Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$112

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

Trades

186

lifetime

Volume

$2.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$27

1 position

First seen

2026-02-25

last 11-01 06:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

81% 79% -$67

Politics

16% 75% +$20

Sports

2% 0% -$65

Crypto

1% 57% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes		+27	$27	99¢	$27	$0	11-01 06:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	2	$276	146	146	+0	No	+$5	09-22 17:32
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	3	$233	158	158	+0	Yes	-$44	10-01 07:59
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	15	$176	146	111	+35	Yes	+$14	09-11 09:59
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	3	$166	109	109	+0	Yes	-$4	07-31 04:30
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	3	$136	86	86	+0	Yes	+$36	07-24 10:41
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	8	$125	151	15	+136	Yes	+$35	09-18 18:43
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	15	$124	2,749	2,749	+0	No	-$43	09-11 09:58
Will Juventus FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	4	$101	70	70	+0	Yes	+$3	09-06 20:20
Will Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC end in a draw?	3	$93	61	61	+0	No	+$3	09-06 13:30
US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse	3	$75	43	43	+0	Ignacio Buse	+$12	09-02 22:51
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	2	$64	679	0	+679	No	-$64	10-20 08:48
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Daniel Altmaier	6	$60	32	32	+0	Zachary Svajda	+$4	09-02 21:20
Will Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?	6	$54	47	47	+0	Yes	-$18	09-05 17:34
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	2	$53	46	46	+0	No	+$4	07-16 09:33
atp fritz cerundo 2026 09 04	5	$50	100	100	+0	Francisco Cerundolo	-$12	09-05 19:12
Will CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?	2	$50	30	30	+0	No	+$10	08-31 19:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$50	30	30	+0	No	+$3	06-08 12:09
US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Arthur Rinderknech	3	$48	25	25	+0	Arthur Rinderknech	+$3	09-02 18:29
wta pegula fernand 2026 09 04	7	$43	337	337	+0	Jessica Pegula	-$29	09-04 17:53
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	9	$43	82	48	+34	No	+$10	09-11 09:49
Plovdiv 3: Federico Iannaccone vs Maxim Mrva	2	$39	20	20	+0	Federico Iannaccone	+$1	09-03 10:09
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	2	$37	30	30	+0	Yes	-$6	09-06 20:25
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)	4	$35	98	0	+98	Michael Page	-$35	09-05 19:26
wta snigur shnaide 2026 08 30	2	$33	36	0	+36	Diana Shnaider	+$4	08-31 20:22
ufc micalj fabsin 2026 09 05	1	$30	57	0	+57	Fabia Sintes	-$30	09-04 14:12
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	3	$29	18	18	+0	No	+$1	09-06 16:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	11-01 06:06
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	1	$23	31	0	+31	No	+$8	08-31 19:35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	3	$22	31	14	+17	Yes	-$6	04-02 07:38
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?	1	$22	30	0	+30	No	+$8	08-30 07:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 06:06:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xcb99fd…
10-26 21:57:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$13	0x6dba38…
10-26 21:56:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x0d6904…
10-24 07:29:21	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xcb92e8…
10-24 07:25:17	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x3371b7…
10-20 08:48:25	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x3a466b…
10-19 04:40:54	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	479	10¢	$48	0x03990d…
10-05 04:44:44	Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	No	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x38781d…
10-04 05:21:10	Will Nathalie Roy win the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc8911f…
10-04 05:12:23	Will Stéphanie Martin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x56c37c…
10-03 05:24:51	Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x632917…
10-03 05:23:51	Will Eduardo Amorim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xbdea9a…
10-03 05:21:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x5758e5…
10-02 05:00:09	Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xbafdbe…
10-02 04:56:23	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x3407fd…
10-02 04:54:45	Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x39a63f…
10-02 04:52:21	Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x1461b7…
10-02 04:51:15	Will Vander Loubet win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7a7c5b…
10-01 08:02:48	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xb9e7c3…
10-01 07:59:59	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	Yes	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x776d1b…
10-01 07:51:09	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x0e2956…
10-01 07:49:17	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 150k	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x2351ad…
10-01 07:46:26	will the announcers say late hit during the steelers vs browns game 20261002	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf02342…
10-01 07:31:06	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	Yes	SELL	119	60¢	$71	0xf7d856…
09-22 21:11:16	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	Yes	BUY	158	88¢	$139	0xc93199…
09-22 17:32:51	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	SELL	146	96¢	$140	0x9cd6cf…
09-22 17:08:55	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	BUY	146	93¢	$135	0xd44eb3…
09-18 18:43:43	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x7ce5d0…
09-17 04:30:51	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0xaa73db…
09-13 06:36:54	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xb952f7…
09-12 07:42:39	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x149243…
09-11 09:59:52	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xafac56…
09-11 09:58:19	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$1	0xd3265f…
