Ill-Fated-Insolence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

Trades

670

lifetime

Volume

$24.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-02 18:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 100% +$1

Other

28% — —

Politics

6% 67% $-8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	67	$2.8K	5,562	0	+5,562	open	—	04-12 17:20
will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	5	$1.5K	7,957	0	+7,957	open	—	04-12 19:01
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	2	$856	479	479	+0	open	—	04-24 14:18
will fidesz kdnp win at least 90 seats	8	$728	2,136	0	+2,136	open	—	03-24 12:36
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	8	$533	351	351	+0	open	—	04-12 19:03
will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	9	$480	741	0	+741	open	—	04-12 18:07
btc updown 5m 1782782100	3	$375	911	0	+911	open	—	06-30 01:18
btc updown 5m 1782780900	3	$347	343	343	+0	open	—	06-30 00:55
btc updown 5m 1782909000	3	$253	304	196	+107	open	—	07-01 12:29
btc updown 15m 1782316800	3	$216	196	196	+0	open	—	06-24 15:57
btc updown 15m 1782315900	2	$214	196	196	+0	open	—	06-24 15:38
btc updown 15m 1782320400	2	$208	200	200	+0	open	—	06-24 16:59
btc updown 5m 1782908400	3	$205	399	0	+399	open	—	07-01 12:18
btc updown 15m 1782315000	2	$203	188	188	+0	open	—	06-24 15:29
btc updown 5m 1782908700	2	$202	196	196	+0	open	—	07-01 12:24
btc updown 5m 1782306600	1	$200	351	0	+351	open	—	06-24 13:09
will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	03-19 10:53
btc updown 15m 1782319500	2	$197	195	195	+0	open	—	06-24 16:44
btc updown 5m 1782781500	1	$196	355	0	+355	open	—	06-30 01:04
btc updown 5m 1782780300	1	$186	355	0	+355	open	—	06-30 00:44
btc updown 5m 1782889800	3	$177	231	117	+115	open	—	07-01 07:09
btc updown 5m 1782907800	2	$177	333	0	+333	open	—	07-01 12:09
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	2	$163	143	143	+0	open	—	01-20 18:43
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$162	411	411	-0	open	—	04-24 14:12
btc updown 5m 1782821700	2	$157	153	153	+0	open	—	06-30 12:14
btc updown 5m 1782821400	2	$157	145	145	+0	open	—	06-30 12:09
btc updown 5m 1782819000	2	$153	148	148	+0	open	—	06-30 11:29
btc updown 5m 1782819600	2	$153	286	0	+286	open	—	06-30 11:39
btc updown 5m 1782825600	2	$149	282	0	+282	open	—	06-30 13:19
btc updown 5m 1782824700	2	$145	264	0	+264	open	—	06-30 13:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 18:48:29	btc updown 15m 1783018800	Down	BUY	107	50¢	$53	0x40ed1a…
07-02 18:30:11	btc updown 15m 1783017900	Down	BUY	103	52¢	$54	0xb0d76a…
07-02 17:48:28	btc updown 15m 1783015200	Down	BUY	109	50¢	$54	0xf50cd9…
07-02 17:30:16	btc updown 15m 1783014300	Down	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0xdfe96f…
07-02 17:29:08	btc updown 15m 1783013400	Down	SELL	108	51¢	$55	0x675308…
07-02 17:15:19	btc updown 15m 1783013400	Down	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0xa3c603…
07-02 16:33:32	btc updown 15m 1783010700	Down	BUY	111	50¢	$55	0x8d301e…
07-02 16:17:19	btc updown 15m 1783009800	Down	BUY	112	50¢	$56	0x6776d0…
07-02 15:48:28	btc updown 15m 1783008000	Down	BUY	113	50¢	$57	0xd33b05…
07-02 15:30:53	btc updown 15m 1783007100	Down	BUY	110	51¢	$56	0x77c089…
07-02 15:03:32	btc updown 15m 1783005300	Up	BUY	110	51¢	$56	0x577187…
07-02 14:56:02	btc updown 15m 1783003500	Down	SELL	111	8¢	$9	0x9e33a0…
