Paltry-Emitter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$468

Unrealized P&L

-$138

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,440

lifetime

Volume

$376.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

$232

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-11 20:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

42% — —

Politics

30% 100% +$66

Crypto

22% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$402

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes		-400	$-94	58¢	$-232	$-138	06-13 09:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	36	$32.1K	20,290	19,540	+750	open	—	04-27 16:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	24	$26.5K	14,000	14,000	+0	open	—	07-01 18:51
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$20.0K	10,102	10,102	+0	open	—	02-23 20:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	25	$19.5K	18,000	3,000	+15,000	open	—	06-02 19:50
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	13	$17.2K	10,000	8,000	+2,000	open	—	04-10 20:43
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	33	$12.1K	7,008	7,008	+0	open	—	05-19 12:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	20	$8.7K	7,800	2,000	+5,800	open	—	04-15 07:27
cbb missr mia 2026 03 20	12	$8.5K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	03-20 19:03
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$8.4K	8,800	0	+8,800	open	—	04-21 13:04
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	15	$7.6K	7,913	0	+7,913	open	—	06-12 12:06
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	9	$7.6K	4,756	4,756	+0	open	—	03-30 11:58
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	5	$7.4K	4,800	4,800	+0	open	—	02-18 14:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	5	$7.3K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-20 18:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$6.0K	13,000	13,000	+0	open	—	02-28 21:38
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	6	$5.9K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	04-10 22:25
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$5.1K	3,000	3,000	-0	open	—	03-23 16:44
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	2	$5.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-19 14:26
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$4.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	05-20 23:29
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	21	$4.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	01-30 09:58
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$4.7K	2,000	3,370	-1,370	open	—	01-10 17:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$4.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	05-04 17:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	9	$4.2K	4,400	400	+4,000	open	—	07-03 19:44
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	11	$4.1K	4,235	0	+4,235	open	—	04-07 23:26
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$4.0K	4,082	0	+4,082	open	—	03-24 17:08
cbb vcu ncar 2026 03 19	2	$4.0K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	03-19 14:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	10	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$66	05-11 15:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	3	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-15 17:08
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	4	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-23 16:19
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	18	$3.7K	3,960	0	+3,960	open	—	06-18 22:38
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	9	$3.7K	4,484	2,111	+2,373	open	—	02-05 23:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 20:39:13	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	540	93¢	$503	0x533b97…
07-11 20:38:56	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	960	93¢	$892	0x611d6c…
07-03 19:44:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0xbe9218…
07-03 16:54:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	88	77¢	$68	0x6d3e58…
07-03 16:51:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	110	95¢	$104	0x71aac3…
07-03 16:51:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x99b9c1…
07-02 18:11:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	195	95¢	$185	0x884c16…
07-02 18:02:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	360	95¢	$342	0x547b27…
07-02 18:01:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	280	95¢	$266	0xbbf885…
07-02 17:55:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	174	77¢	$134	0x965513…
07-02 17:55:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	87	77¢	$67	0x0b1432…
07-02 17:55:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	351	77¢	$270	0x88a30c…
07-02 16:02:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0xa56331…
07-02 15:55:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	2,698	99¢	$2,669	0xa6f15c…
07-02 15:52:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x108b28…
07-02 15:49:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0a9113…
07-02 15:48:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x75defc…
07-02 15:45:35	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 shots nico williams gte1	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$963	0x0fe976…
07-01 18:51:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3,385	100¢	$3,375	0xcdd268…
07-01 18:49:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x208f11…
07-01 18:48:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,284	100¢	$1,280	0xd12371…
07-01 18:35:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x4f1612…
07-01 18:32:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xae0cf5…
07-01 18:04:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x70ce02…
07-01 18:03:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x11d4bc…
06-30 16:36:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	271	88¢	$239	0x56b88b…
06-30 16:04:22	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x5aa7d5…
