Positive-Plaster — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$90

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

342 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$501

$2.30K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-20

last 09-22 08:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

66% 43% -$219

Sports

27% 48% +$41

Tech

7% 100% +$25

Crypto

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+13	$2	3¢	$0	-$1	06-11 11:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	4	$206	130	130	+0	No	+$26	09-14 20:52
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$181	100	100	+0	Yes	+$11	08-21 15:22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$152	90	90	+0	Yes	+$23	07-31 13:57
cs2 ill4 unity 2026 09 22	3	$111	158	0	+158	ILLYRIANS	-$111	09-22 08:58
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$41	70	0	+70	Yes	+$29	07-15 21:30
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$25	25	25	+0	Yes	+$4	06-11 11:43
New pandemic in 2026?	5	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	06-11 11:44
nhl las car 2026 06 04	4	$20	40	0	+40	Hurricanes	-$2	06-05 03:00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$19	553	553	+0	No	-$1	06-11 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 2?	2	$19	41	40	+0	No	+$8	06-02 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?	3	$17	64	19	+45	Yes	-$2	06-05 05:45
kbo kt sam 2026 05 20	4	$15	20	20	+0	KT Wiz	-$5	06-11 11:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?	2	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	06-01 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 4?	2	$14	11	10	+1	No	+$6	06-04 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 1?	2	$12	267	0	+267	No	-$12	06-01 09:33
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287	3	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	06-11 11:44
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	3	$11	17	17	+0	Yes	+$1	06-11 11:44
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	22	22	+0	Yes	-$2	06-11 11:42
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier	2	$10	9	9	+0	Felix Auger-Aliassime	+$1	05-26 20:11
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 4?	2	$10	113	0	+113	No	-$10	06-04 14:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4?	2	$10	185	0	+185	No	-$10	06-04 16:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?	2	$10	193	0	+193	No	-$10	06-09 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	2	$10	452	0	+452	Yes	-$10	06-06 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?	2	$10	158	0	+158	Yes	-$10	06-07 07:46
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5	2	$10	16	0	+16	Over	+$6	05-26 02:07
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 4?	2	$10	82	0	+82	Yes	-$10	06-04 15:01
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5	2	$10	20	0	+20	Over	$0	05-26 10:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?	2	$10	3,382	0	+3,382	No	-$4	06-09 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?	2	$10	506	0	+506	No	-$1	06-09 05:01
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	2	$10	4,958	0	+4,958	Hurricanes	-$1	05-26 03:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 08:58:42	cs2 ill4 unity 2026 09 22	UNiTY esports	BUY	153	70¢	$107	0x8781f3…
09-22 08:58:31	cs2 ill4 unity 2026 09 22	UNiTY esports	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa074a0…
09-22 08:58:30	cs2 ill4 unity 2026 09 22	UNiTY esports	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xcf11e3…
09-14 20:52:21	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	89¢	$116	0x2d55b9…
08-31 13:56:48	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x9a6d82…
08-31 13:56:48	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	69¢	$41	0x24a7b7…
08-31 11:19:00	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	69¢	$38	0x00ad8c…
08-21 15:22:33	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x5c1a11…
08-17 10:10:10	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xc4a2c6…
08-08 18:39:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 9?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x0565c4…
07-31 13:57:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	90	97¢	$87	0x7d877f…
07-21 15:26:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	90	72¢	$65	0x7a189f…
07-15 21:30:14	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	70	58¢	$41	0x7f30ae…
07-13 18:07:47	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xd09ba4…
07-09 17:16:56	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xf390c7…
07-07 15:48:50	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x1013fd…
06-28 17:51:46	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xbe97a4…
06-22 14:36:58	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xab39da…
06-22 14:28:56	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xee3eaf…
06-18 04:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?	No	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xeffa6f…
06-18 04:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xcfc857…
06-18 04:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 18?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xaa9dfb…
06-18 04:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x979209…
06-18 04:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc931a3…
06-17 23:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x8eba8b…
06-17 22:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x7a00c6…
06-17 21:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x5d43f8…
06-17 21:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1ad2d4…
06-17 10:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 17?	No	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xac5626…
06-17 10:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 17?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x03d6a3…
06-17 10:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xcb9a8f…
06-17 10:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 17?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa0dc21…
06-17 10:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?	No	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x814ec4…
06-17 10:21:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5b0538…
06-17 10:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 17?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf23cab…
