$749	05-04 18:36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	3	$1.7K	2,564	0	+2,564	No	-$1,700	05-04 18:53
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	2	$1.5K	1,014	1,014	+0	Yes	-$20	05-05 13:16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	1	$1.5K	3,014	0	+3,014	No	-$1,474	05-10 09:26
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	1	$1000	1,639	0	+1,639	No	-$1,000	05-06 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	5	$864	581	581	+0	Down	+$64	05-11 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	8	$662	673	673	+0	Up	-$138	05-11 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$534	335	335	+0	Down	+$134	05-11 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$532	332	332	+0	Down	+$132	05-11 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$532	332	332	+0	Down	+$132	05-11 12:59
Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-02?	2	$511	266	266	+0	Yes	+$21	05-02 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	3	$485	288	288	+0	Up	+$85	05-11 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$478	280	280	+0	Down	+$78	05-02 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	3	$476	278	278	+0	Down	+$76	05-11 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$473	273	273	+0	Up	+$73	05-11 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$473	276	276	+0	Up	+$73	05-03 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$463	263	263	+0	Up	+$63	05-11 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$431	233	233	+0	Down	+$31	05-03 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$423	225	225	+0	Down	+$23	05-02 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$413	213	213	+0	Down	+$13	05-02 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$410	211	211	+0	Down	+$10	05-02 23:35
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	2	$380	250	250	+0	Yes	+$120	05-02 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	4	$374	238	238	+0	Down	+$31	05-11 12:46
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?	2	$352	212	212	+0	Yes	+$72	05-08 21:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 10:30 UTC	2	$347	551	551	+0	Up	-$253	06-15 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$345	248	248	+0	Down	+$145	05-02 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	3	$326	206	206	+0	Up	+$86	05-11 03:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 12:15 UTC	3	$325	373	123	+250	Down	-$25	06-14 12:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 16:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x08aba6…
10-25 16:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	14¢	$1	0xadf08f…
10-25 16:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x54f66f…
10-25 15:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4dbfec…
10-25 15:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x04c18f…
10-25 15:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc638f5…
10-25 15:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6b8eb1…
10-25 15:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf6d271…
10-25 15:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb3ee37…
10-16 19:42:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x84ef2d…
10-16 19:16:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x84445d…
10-16 18:46:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf54328…
10-16 18:33:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9e795f…
10-02 16:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x412661…
10-02 16:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa30c4e…
10-02 15:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdd8cc6…
10-02 15:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xac2cb0…
10-02 14:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2b2701…
09-28 19:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa0e693…
09-28 19:30:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe0f6d5…
09-28 19:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x874735…
09-28 18:00:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb6679b…
09-28 17:48:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0e0f90…
09-28 17:00:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4436fe…
09-28 16:49:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9b8a2e…
09-28 16:17:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd2ee50…
09-28 14:54:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3340ad…
09-28 12:47:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2a2d00…
09-27 09:16:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6978e6…
09-27 09:03:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x8919a3…
09-27 08:58:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x97a7a7…
09-27 08:34:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x13920b…
09-25 15:45:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x39e760…
09-25 15:16:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x94e2b8…
09-25 14:12:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4ff115…
09-25 14:03:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf2b662…
09-25 13:36:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4c8f02…
09-25 12:52:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x15c791…
09-25 12:27:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd66e30…
09-25 12:03:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x686806…
09-25 10:47:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x682032…
09-25 10:21:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9d3d75…
09-24 21:57:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf14b01…
09-24 21:41:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc38e0e…
09-24 15:38:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6cb673…
09-20 13:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xddfe51…
09-20 12:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8a7a11…
09-20 12:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x505ed6…
09-18 13:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8586eb…
09-18 13:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb43cc9…
09-18 13:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x43506e…
09-17 19:31:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc41369…
09-17 19:17:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa860bc…
09-17 19:00:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x614a55…
09-17 18:44:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xce4aa2…
09-17 18:06:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1b8c0f…
09-17 17:45:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xad7ed2…
09-17 16:51:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3a99ee…
09-17 16:18:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb1aa6c…
09-16 21:16:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf41ccf…
09-16 21:01:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3e1f95…
09-16 20:52:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xafec53…
09-16 20:31:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x195883…
09-16 20:04:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7bc197…
09-16 19:45:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x851932…
09-16 19:11:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb06d4e…
09-16 18:35:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd4107b…
09-16 18:20:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x79b0cb…
09-16 18:05:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8cfc70…
09-16 17:53:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbee103…
09-16 17:25:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x04d2ae…
09-16 16:02:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x719d88…
09-16 15:57:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb33205…
09-16 15:56:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x384645…
09-16 15:31:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x85bcae…
09-16 15:30:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x53cfd0…
09-16 14:45:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1ca061…
09-16 14:33:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8549ea…
09-16 14:25:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd36969…
09-16 13:46:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1f3107…
09-16 13:38:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x83cd87…
09-16 13:25:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x17128d…
09-16 12:51:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x48f89e…
09-16 12:41:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xa54a68…
09-16 12:32:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7f20cf…
09-16 12:20:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfb859f…
09-16 12:06:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa6f997…
09-16 11:55:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9a4509…
09-16 10:19:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1b6a77…
09-16 10:10:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa7341c…
09-16 09:55:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe2b179…
09-16 09:33:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa498b9…
09-16 09:24:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x43b0e8…
09-16 09:19:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb3d991…
09-16 09:04:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x88cdf2…
09-15 19:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5f0723…
09-15 14:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf67ad5…
09-15 14:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x49bb83…
09-15 13:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x134b8e…
09-15 12:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xfd5b42…