06-30 16:00:52	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0xda7940…
06-30 15:38:58	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x451b89…
06-29 14:09:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	396	30¢	$119	0xf17431…
06-29 14:09:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x01de47…
06-28 15:21:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	400	86¢	$344	0x15635b…
06-28 08:03:17	over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0x455569…
06-26 09:18:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,841	88¢	$1,616	0xc35fe0…
06-26 09:18:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xe3df06…
06-26 09:18:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xbf98eb…
06-26 09:17:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xabc3c0…
06-26 09:17:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,047	88¢	$2,675	0x0fc44a…
06-25 08:53:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	4,453	95¢	$4,226	0x90948a…
06-25 07:05:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,133	95¢	$1,075	0xdd94d8…
06-25 07:05:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3,112	95¢	$2,954	0xd41fe0…
06-25 07:04:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	155	95¢	$147	0xdcf389…
06-25 07:03:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1bf4fb…
06-25 07:03:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5ca45c…
06-25 07:02:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x4c00a7…
06-25 06:59:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0xada396…
06-25 06:32:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	94	96¢	$90	0x8fcef7…
06-23 11:41:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,912	0x1c263b…
06-22 21:52:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0xd1fc24…
06-22 09:37:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5,000	95¢	$4,750	0x74ad4c…
06-19 10:52:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	476	86¢	$408	0x24f8c6…
06-19 10:27:11	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	650	47¢	$306	0x897a45…
06-19 09:20:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	83	86¢	$71	0x0d61e0…
06-19 09:20:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	241	86¢	$206	0x2fec94…
06-19 07:10:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	363	85¢	$310	0x5f8e8f…
06-19 07:07:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	443	47¢	$208	0x973c55…
06-19 07:07:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	79	85¢	$68	0x423280…
06-19 07:07:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	358	85¢	$306	0x9cff01…
06-19 06:53:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	157	47¢	$74	0x2280e9…
06-19 06:50:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xceb39e…
06-18 22:38:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xb89fc0…
06-18 13:28:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	761	97¢	$741	0xcbc6fa…
06-18 13:28:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0xf7796b…
06-18 13:28:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	500	97¢	$487	0xc62fb5…
06-18 13:28:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x009f44…
06-18 13:23:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	727	97¢	$708	0xcd256f…
06-18 13:22:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x32b501…
06-18 13:20:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x0dc619…
06-18 13:20:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	902	97¢	$878	0xee106e…
06-18 10:25:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x32e7ba…
06-17 20:47:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xf06a08…
06-17 20:46:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xeadee6…
06-17 20:41:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	No	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0x23c988…
06-17 20:34:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	600	6¢	$34	0x9fb958…
06-17 15:18:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	600	9¢	$53	0x378be8…
06-17 15:15:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0xba9621…
06-17 06:17:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xdaa82b…
06-17 06:17:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x84db52…
06-16 23:30:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	991	94¢	$933	0x03a56e…
06-16 23:28:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x1206ca…
06-16 17:00:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	751	96¢	$719	0x40e418…
06-16 16:27:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	1,249	96¢	$1,197	0x60c03d…
06-16 13:03:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	155	71¢	$110	0x1001f6…
06-16 12:57:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	88	95¢	$84	0x7c3e1d…
06-16 12:37:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x245e99…
06-16 12:31:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x78db85…
06-16 12:23:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	75	86¢	$64	0xdf438f…
06-16 12:11:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x730322…
06-16 12:08:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	102	86¢	$88	0x9c6d2c…
06-16 12:08:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	773	86¢	$666	0x4e83d6…
06-16 12:08:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	51	86¢	$44	0x16bf9b…
06-16 12:01:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0xe49c61…
06-16 11:42:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0xca64e8…
06-16 11:42:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	16	71¢	$11	0xf61f7c…
06-16 05:19:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	No	BUY	434	86¢	$373	0x8c5ee9…
06-16 01:12:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	No	BUY	32	86¢	$27	0x2cdd81…
06-16 00:58:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xebf38a…
06-15 17:08:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,982	0xbd4c11…
06-14 16:02:27	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xb1fa4f…
06-14 15:12:31	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x92bd3c…