Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$22,376

Trades

1,549

Unique wallets

356

Liquidity

$0

Latest YES mid

38¢

Latest NO mid

62¢

End date

2026-09-16

First seen

2026-09-16

last 09-16 20:46

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Speedy-Horse +1,812 Noisy-Colonisation +1,574 (anon) +1,500 Monstrous-Dew +1,349 Deadly-Champion +1,274 (anon) +1,000 (anon) +989 Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail +860

NO holders

Haunting-Cheese +2,692 Bleak-Opinion +1,719 Victorious-Recess +1,414 Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail +1,402 Vague-Hourglass +1,084 Noisy-Colonisation +993 Deadly-Champion +896 (anon) +869

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +3.0¢ (top1%: 22% YES on $12.0K vs crowd: 19% YES on $21.1K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	86	$2.7K	$13.5K	$10.8K
🐬 Dolphin	81	$798	$2.3K	$1.5K
🐟 Fish	106	$312	$1.0K	$734
🦐 Shrimp	83	$134	$290	$156

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	81	$2.6K	$9.4K	$6.8K
🏆 Top 5%	34	$85	$725	$640
✅ Top 10%	19	$4	$254	$250
Median	24	$23	$182	$159
Below median	72	$136	$347	$211
⚠️ Bottom 10%	43	$166	$523	$358
🔻 Bottom 5%	50	$218	$1.3K	$1.1K
💀 Bottom 1%	33	$713	$4.4K	$3.7K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9	Down	+2,692	$2,688	$2,688	4	09-16 20:46
Speedy-Horse 0x61ac…4781	Up	+1,812	$529	$529	36	09-16 20:41
Bleak-Opinion 0x0100…a303	Down	+1,719	$1,684	$1,684	20	09-16 20:44
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	Up	+1,574	$269	$269	46	09-16 20:44
(anonymous) 0x0944…aaba	Up	+1,500	$3	$3	2	09-16 20:44
Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468	Down	+1,414	$1,108	$1,108	3	09-16 20:39
Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail 0x7e5d…c4c3	Down	+1,402	$865	$865	34	09-16 20:40
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	Up	+1,349	$44	$44	4	09-16 20:42
Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da	Up	+1,274	$170	$170	64	09-16 20:44
Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d	Down	+1,084	$972	$972	48	09-16 20:43
(anonymous) 0x3899…3864	Up	+1,000	$1	$1	1	09-16 20:46
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	Down	+993	$791	$791	21	09-16 20:43
(anonymous) 0x4281…1a5a	Up	+989	$40	$40	8	09-16 20:43
Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da	Down	+896	$723	$723	17	09-16 20:43
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	Down	+869	$860	$860	1	09-16 20:42
Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail 0x7e5d…c4c3	Up	+860	$303	$303	29	09-16 20:43
(anonymous) 0xaa6d…7619	Down	+821	$430	$430	11	09-16 20:30
Unlawful-Shear 0xb27b…5b82	Down	+733	$546	$546	16	09-16 20:43
Unlawful-Shear 0xb27b…5b82	Up	+664	$274	$274	18	09-16 20:43
(anonymous) 0x071a…7400	Up	+500	$17	$17	4	09-16 20:43
(anonymous) 0x8483…2fed	Up	+486	$37	$37	3	09-16 20:42
Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d	Up	+435	$168	$168	39	09-16 20:44
(anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90	Down	+363	$274	$274	7	09-16 20:41
(anonymous) 0x89a7…9918	Down	+350	$344	$344	35	09-16 20:44
(anonymous) 0x31f1…5903	Down	+344	$255	$255	16	09-16 20:43
(anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90	Up	+332	$140	$142	17	09-16 20:43
Wrong-Promotion 0x775d…6beb	Down	+315	$196	$196	6	09-16 20:37
Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed	Up	+310	$73	$73	3	09-16 20:38
Tidy-Set 0xbd0f…48fd	Up	+307	$141	$141	8	09-16 20:29
(anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56	Up	+302	$3	$3	10	09-16 20:42
Skeletal-Defeat 0xe8e0…7eec	Down	+302	$196	$196	4	09-16 20:37
Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88	Up	+300	$69	$69	1	09-16 20:38
Accomplished-Landing 0x8ec4…54f2	Down	+300	$161	$161	4	09-16 20:29
(anonymous) 0x6bef…51ca	Down	+294	$288	$288	1	09-16 20:43
Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15	Up	+245	$111	$111	5	09-16 20:29
True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f	Up	+230	$8	$8	1	09-16 20:43
Descriptive-Spectrograph 0x672c…881b	Up	+222	$13	$13	1	09-16 20:43
Funny-Keyboarding 0xa665…01e3	Up	+216	$15	$15	3	09-16 20:43
Trained-Mast 0x3e69…7a30	Down	+205	$200	$200	1	09-16 20:43
Hasty-Essential 0x8d5e…2fe2	Up	+184	$44	$44	18	09-16 20:42
(anonymous) 0x41e2…a354	Up	+182	$46	$46	7	09-16 20:43
Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468	Up	+173	$14	$14	1	09-16 20:43
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Down	+167	$107	$107	9	09-16 20:43
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Up	+162	$59	$59	9	09-16 20:44
(anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461	Down	+151	$139	$139	7	09-16 20:43
(anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3	Up	+150	$45	$45	1	09-16 20:37
(anonymous) 0x5ad1…cf53	Up	+146	$68	$68	5	09-16 20:28
(anonymous) 0x41e2…a354	Down	+136	$105	$105	10	09-16 20:41
Bustling-Pillow 0x4a7a…44d8	Down	+133	$126	$126	6	09-16 20:43
(anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe	Down	+131	$107	$107	9	09-16 20:43
(anonymous) 0x7c54…6c48	Up	+126	$1	$1	2	09-16 20:42
Vicious-Viability 0x7cd1…8d05	Down	+117	$113	$113	4	09-16 20:43
(anonymous) 0x1ef5…9dfa	Up	+105	$6	$6	3	09-16 20:42
(anonymous) 0x2572…80db	Down	+104	$51	$51	1	09-16 20:35
(anonymous) 0x977b…b148	Down	+102	$100	$100	2	09-16 20:43
(anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe	Up	+101	$19	$19	5	09-16 20:43
Formal-Quality 0x534d…f4e4	Down	+101	$100	$100	1	09-16 20:42
(anonymous) 0xf173…18c0	Down	+100	$85	$85	7	09-16 20:40
(anonymous) 0x0fd0…46b6	Down	+100	$96	$96	1	09-16 20:41
Well-Worn-Pension 0xca9b…1c49	Down	+100	$92	$92	2	09-16 20:40