07-02 14:54:23	btc updown 15m 1783004400	Up	SELL	104	50¢	$52	0x31cdd7…
07-02 14:45:13	btc updown 15m 1783004400	Up	BUY	104	51¢	$53	0x87426e…
07-02 14:41:49	btc updown 15m 1783002600	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x2b057a…
07-02 14:33:04	btc updown 15m 1783003500	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x9a971f…
07-02 14:33:04	btc updown 15m 1783003500	Down	BUY	65	52¢	$34	0x3d7171…
07-02 14:33:04	btc updown 15m 1783003500	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x311fde…
07-02 14:33:04	btc updown 15m 1783003500	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x29c000…
07-02 14:19:50	btc updown 15m 1783002600	Down	BUY	111	52¢	$58	0x33ec2f…
07-02 14:03:29	btc updown 15m 1783001700	Down	BUY	105	53¢	$55	0xeb5138…
07-02 13:48:44	btc updown 15m 1783000800	Down	BUY	86	52¢	$45	0x118d4f…
07-02 13:45:47	btc updown 15m 1783000800	Down	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xaa84ca…
07-02 13:44:08	btc updown 15m 1782999900	Down	SELL	109	53¢	$58	0x091347…
07-02 13:30:43	btc updown 15m 1782999900	Down	BUY	109	51¢	$56	0x6f0613…
07-01 22:22:29	btc updown 5m 1782944700	Down	SELL	111	51¢	$57	0xea5b3c…
07-01 22:20:11	btc updown 5m 1782944700	Down	BUY	111	50¢	$56	0x814e28…
07-01 22:05:59	btc updown 5m 1782943800	Down	BUY	109	50¢	$55	0xe665ad…
07-01 21:55:17	btc updown 5m 1782943200	Down	BUY	109	51¢	$56	0xc9f8a8…
07-01 21:35:28	btc updown 5m 1782942000	Down	BUY	111	51¢	$57	0x318843…
07-01 21:15:19	btc updown 5m 1782940800	Down	BUY	109	51¢	$56	0x8190d0…
07-01 21:14:47	btc updown 5m 1782940500	Down	SELL	112	53¢	$59	0x6e62cd…
07-01 21:10:23	btc updown 5m 1782940500	Down	BUY	112	50¢	$56	0xbda238…
07-01 19:35:19	btc updown 5m 1782934800	Down	BUY	114	50¢	$57	0xdf06ea…
07-01 19:07:04	btc updown 5m 1782933000	Down	BUY	116	50¢	$58	0x4cb1ea…
07-01 18:54:01	btc updown 5m 1782932100	Down	BUY	116	51¢	$59	0xec246b…
07-01 18:40:25	btc updown 5m 1782931500	Down	BUY	121	50¢	$60	0xb95282…
07-01 18:20:16	btc updown 5m 1782930300	Down	BUY	123	50¢	$62	0xf4db17…
07-01 18:05:35	btc updown 5m 1782929400	Down	BUY	121	50¢	$61	0xed741c…
07-01 17:57:58	btc updown 5m 1782928800	Down	BUY	121	51¢	$62	0x8123a2…
07-01 17:41:13	btc updown 5m 1782927900	Down	BUY	126	50¢	$63	0x9986c2…
07-01 17:32:52	btc updown 5m 1782927000	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xbf772b…
07-01 17:29:05	btc updown 5m 1782927000	Down	BUY	122	52¢	$63	0xf059d3…
07-01 17:24:44	btc updown 5m 1782926700	Down	SELL	124	55¢	$68	0x0e0d56…
07-01 17:20:11	btc updown 5m 1782926700	Down	BUY	124	50¢	$62	0xe9fb60…
07-01 16:45:11	btc updown 5m 1782924600	Down	BUY	122	50¢	$61	0xace33e…
07-01 16:30:11	btc updown 5m 1782923700	Down	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x3c21ea…
07-01 16:19:43	btc updown 5m 1782922500	Up	BUY	237	8¢	$20	0x2c667c…
07-01 16:13:29	btc updown 5m 1782922500	Down	BUY	116	51¢	$59	0x3d47d0…
07-01 16:00:59	btc updown 5m 1782921900	Down	BUY	121	50¢	$60	0xc47242…
07-01 15:45:17	btc updown 5m 1782921000	Down	BUY	119	50¢	$59	0x2e88ef…
07-01 15:27:17	btc updown 5m 1782919800	Down	BUY	112	52¢	$58	0x1724ae…
07-01 15:15:43	btc updown 5m 1782919200	Down	BUY	119	50¢	$60	0x6b8d44…
07-01 15:14:44	btc updown 5m 1782918900	Down	SELL	119	51¢	$61	0x2320e4…
07-01 15:10:43	btc updown 5m 1782918900	Down	BUY	119	50¢	$60	0x0f5d54…
07-01 14:55:19	btc updown 5m 1782918000	Down	BUY	122	50¢	$61	0xc508e8…
