Paltry-Emitter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$468

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,568

lifetime

Volume

$399.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 12:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Politics

30% 100% +$66

Crypto

21% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$402

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	36	$32.1K	20,290	19,540	+750	open	—	04-27 16:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	24	$26.5K	14,000	14,000	+0	open	—	07-01 18:51
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$20.0K	10,102	10,102	+0	open	—	02-23 20:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	25	$19.5K	18,000	3,000	+15,000	open	—	06-02 19:50
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	13	$17.2K	10,000	8,000	+2,000	open	—	04-10 20:43
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	33	$12.1K	7,008	7,008	+0	open	—	05-19 12:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	20	$8.7K	7,800	2,000	+5,800	open	—	04-15 07:27
cbb missr mia 2026 03 20	12	$8.5K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	03-20 19:03
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$8.4K	8,800	0	+8,800	open	—	04-21 13:04
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	46	$7.8K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	07-24 12:12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	15	$7.6K	7,913	0	+7,913	open	—	06-12 12:06
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	9	$7.6K	4,756	4,756	+0	open	—	03-30 11:58
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	5	$7.4K	4,800	4,800	+0	open	—	02-18 14:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	5	$7.3K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-20 18:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$6.0K	13,000	13,000	+0	open	—	02-28 21:38
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	6	$5.9K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	04-10 22:25
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$5.1K	3,000	3,000	-0	open	—	03-23 16:44
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	2	$5.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-19 14:26
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$4.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	05-20 23:29
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	21	$4.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	01-30 09:58
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$4.7K	2,000	3,370	-1,370	open	—	01-10 17:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$4.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	05-04 17:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	9	$4.2K	4,400	400	+4,000	open	—	07-03 19:44
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	11	$4.1K	4,235	0	+4,235	open	—	04-07 23:26
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$4.0K	4,082	0	+4,082	open	—	03-24 17:08
cbb vcu ncar 2026 03 19	2	$4.0K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	03-19 14:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	10	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$66	05-11 15:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	3	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-15 17:08
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	4	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-23 16:19
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	1	$3.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	07-30 01:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 12:08:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	190	87¢	$165	0xa1a7d8…
08-09 11:54:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xedd8e3…
08-09 11:52:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xf6c966…
08-09 11:51:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x2961d5…
08-09 11:51:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x298335…
08-09 11:29:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xb8d3fd…
08-09 11:29:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x95dd37…
08-09 11:25:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x8fa03d…
08-09 11:24:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	56	87¢	$48	0x085a92…
08-09 11:24:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	179	87¢	$156	0xe0ba01…
08-09 11:24:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	183	87¢	$159	0x0ba2f4…
08-09 11:24:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x4382b8…
08-09 11:24:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x94bad8…
08-09 11:24:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x6fbbf9…
08-09 04:31:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0x98a117…
08-09 04:31:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x27e4a7…
08-09 04:31:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x1787ae…
08-09 00:06:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xae54e2…
08-08 20:10:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	308	74¢	$228	0x4a7beb…
08-08 16:08:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	348	74¢	$257	0x94fb24…
08-08 15:14:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	400	57¢	$228	0x68eeca…
08-06 15:45:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	32	68¢	$22	0x98abcc…
08-02 09:51:51	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0xeea35d…
07-30 01:38:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	4,000	95¢	$3,800	0x102ccc…
07-27 14:16:52	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	400	99¢	$398	0x7bbdcd…
07-27 13:19:12	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xb2ef4c…
07-27 10:19:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	500	62¢	$310	0xe55cae…
07-27 08:10:03	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$191	0xa619d7…
07-26 23:39:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x7adda0…
07-26 23:36:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x0d7ae6…
07-26 23:33:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x83bb12…
07-26 23:33:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x29577e…
07-26 23:33:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	57	46¢	$26	0x890d5c…
07-26 23:33:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x6cbfcc…
07-26 23:33:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x4f8b55…
07-26 23:33:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	268	46¢	$123	0x26000a…
07-26 23:33:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xf30a41…
07-26 23:33:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	3	46¢	$2	0x482831…
07-26 23:33:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	328	46¢	$151	0xfaf573…
07-26 23:33:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0xca31b3…
07-26 23:33:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	70	46¢	$32	0xc1b723…
07-26 23:33:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x8692c3…
07-26 23:33:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xfa30db…
07-26 23:23:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x902044…
07-26 22:52:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	204	46¢	$94	0xea4120…
07-24 15:13:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	231	85¢	$197	0xff23e2…
07-24 15:13:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xd75a04…
07-24 15:13:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x1577ce…
07-24 15:13:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x0f8ba2…
07-24 15:12:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	519	85¢	$441	0xe23195…
07-24 12:12:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	3,000	97¢	$2,907	0x584dfc…
07-23 21:02:45	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	98	96¢	$94	0x40f384…
07-23 21:02:36	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	98	96¢	$94	0xdcdaf9…
07-23 21:02:24	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	98	96¢	$94	0x1b79dd…
07-23 19:54:52	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	1,560	95¢	$1,483	0xdd3a3c…
07-23 19:36:24	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	440	95¢	$419	0x694f14…
07-23 18:49:37	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	221	61¢	$135	0x3169ba…
07-23 18:37:48	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	255	67¢	$171	0xe92f3a…
07-23 18:33:43	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	145	67¢	$97	0x556d73…
07-23 18:29:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	101	93¢	$94	0xa56e07…
07-23 18:20:33	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	308	84¢	$259	0xdd3caf…
07-23 18:16:16	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	92	84¢	$77	0xbb145c…
07-23 18:11:30	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	221	62¢	$137	0xa1b622…
07-23 15:38:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	287	92¢	$264	0x82b80c…
07-23 15:36:31	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	56	92¢	$52	0xdec0ea…
07-23 14:22:10	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	8	79¢	$7	0xbc7d04…
07-23 14:22:09	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	68	79¢	$54	0x614d4e…
07-23 14:17:03	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	424	79¢	$335	0x5d12ab…
07-23 14:14:28	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	470	60¢	$281	0xa74e41…
07-23 14:14:15	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x04e73d…
07-23 09:45:58	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x990e05…
07-23 06:40:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	157	92¢	$144	0x79e1e1…
07-22 20:25:04	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x744e65…
07-22 18:56:30	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	61	92¢	$56	0xc3047a…
07-22 18:43:27	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	24	94¢	$22	0x456531…
07-22 17:37:00	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	439	92¢	$403	0x501395…
07-22 17:15:10	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	196	84¢	$165	0xe217da…
07-22 17:15:10	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	133	84¢	$112	0x18400b…
07-22 17:15:09	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	171	84¢	$144	0x49dc32…
07-22 14:08:00	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	641	94¢	$602	0x102546…
07-21 19:16:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	43	98¢	$43	0xa628ee…
07-21 19:16:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9ba773…
07-21 19:16:36	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x721e17…
07-21 19:16:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x97d035…
07-21 19:16:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x25fd7a…
07-21 19:16:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x35ea3c…
07-21 19:14:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9c9ba4…
07-21 19:14:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9b3b37…
07-21 19:14:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x35ae4d…
07-21 19:14:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x2c9ec7…
07-21 19:14:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1f0435…
07-21 19:14:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1b6c64…
07-21 19:14:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8599ce…
07-21 19:13:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4fb322…
07-21 19:13:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xee58a1…
07-21 19:13:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xcce683…
07-21 19:13:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xaf93a4…
07-21 19:13:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa6907f…
07-21 19:13:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x68e84b…
07-21 19:13:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x512035…