Descriptive-Dinosaur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$217

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

3.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$464

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 06-09 02:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 0% $-217

Other

6% 100% +$0

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SBF released from custody in 2026?	No	+11	$10	94¢	$10	$-0	06-09 02:12
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	+5	$5	92¢	$5	$-0	06-09 02:09
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+3	$3	94¢	$3	+$0	06-09 02:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 5m 1774709700	2	$52	51	50	+1	open	—	03-28 14:56
eth updown 5m 1774708500	2	$41	58	0	+58	open	—	03-28 14:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	4	$35	80	0	+80	Down	$-35	05-07 09:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	5	$35	229	0	+229	Down	$-35	05-07 10:11
eth updown 5m 1774709100	2	$31	30	29	+0	open	—	03-28 14:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$30	125	0	+125	Down	$-30	05-07 09:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	4	$30	266	0	+266	Down	$-30	05-07 09:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$30	585	0	+585	Down	$-30	05-07 09:28
eth updown 5m 1774707900	3	$29	35	35	+0	open	—	03-28 14:29
eth updown 5m 1774709400	3	$20	63	0	+63	open	—	03-28 14:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$20	44	0	+44	Down	$-20	05-07 09:16
eth updown 5m 1774710000	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	03-28 15:00
eth updown 5m 1776343200	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	04-16 12:40
eth updown 5m 1774708800	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	03-28 14:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$10	33	0	+33	Down	$-10	05-07 10:07
SBF released from custody in 2026?	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-09 02:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$10	47	0	+47	Down	$-10	05-07 09:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$7	185	0	+185	Down	$-7	05-07 09:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$5	295	0	+295	Up	$-5	05-07 09:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	Up	$-5	05-07 10:03
eth updown 5m 1776343500	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	04-16 12:47
btc updown 4h 1776340800	2	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-16 12:54
Set Handicap: Tomljanovic (-1.5) vs Basiletti (+1.5)	1	$5	5	0	+5	Basiletti	+$0	05-07 09:15
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-09 02:09
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-09 02:14
lol dkc tesc 2026 06 09	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-09 02:14
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	03-28 14:26
will the dhs shutdown last 44 days or more 544	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-28 14:25
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	03-28 14:24
eth updown 5m 1774708200	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	03-28 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 02:14:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x2132cc…
06-09 02:14:06	lol dkc tesc 2026 06 09	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x62ddb7…
06-09 02:12:25	SBF released from custody in 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd8f544…
06-09 02:11:49	SBF released from custody in 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x38c41f…
06-09 02:09:34	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa8494c…
05-07 10:11:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xec97bd…
05-07 10:11:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc5152c…
05-07 10:10:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xe98855…
05-07 10:10:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x780537…
05-07 10:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xee87de…
05-07 10:07:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xee589f…
05-07 10:07:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc52322…
05-07 10:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd824a8…
05-07 09:58:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xad9363…
05-07 09:58:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x9168c2…
05-07 09:54:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	185	4¢	$7	0x0fb870…
05-07 09:43:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf5107a…
05-07 09:43:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf55ef7…
05-07 09:43:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x661b40…
05-07 09:42:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xcd4c12…
05-07 09:36:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xec53ba…
05-07 09:36:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x38e7cc…
05-07 09:36:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xeb6da7…
05-07 09:34:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	295	2¢	$5	0x956701…
05-07 09:28:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5ffb3b…
05-07 09:27:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9678ff…
05-07 09:26:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x585892…
05-07 09:25:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x214dd1…
05-07 09:22:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xa3653c…
05-07 09:21:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x274799…
05-07 09:21:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xfef923…
05-07 09:20:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xacdb65…
05-07 09:16:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x37f88c…
05-07 09:16:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x07444a…
05-07 09:15:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x46ac3e…
05-07 09:15:08	Set Handicap: Tomljanovic (-1.5) vs Basiletti (+1.5)	Basiletti	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc2b64b…
04-16 12:54:20	btc updown 4h 1776340800	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdf61c7…
04-16 12:53:42	btc updown 4h 1776340800	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe513e0…
04-16 12:47:04	eth updown 5m 1776343500	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x20ddfd…
04-16 12:40:28	eth updown 5m 1776343200	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x4a48f8…
03-28 15:00:19	eth updown 5m 1774710000	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5ee240…
03-28 14:56:55	eth updown 5m 1774709700	Up	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0xb377a3…
03-28 14:55:29	eth updown 5m 1774709700	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x7add3a…
03-28 14:51:47	eth updown 5m 1774709400	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xfabd0e…
03-28 14:50:53	eth updown 5m 1774709400	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x40f43c…
03-28 14:50:37	eth updown 5m 1774709400	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xa317fb…
03-28 14:49:41	eth updown 5m 1774709100	Down	SELL	29	71¢	$21	0xf0e04b…
03-28 14:46:47	eth updown 5m 1774709100	Down	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xeb0d46…
03-28 14:41:05	eth updown 5m 1774708800	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xbec266…
03-28 14:36:35	eth updown 5m 1774708500	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x21ea40…
03-28 14:36:21	eth updown 5m 1774708500	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x97c78d…
03-28 14:30:31	eth updown 5m 1774708200	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xedb948…
03-28 14:29:51	eth updown 5m 1774707900	Up	SELL	35	54¢	$19	0xfb374e…
03-28 14:27:37	eth updown 5m 1774707900	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x3120c8…
03-28 14:27:23	eth updown 5m 1774707900	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd7ace9…
03-28 14:26:39	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x8a0906…
03-28 14:25:31	will the dhs shutdown last 44 days or more 544	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0683cb…
03-28 14:24:35	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x2a9522…