07-01 14:40:28	btc updown 5m 1782917100	Down	BUY	124	50¢	$62	0x023a8b…
07-01 14:33:13	btc updown 5m 1782916200	Up	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0xf98fbb…
07-01 14:27:44	btc updown 5m 1782916200	Down	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0x6cd116…
07-01 13:32:16	btc updown 5m 1782912900	Up	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0xdb9757…
07-01 13:20:10	btc updown 5m 1782912300	Up	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0xb72ad2…
07-01 12:51:13	btc updown 5m 1782910500	Up	BUY	116	52¢	$60	0xbc62cf…
07-01 12:42:14	btc updown 5m 1782909900	Up	BUY	120	51¢	$62	0x99547e…
07-01 12:29:16	btc updown 5m 1782909000	Up	BUY	107	51¢	$55	0x229c15…
07-01 12:28:38	btc updown 5m 1782909000	Up	SELL	196	50¢	$98	0xd9666e…
07-01 12:24:28	btc updown 5m 1782908700	Up	SELL	196	52¢	$102	0x484516…
07-01 12:20:08	btc updown 5m 1782908700	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x6aa859…
07-01 12:18:40	btc updown 5m 1782908400	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x439626…
07-01 12:15:49	btc updown 5m 1782909000	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x16867e…
07-01 12:15:40	btc updown 5m 1782908400	Up	BUY	106	52¢	$55	0x1a9e30…
07-01 12:15:34	btc updown 5m 1782908400	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x0fd66f…
07-01 12:14:50	btc updown 5m 1782908100	Up	BUY	205	59¢	$120	0x7ba9ea…
07-01 12:09:22	btc updown 5m 1782907800	Up	BUY	105	54¢	$57	0x590a41…
07-01 12:08:35	btc updown 5m 1782907800	Up	BUY	228	53¢	$120	0x62d563…
07-01 12:04:14	btc updown 5m 1782907500	Up	BUY	109	55¢	$60	0xf1d952…
07-01 11:59:35	btc updown 5m 1782907200	Up	BUY	119	51¢	$60	0x0485da…
07-01 08:34:47	btc updown 5m 1782894900	Up	SELL	121	50¢	$60	0x9ade6d…
07-01 08:34:25	btc updown 5m 1782894900	Up	BUY	121	51¢	$62	0xa7081b…
07-01 07:17:04	btc updown 5m 1782890400	Up	BUY	121	50¢	$60	0x7eb6fd…
07-01 07:14:40	btc updown 5m 1782890100	Up	BUY	117	52¢	$60	0x1c22f0…
07-01 07:09:47	btc updown 5m 1782889800	Up	SELL	117	51¢	$59	0x32f342…
07-01 07:09:08	btc updown 5m 1782889800	Up	BUY	117	51¢	$59	0x8c37f4…
07-01 07:05:22	btc updown 5m 1782889800	Up	BUY	115	51¢	$58	0x46c210…
07-01 06:54:43	btc updown 5m 1782888900	Up	BUY	117	51¢	$60	0xa82597…
07-01 06:43:47	btc updown 5m 1782888300	Up	BUY	117	52¢	$61	0xab3e4b…
07-01 06:40:11	btc updown 5m 1782888300	Up	BUY	119	52¢	$62	0xd656b5…
07-01 06:39:52	btc updown 5m 1782888000	Up	SELL	113	54¢	$61	0x06dd64…
07-01 06:39:43	btc updown 5m 1782888000	Up	BUY	113	56¢	$63	0x89a820…
07-01 06:29:05	btc updown 5m 1782887400	Up	BUY	120	53¢	$64	0x8e7db1…
07-01 06:25:16	btc updown 5m 1782887400	Up	BUY	125	52¢	$65	0x8a39f8…
07-01 06:10:17	btc updown 5m 1782886500	Up	BUY	129	52¢	$67	0xb18768…
07-01 01:18:47	btc updown 5m 1782868800	Up	BUY	130	52¢	$67	0x54d543…
07-01 01:15:11	btc updown 5m 1782868800	Up	BUY	135	51¢	$69	0xf65017…
07-01 01:14:46	btc updown 5m 1782868500	Up	SELL	132	52¢	$69	0x198653…
07-01 01:13:59	btc updown 5m 1782868500	Up	BUY	132	52¢	$69	0xa3d2c9…
07-01 00:30:20	btc updown 5m 1782866100	Up	BUY	138	51¢	$70	0xe6c4bd…
06-30 21:34:11	btc updown 5m 1782855000	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x4c263a…
06-30 21:25:32	btc updown 5m 1782855000	Up	BUY	136	51¢	$69	0x002a94…
06-30 15:23:44	btc updown 5m 1782833100	Up	BUY	138	51¢	$71	0x8fe556…
06-30 15:08:05	btc updown 5m 1782832200	Up	BUY	138	50¢	$69	0x07ddc0…