09-11 09:49:37	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0x99bbb0…
09-11 09:49:01	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	15	77¢	$12	0x661961…
09-11 09:24:34	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xd1cdee…
09-11 09:12:12	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2a2f0e…
09-11 09:08:18	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x7bd0cd…
09-11 09:07:30	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa16e39…
09-11 05:44:37	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,238	0¢	$6	0x487f23…
09-11 04:23:55	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	81¢	$8	0x43724a…
09-11 04:22:43	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x069a3c…
09-10 19:04:21	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0xffaba1…
09-10 19:04:07	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x8253d0…
09-10 18:49:24	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x0686e3…
09-10 18:44:55	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x21713f…
09-10 17:46:43	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	36	20¢	$7	0x220264…
09-10 17:46:06	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x592f16…
09-10 17:44:13	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x607fde…
09-10 17:42:31	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,233	2¢	$27	0x24ba7e…
09-10 10:57:31	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	323	2¢	$7	0x87bae2…
09-10 06:43:06	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	380	3¢	$11	0xd5377d…
09-10 06:42:15	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	5¢	$3	0x1ab43c…
09-10 06:41:54	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	61¢	$11	0xe91118…
09-10 06:41:34	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	31¢	$11	0xcebf9f…
09-10 04:31:52	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x0b973d…
09-10 04:29:42	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x0cb9c9…
09-10 04:27:58	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	201	3¢	$6	0xa792e7…
09-10 04:26:07	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	90¢	$13	0x9fdd61…
09-09 10:41:09	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x631cd4…
09-08 18:45:04	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x0fd78b…
09-08 14:56:10	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	266	2¢	$5	0xd47362…
09-08 05:12:42	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	527	2¢	$11	0xe439c2…
09-07 15:44:21	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe736d3…
09-07 05:26:48	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xdbbbe2…
09-06 20:25:49	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0xac0b93…
09-06 20:20:42	Will Juventus FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	No	SELL	70	75¢	$52	0x434d85…
09-06 18:50:58	US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova	Linda Noskova	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x969a70…
09-06 18:35:40	US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova	Linda Noskova	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x12c784…
09-06 18:27:45	US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova	Linda Noskova	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5b57a0…
09-06 17:54:51	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0x2f80e3…
09-06 17:06:25	Will Juventus FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x223c0e…
09-06 16:47:43	Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0xab4d92…
09-06 15:18:37	Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x0dc390…
09-06 15:17:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	53	14¢	$7	0x2058de…
09-06 15:14:06	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	716	5¢	$35	0xcd6fa7…
09-06 15:10:57	Will Juventus FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x4ecad4…
09-06 13:30:40	Will Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	61	78¢	$48	0x63b3f1…
09-06 11:33:18	Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x3498aa…
09-06 09:26:57	Will Juventus FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	No	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xc8c24e…
09-06 06:57:46	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xdd5bcd…
09-06 06:42:15	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	230	3¢	$7	0x80b57f…
09-06 06:23:21	Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AC Monza end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xbcd813…
09-05 19:41:25	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0x8d606d…
09-05 19:26:28	UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Nursulton Ruziboev	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd33458…
09-05 19:12:24	atp fritz cerundo 2026 09 04	Francisco Cerundolo	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x72fbb7…
09-05 19:10:51	atp fritz cerundo 2026 09 04	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0xcfd1d2…
09-05 19:08:13	atp fritz cerundo 2026 09 04	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x769b7b…
09-05 18:50:15	atp fritz cerundo 2026 09 04	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	17	33¢	$5	0xf0371c…
09-05 18:38:03	atp fritz cerundo 2026 09 04	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	39	40¢	$16	0x617743…
09-05 18:21:24	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xe1b2cb…
09-05 18:10:10	UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Nursulton Ruziboev	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xf146fc…
09-05 17:34:45	Will Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x23e2a1…
09-05 16:37:00	US Open WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Amanda Anisimova	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xdc0807…
09-05 15:58:13	Will Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xd487c2…
09-05 15:56:07	Will Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?	No	SELL	36	19¢	$7	0xa849e9…
09-05 15:51:45	Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa5e2e8…
09-05 15:16:33	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xc1df1c…
09-05 15:03:04	Will Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x0c2484…
09-05 15:01:31	Will Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3b9640…