Hasty-Essential — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$759

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

4,392

Trades

13,187

lifetime

Volume

$38.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-30 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 163 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 68% -$734

Other

2% 60% -$73

Sports

0% 61% +$2

Politics

0% 43% +$46

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 1292 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	41	$134	205	+205	Up	-$14	05-29 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	48	$83	230	+230	Up	-$13	09-15 10:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 10:00 UTC	39	$82	190	+190	Down	-$22	09-16 10:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 23:15 UTC	20	$80	225	+225	Down	-$40	09-14 23:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 02:45 UTC	45	$78	281	+281	Down	-$8	09-17 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	27	$77	135	+135	Up	+$8	05-29 07:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 16:30 UTC	38	$74	267	+267	Down	+$6	09-16 16:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 21:45 UTC	35	$74	259	+259	Up	+$1	09-16 21:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 20:30 UTC	34	$74	259	+259	Down	+$1	09-16 20:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 02:15 UTC	36	$73	259	+259	Down	-$3	09-17 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 21:15 UTC	39	$73	264	+264	Down	+$17	09-16 21:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 16:00 UTC	38	$73	253	+253	Up	+$6	09-16 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	32	$72	155	+155	Up	+$13	09-15 13:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 04:30 UTC	44	$72	261	+261	Up	+$15	09-17 04:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 23:00 UTC	36	$72	264	+264	Up	-$22	09-16 23:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 18:15 UTC	44	$72	309	+309	Up	+$53	09-16 18:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 17:30 UTC	37	$72	256	+256	Down	+$0	09-16 17:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 01:30 UTC	37	$71	257	+257	Down	-$1	09-17 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 16:15 UTC	42	$71	266	+266	Down	-$11	09-16 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 21:00 UTC	36	$70	253	+253	Down	-$15	09-16 21:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 21:30 UTC	36	$69	249	+249	Down	+$6	09-16 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	37	$68	170	+170	Down	+$27	09-15 14:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 00:00 UTC	31	$67	244	+244	Up	-$2	09-17 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	31	$66	155	+155	Up	+$14	09-15 15:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 22:15 UTC	35	$65	241	+241	Down	-$3	09-16 22:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 20:45 UTC	36	$65	250	+250	Up	+$21	09-16 20:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 03:00 UTC	37	$65	250	+250	Up	-$10	09-17 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 23:45 UTC	32	$65	160	+160	Down	$0	09-16 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	33	$65	155	+155	Up	+$40	09-15 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	33	$64	155	+155	Down	+$6	09-15 16:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 15:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0x60a3e2…
10-30 15:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2b6a48…
10-30 15:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xaca719…
10-30 15:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5c49c0…
10-30 15:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf834a9…
10-30 15:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0fdc3d…
10-30 14:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa724b4…
10-30 14:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3ca95b…
10-30 14:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7e3cad…
10-30 14:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd65602…
10-30 14:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x448575…
10-30 14:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x604c2c…
10-30 14:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0482f0…
10-30 14:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x15fb0e…
10-30 14:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x3c75f2…
10-30 14:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x627607…
10-30 13:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x6a2b43…
10-30 13:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xde0a3a…
10-30 13:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1118d2…
10-30 13:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x04597d…
10-30 13:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x2f8cf4…
10-30 13:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x28f40f…
10-30 13:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc22150…
10-30 13:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x609ea9…
10-30 13:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x08c3cc…
10-30 13:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc03ab2…
10-30 13:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdf0bca…
10-30 13:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2e6d66…
10-30 12:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4a0a11…
10-30 12:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3fe7bd…
10-30 12:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x634e6f…
10-30 12:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xcf13c0…
10-30 11:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5b363d…
10-30 11:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd1db99…
10-30 11:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x393db9…
10-30 10:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa442d5…
10-30 10:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x19a658…
10-30 09:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x63e6e9…
10-30 09:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xd62ef5…
10-30 09:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x5d1daa…
10-30 08:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1deba0…
10-30 08:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x614a86…
10-30 07:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xabc73d…
10-30 07:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2632dc…
10-30 06:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x41d4e5…
10-30 06:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x83c525…
10-30 04:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xbd5574…
10-30 03:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1c772e…
10-30 03:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x15136e…
10-30 03:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0c812c…
10-30 03:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8c1d7e…
10-30 02:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb81f9d…
10-30 02:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x2fbbba…
10-30 02:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc31f5c…
10-30 02:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb33634…
10-30 02:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x160fa4…
10-30 02:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x061f22…
10-30 02:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x665e9f…
10-30 01:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x174d72…
10-30 01:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3ed292…
10-30 01:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdcbc6e…
10-30 01:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd61068…
10-30 01:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2aff8a…
10-30 01:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd2532e…
10-30 01:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6e1d1c…
10-30 01:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4ade03…
10-30 01:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x22adab…
10-30 01:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9fc212…
10-30 01:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7584f2…
10-30 01:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5c967e…
10-30 01:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x50d5f9…
10-30 00:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf8bf0a…
10-30 00:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x99e7af…
10-30 00:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xad7c10…
10-30 00:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0295f3…
10-30 00:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcf1046…
10-30 00:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5078af…
10-30 00:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd77426…
10-30 00:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5b3cc2…
10-30 00:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4ce843…
10-30 00:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9deab2…
10-30 00:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe81b7e…
10-30 00:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xae63aa…
10-30 00:21:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7e4cb7…
10-30 00:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xda2d5a…
10-30 00:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa7219c…
10-30 00:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa062c1…
10-30 00:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8b1b15…
10-30 00:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfd75ee…
10-30 00:16:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa22608…
10-30 00:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x167d9e…
10-30 00:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9a6816…
10-30 00:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x04ad1c…
10-30 00:12:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x95b0d0…
10-30 00:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa9d8b0…
10-30 00:11:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb7193d…
10-30 00:10:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd4058d…
10-30 00:10:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe395fe…
10-30 00:06:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0fe444…
10-30 00:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x22f855…