Grotesque-Department — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$344

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

184

Trades

1,129

lifetime

Volume

$130.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

$228

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-14 02:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Politics

54% 60% -$15,855

Other

39% 66% -$1,688

Crypto

4% 70% -$248

Tech

2% 25% -$1,966

Sports

1% 77% +$123

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No		+400	$320	57¢	$227	-$93	05-10 02:45
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No		+600	$252	0¢	$1	-$251	05-24 22:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	76	$7.6K	13,987	11,685	+2,302	Yes	-$7	02-02 09:59
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	27	$6.8K	7,161	0	+7,161	Yes	+$384	01-25 02:43
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	20	$6.8K	8,200	0	+8,200	Yes	-$6,776	02-27 10:16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	22	$6.2K	5,038	1,475	+3,563	Yes	+$154	02-28 04:02
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	28	$5.3K	4,145	2,559	+1,586	No	+$1,141	01-31 05:41
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	24	$4.9K	5,449	0	+5,449	No	+$547	02-19 09:55
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	17	$4.3K	5,300	0	+5,300	No	+$1,005	01-31 13:20
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	21	$3.8K	4,854	0	+4,854	No	+$1,022	01-29 20:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$3.4K	4,200	0	+4,200	Yes	-$3,404	02-26 18:28
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	22	$2.9K	4,892	0	+4,892	Yes	-$2,929	02-05 20:17
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	7	$2.7K	3,500	0	+3,500	No	+$790	01-14 23:33
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1m 791 144 948	30	$2.5K	3,830	0	+3,830	No	+$1,349	01-27 06:17
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	6	$2.3K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$243	01-22 18:10
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$2.2K	2,315	0	+2,315	No	+$96	02-27 16:39
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	17	$2.2K	3,100	0	+3,100	Yes	-$2,152	02-06 10:08
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	7	$1.9K	2,400	0	+2,400	No	+$495	02-08 08:13
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	8	$1.8K	2,015	0	+2,015	No	-$1,798	02-05 18:20
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	6	$1.8K	2,570	0	+2,570	No	-$1,787	02-19 08:59
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	1	$1.6K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$1,640	02-24 19:52
will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	18	$1.6K	1,906	0	+1,906	No	+$273	01-29 06:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	11	$1.6K	1,870	69	+1,801	Yes	-$1,510	02-28 14:44
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	10	$1.5K	1,992	548	+1,444	No	+$912	01-30 22:19
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	9	$1.5K	1,672	0	+1,672	No	+$190	01-24 01:11
kristi noem out by march 31	14	$1.4K	1,830	0	+1,830	Yes	-$1,415	02-13 17:33
will coinbase run an ad during super bowl lx	22	$1.3K	2,598	0	+2,598	Yes	-$1,347	02-08 17:08
will company b be accused of insider trading	2	$1.3K	1,646	0	+1,646	No	+$327	02-26 05:57
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 18 million 565	12	$1.2K	1,280	0	+1,280	No	+$100	01-29 23:09
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	7	$1.2K	1,289	0	+1,289	No	+$138	02-01 03:43
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 800k 271	32	$1.1K	3,285	0	+3,285	Yes	-$1,135	02-16 02:57
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	4	$1.1K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$78	02-19 10:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 02:16:17	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x12e365…
07-14 02:15:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	No	BUY	159	69¢	$109	0x29539b…
07-14 02:15:01	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x4d8402…
07-13 10:06:53	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x7d2b26…
07-13 10:04:43	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	No	BUY	129	69¢	$89	0xd2ff61…
07-13 10:04:14	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc57e3e…
07-13 09:56:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x148374…
07-13 09:49:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	No	BUY	328	69¢	$226	0x1a7a07…
07-13 05:55:08	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x53862f…
07-12 13:25:59	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	400	81¢	$324	0xff81d3…
06-26 06:55:23	Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x5c2a1b…
06-26 06:55:11	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	350	100¢	$349	0x8507d3…
06-26 06:55:04	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$399	0xb9192b…
06-26 06:54:56	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xf09a4f…
06-26 06:54:50	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x820bf1…
06-26 06:54:37	Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	800	100¢	$798	0xab82ce…
06-26 06:54:29	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	550	100¢	$549	0x0c5e8a…
06-26 06:54:23	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?	No	SELL	550	100¢	$549	0x196848…
05-24 23:16:24	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0xb03b24…
05-24 22:12:31	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	300	42¢	$126	0x094110…
05-24 22:12:22	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	300	42¢	$126	0x7616d5…
05-10 05:19:00	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0xf956a5…
05-10 04:34:54	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0x57a3cc…
05-10 02:45:53	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x3209d1…
05-09 20:52:07	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	66	6¢	$4	0xff779d…
05-09 20:49:31	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xdeebbe…
05-09 20:16:25	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xb72a1a…
05-09 19:34:55	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5801d4…
05-09 19:31:04	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xdbae5d…
05-09 19:15:14	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0x63dcd7…
