Hasty-Essential — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$729

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

4,279

Trades

13,011

lifetime

Volume

$38.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-29 15:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 162 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 69% -$704

Other

2% 60% -$73

Sports

0% 61% +$2

Politics

0% 43% +$46

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 1292 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	41	$134	205	+205	Up	-$14	05-29 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	48	$83	230	+230	Up	-$13	09-15 10:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 10:00 UTC	39	$82	190	+190	Down	-$22	09-16 10:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 23:15 UTC	20	$80	225	+225	Down	-$40	09-14 23:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 02:45 UTC	45	$78	281	+281	Down	-$8	09-17 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	27	$77	135	+135	Up	+$8	05-29 07:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 16:30 UTC	38	$74	267	+267	Down	+$6	09-16 16:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 21:45 UTC	35	$74	259	+259	Up	+$1	09-16 21:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 20:30 UTC	34	$74	259	+259	Down	+$1	09-16 20:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 02:15 UTC	36	$73	259	+259	Down	-$3	09-17 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 21:15 UTC	39	$73	264	+264	Down	+$17	09-16 21:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 16:00 UTC	38	$73	253	+253	Up	+$6	09-16 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	32	$72	155	+155	Up	+$13	09-15 13:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 04:30 UTC	44	$72	261	+261	Up	+$15	09-17 04:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 23:00 UTC	36	$72	264	+264	Up	-$22	09-16 23:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 18:15 UTC	44	$72	309	+309	Up	+$53	09-16 18:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 17:30 UTC	37	$72	256	+256	Down	+$0	09-16 17:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 01:30 UTC	37	$71	257	+257	Down	-$1	09-17 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 16:15 UTC	42	$71	266	+266	Down	-$11	09-16 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 21:00 UTC	36	$70	253	+253	Down	-$15	09-16 21:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 21:30 UTC	36	$69	249	+249	Down	+$6	09-16 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	37	$68	170	+170	Down	+$27	09-15 14:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 00:00 UTC	31	$67	244	+244	Up	-$2	09-17 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	31	$66	155	+155	Up	+$14	09-15 15:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 22:15 UTC	35	$65	241	+241	Down	-$3	09-16 22:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 20:45 UTC	36	$65	250	+250	Up	+$21	09-16 20:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 03:00 UTC	37	$65	250	+250	Up	-$10	09-17 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 23:45 UTC	32	$65	160	+160	Down	$0	09-16 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	33	$65	155	+155	Up	+$40	09-15 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	33	$64	155	+155	Down	+$6	09-15 16:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb10884…
10-29 16:01:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5bfc35…
10-29 15:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa67838…
10-29 15:46:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x50763a…
10-29 15:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7c9b7d…
10-29 15:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x92a5f4…
10-29 15:36:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x408b71…
10-29 15:35:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x42bd0b…
10-29 15:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x00e58c…
10-29 15:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5895f2…
10-29 15:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x21a482…
10-29 15:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x56a6b8…
10-29 15:15:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5f210b…
10-29 15:12:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf11492…
10-29 14:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3a66c6…
10-29 14:50:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xaa338f…
10-29 14:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xfb2d40…
10-29 14:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6cb1b0…
10-29 14:41:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfe0ce0…
10-29 14:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe3ce08…
10-29 14:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1eb5cc…
10-29 14:27:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x70e0a4…
10-29 14:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc0b07c…
10-29 14:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7b77fb…
10-29 14:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa51112…
10-29 14:06:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x56e1d0…
10-29 14:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0ae062…
10-29 13:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbbf376…
10-29 13:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xdd2c71…
10-29 13:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x350502…
10-29 13:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd1e66f…
10-29 13:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd05805…
10-29 13:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5239fd…
10-29 11:23:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x1869fd…
10-29 11:16:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9e5605…
10-29 09:21:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0a5afb…
10-29 08:27:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xed6f8b…
10-29 08:10:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1ca6ba…
10-29 06:01:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x0945fc…
10-29 05:17:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb225a0…
10-29 04:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x00a699…
10-29 03:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x510ece…
10-29 03:36:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc5cdc2…
10-29 03:35:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0fe1a4…
10-29 02:57:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x753386…
10-29 02:50:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xaab2ad…
10-29 02:46:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x80df69…
10-29 02:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8494bd…
10-29 02:41:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7470f2…
10-29 02:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xe1b916…
10-29 02:35:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbe1ee5…
10-29 02:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa213bf…
10-29 02:17:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x845a44…
10-29 02:16:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5d06dd…
10-29 02:16:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd3009e…
10-29 02:11:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5c0cd6…
10-29 02:11:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x7401dd…
10-29 02:11:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x250847…
10-29 02:10:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1d0f7e…
10-29 02:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x337e4b…
10-29 02:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x270b48…
10-29 02:00:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xcfa5c6…
10-29 02:00:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x0f22f7…
10-29 02:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x550602…
10-29 02:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3b5ca3…
10-29 01:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6f588a…
10-29 01:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x486f60…
10-29 01:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9ac6bb…
10-29 01:35:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x46b1bf…
10-29 01:22:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x2c28fe…
10-29 01:06:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3c8a70…
10-28 20:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x42e8ea…
10-28 19:48:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xba1be7…
10-28 17:20:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xcdc59b…
10-28 16:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa226db…
10-28 16:03:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa042ba…
10-28 15:38:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb50c74…
10-28 14:46:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc47a13…
10-28 14:26:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe6a4b5…
10-28 14:15:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x26080d…
10-28 14:06:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x55f557…
10-28 14:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe6e75b…
10-28 13:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9bbbdf…
10-28 13:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6fb13d…
10-28 12:21:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3b2775…
10-28 12:15:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa43757…
10-28 12:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x56f861…
10-28 12:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xea776a…
10-28 09:06:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9137ea…
10-28 08:31:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xea3df3…
10-28 08:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbe1794…
10-28 05:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x64f72e…
10-28 03:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x15f8b6…
10-28 03:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x919b61…
10-28 01:42:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x594dd8…
10-28 01:42:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xa3023b…
10-28 01:06:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x94717f…
10-28 00:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x80492e…
10-28 00:15:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x581269…
10-28 00:06:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x538153…