06-17 10:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 17?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x0ed943…
06-17 10:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 17?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x064917…
06-17 10:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 17?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xef39c0…
06-17 10:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 17?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa39416…
06-17 10:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0a9f85…
06-11 11:44:25	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	New York Yankees	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xac6480…
06-11 11:44:18	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x58f0a8…
06-11 11:44:09	will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x92fd29…
06-11 11:44:03	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	No	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x3abe5f…
06-11 11:43:54	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x526749…
06-11 11:43:33	kbo kt sam 2026 05 20	KT Wiz	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xa701d9…
06-11 11:43:24	Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in June?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x06c339…
06-11 11:43:12	mlb stl cin 2026 05 24 total 9pt5	Over	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0xbc719e…
06-11 11:43:04	Will Wes Unseld Jr. be the next head coach of the Chicago Bulls?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x6780aa…
06-11 11:42:57	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0xa3863f…
06-11 11:42:34	kbo kt sam 2026 05 20	Samsung Lions	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x014628…
06-11 11:42:19	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	553	2¢	$9	0xe3ee90…
06-11 11:38:39	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	No	SELL	16	33¢	$5	0x13fc9a…
06-11 11:38:39	will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287	Yes	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x00612d…
06-11 11:38:37	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xf742f4…
06-11 11:38:37	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	New York Yankees	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x2d1be4…
06-11 11:38:37	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x22fe7d…
06-11 11:35:30	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	5¢	$3	0x657061…
06-11 03:44:30	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	277	2¢	$5	0x37e24c…
06-11 03:40:45	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	277	2¢	$5	0x814f94…
06-09 08:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	3,377	0¢	$5	0x779486…
06-09 07:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x0b77d1…
06-09 07:31:24	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x26cd50…
06-09 05:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	186	3¢	$5	0xb9cd7f…
06-09 05:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x9c5c07…
06-09 05:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	497	1¢	$5	0x27a4b5…
06-09 04:22:48	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3b8dff…
06-09 03:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?	Yes	BUY	121	4¢	$5	0x640e5e…
06-09 03:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9fc65b…
06-09 00:58:01	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0x7c3571…
06-08 15:56:21	Will Blues win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc2c3c8…
06-08 08:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0xd2027e…
06-08 07:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x5bc58a…
06-08 07:11:51	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x7764b5…
06-08 05:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xfd08f1…
06-08 04:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x184396…
06-08 04:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?	No	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xcb9a79…
06-08 03:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xdc9a62…
06-08 02:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x2281b1…
06-07 19:10:01	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07	Washington Nationals	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7db639…
06-07 17:51:09	mlb oak hou 2026 06 07	Houston Astros	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x716a16…
06-07 11:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x1e0ff9…
06-07 11:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x2ea869…
06-07 07:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?	No	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xedeba0…
06-07 06:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xefc594…
06-07 06:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?	No	BUY	199	3¢	$5	0x9a1bf1…
06-07 05:40:15	Will Wes Unseld Jr. be the next head coach of the Chicago Bulls?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x70f904…
06-07 04:37:25	lol kt dk 2026 06 07	KT Rolster	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa5e3c5…
06-07 04:14:34	Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in June?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x174f35…
06-07 03:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x2e275d…
06-07 01:49:00	mlb nym sd 2026 06 06	New York Mets	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1084f2…
06-06 22:52:16	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	New York Yankees	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xeb7b49…
06-06 16:45:04	mlb sea det 2026 06 06	Seattle Mariners	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xfa88ad…
06-06 13:43:12	lol mkoi kc 2026 06 06	Movistar KOI	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x2d70c8…
06-06 13:23:19	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x9785fa…
06-06 11:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 6?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd3dbe7…
06-06 11:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd7c231…
06-06 11:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	No	BUY	286	2¢	$5	0xcd2565…
06-06 11:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe97d58…
06-06 10:20:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x77bca0…