05-09 19:13:32	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	58	6¢	$4	0xb46d36…
05-09 18:35:30	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x030ddd…
05-09 17:56:39	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x4f7bc7…
05-09 13:52:28	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0x743fbd…
05-09 13:24:19	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xdb309e…
05-09 13:03:47	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0xb2fb08…
02-28 14:44:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	69	61¢	$42	0x2d64e2…
02-28 04:02:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,475	94¢	$1,386	0xe45f07…
02-27 16:39:39	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	315	95¢	$299	0x10ae82…
02-27 10:16:25	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1,907	91¢	$1,736	0x7f5c3d…
02-27 10:16:21	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x3b5b5a…
02-27 10:16:17	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x4cb223…
02-27 10:16:15	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	222	91¢	$202	0xa140d3…
02-27 10:15:45	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x72ad86…
02-27 10:15:29	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	556	91¢	$506	0x7d7a6a…
02-27 10:14:57	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xfc9883…
02-27 10:14:45	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xb61244…
02-27 10:04:25	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xa660f4…
02-27 10:00:37	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	404	92¢	$372	0x02fbb5…
02-27 10:00:19	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	596	92¢	$548	0x863c2e…
02-27 02:54:54	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	1,402	96¢	$1,346	0x30ddb6…
02-27 02:54:06	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xd8a2b2…
02-27 02:49:18	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	548	96¢	$527	0xf9e9ac…
02-26 21:49:42	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	418	84¢	$351	0xbd09ff…
02-26 21:44:34	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	8	84¢	$6	0x3b3a46…
02-26 21:43:50	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0x473b49…
02-26 21:30:42	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xae00a9…
02-26 19:51:16	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0xf29653…
02-26 19:48:12	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0xa99b5f…
02-26 19:35:50	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	42	84¢	$35	0x5de4a5…
02-26 18:28:52	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	2,000	81¢	$1,620	0x445f23…
02-26 17:26:08	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	No	BUY	120	75¢	$90	0xdf1aa2…
02-26 16:11:12	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	No	BUY	90	77¢	$69	0x223aba…
02-26 05:57:40	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	700	79¢	$553	0xeaa43a…
02-26 05:49:34	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	946	81¢	$766	0xb15f83…
02-24 19:52:10	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	82¢	$1,640	0x225b34…
02-24 19:49:08	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	2,000	85¢	$1,700	0xb1827e…
02-24 19:00:20	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	64¢	$640	0x935212…
02-24 05:58:08	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	600	79¢	$474	0x8e175b…
02-24 02:50:18	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	600	80¢	$480	0xb3fa2f…
02-22 15:37:32	will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	Yes	BUY	162	94¢	$153	0x865004…
02-22 15:27:56	will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	Yes	BUY	175	94¢	$165	0xcbf90f…
02-22 15:17:02	will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	Yes	BUY	44	94¢	$42	0x4b9a7f…
02-22 14:48:52	will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	Yes	BUY	60	94¢	$57	0x0e955e…
02-22 14:48:14	will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	Yes	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x6700a9…
02-22 11:52:44	will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x140ce0…
02-22 11:29:04	will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	Yes	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x322f9d…
02-19 14:27:22	iran strike on us military by february 28	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x75daf3…
02-19 14:20:24	iran strike on us military by february 28	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x985e11…
02-19 12:22:20	iran strike on us military by february 28	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x080ab3…
02-19 11:40:16	iran strike on us military by february 28	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x6f3e8c…
02-19 10:28:58	iran strike on us military by february 28	No	BUY	126	81¢	$102	0xdb0f54…
02-19 10:11:56	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	200	93¢	$187	0x8f159e…
02-19 09:55:54	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	475	88¢	$418	0x0962f8…
02-19 09:55:46	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xad09d0…
02-19 09:54:46	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	208	88¢	$183	0x3da546…
02-19 09:52:22	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0xb4fd18…
02-19 09:50:18	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	208	88¢	$183	0x6bf2b2…
02-19 09:48:42	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x5bf1e4…
02-19 09:44:20	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xebfa8c…
02-19 09:44:16	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x9a3065…
02-19 09:44:00	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	182	88¢	$160	0xc67d7a…
02-19 09:39:00	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	431	94¢	$403	0x0dbae8…
02-19 09:13:58	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	551	94¢	$515	0x8650d6…
02-19 09:00:22	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	33	83¢	$27	0xdad764…
02-19 09:00:14	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x6a62f8…
02-19 08:59:38	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	32	70¢	$22	0xfb9cec…
02-19 08:59:28	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	967	83¢	$802	0xaf187f…
02-19 08:57:08	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	252	89¢	$225	0x1783ea…
02-19 08:56:18	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0xf5e4df…