Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$268

Unrealized P&L

+$140

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

Trades

215

lifetime

Volume

$6.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$169

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-09 13:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

59% 46% -$130

Crypto

21% 32% -$227

Politics

10% 67% -$39

Tech

8% 33% +$78

Sports

1% 100% +$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+82	$47	100¢	$82	+$35	11-07 18:22
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	+100	$64	72¢	$72	+$9	10-22 12:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+11	$10	99¢	$11	+$1	08-24 12:08
Over $10M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?	No	+50	$10	8¢	$4	-$6	11-09 13:36
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	-226	-$102	0¢	$-0	+$102	06-15 15:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	5	$632	825	825	+0	No	+$90	03-29 23:11
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	2	$490	350	350	+0	Yes	+$0	10-31 07:28
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?	8	$468	260	260	+0	No	+$0	08-28 12:26
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	50	$460	400	400	+0	Yes	+$156	08-19 12:13
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$426	300	300	+0	No	+$120	01-16 05:49
will infinex launch a token by january 31 2026	3	$313	2,012	2,012	+0	Yes	-$89	01-16 12:16
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	10	$300	260	260	+0	Yes	-$102	10-31 16:34
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?	2	$300	227	227	+0	Yes	+$100	01-11 10:17
msft close above 390 on february 23 2026	5	$191	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-23 19:42
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$185	133	133	+0	No	+$25	02-12 13:39
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	3	$173	250	250	+0	No	-$27	07-07 21:23
Yellow FDV above $50M one day after launch?	6	$156	310	0	+310	Yes	-$156	03-07 13:22
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	2	$146	100	100	+0	Yes	+$34	06-24 00:40
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	6	$144	300	300	+0	No	-$54	02-18 18:48
ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	2	$139	140	0	+140	Yes	+$1	03-10 21:20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.4T by October 31?	4	$136	90	90	+0	Yes	+$28	10-10 10:26
Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	7	$127	600	0	+600	No	-$127	03-31 23:27
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	2	$120	100	100	+0	open	—	10-16 21:06
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$102	0	226	-226	open	—	06-15 15:37
ethereum above 2600 on april 20	6	$100	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$100	04-18 06:58
Paradex FDV above $40M one day after launch?	2	$92	105	105	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 04:56
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	4	$81	79	79	+0	No	+$60	10-30 11:19
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	6	$78	100	100	-0	Yes	+$44	08-28 17:30
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.0 and 35.5 million views on day 6?	5	$71	208	208	+0	Yes	$0	07-31 11:23
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?	1	$64	140	0	+140	Yes	-$64	08-24 14:32
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	1	$64	100	0	+100	open	—	10-22 12:20
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$52	61	0	+61	No	+$9	03-09 18:40
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	4	$52	100	100	+0	open	—	10-30 11:35
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$51	100	0	+100	Yes	-$51	08-29 01:14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by October 31?	1	$51	100	0	+100	No	+$49	10-12 04:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 13:36:37	Over $10M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?	No	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xbd45ac…
11-09 13:36:36	Over $10M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?	No	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xf6ec9c…
11-09 13:36:36	Over $10M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?	No	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0x6e86c3…
11-07 18:22:21	Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xbeff2c…
11-07 18:22:15	Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	79	57¢	$45	0x188aa3…
10-31 16:34:06	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	27¢	$7	0x21b2bd…
10-31 16:31:31	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x4828b6…
10-31 16:31:30	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	107	38¢	$41	0xdae22f…
10-31 16:28:34	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	124	40¢	$49	0x8d1922…
10-31 13:20:46	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x269b6a…
10-31 13:18:10	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0xb6bdfc…
10-31 13:17:30	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0x048233…
10-31 12:02:57	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x9e0808…
10-31 09:32:07	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	109	83¢	$90	0x4f954a…
10-31 07:28:55	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	70¢	$245	0x2da466…
10-30 16:41:18	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x076a08…
10-30 15:51:16	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	44	40¢	$18	0x020a36…
10-30 15:33:31	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xd938b2…
10-30 14:13:06	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x2a886c…
10-30 11:35:18	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0x95ef80…
10-30 11:19:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	79	89¢	$70	0x7d4ae9…
10-30 11:16:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xf6b183…
10-29 21:07:30	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xc369b7…
10-29 21:05:54	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0xb3b6b5…
10-29 21:05:21	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0xe77f73…
10-22 12:20:26	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xc71fd8…
10-22 11:15:08	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x8643e2…
10-22 10:48:17	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x05b6c3…
10-22 10:34:42	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x70ac28…
10-22 06:27:58	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	70¢	$245	0x9a92cb…
10-16 21:06:09	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x67ab8a…
10-12 04:52:15	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by October 31?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x694de1…
10-10 10:26:43	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.4T by October 31?	Yes	SELL	45	89¢	$40	0x5c42f9…
10-09 21:28:19	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.4T by October 31?	Yes	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x765058…
10-05 02:11:22	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0xf6d92c…
10-03 08:45:39	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xa9b259…
10-02 21:15:27	Will Magnus Carlsen finish in the Top 3 of Titled Tuesday on October 6?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xfdd8b9…
10-02 19:13:47	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x035b1b…
10-01 07:03:17	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x1ef350…
09-30 19:42:06	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt4t by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x1e5969…
09-30 19:39:30	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	69	30¢	$21	0x58c11c…
09-30 18:53:08	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt4t by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	90	60¢	$54	0x239e2b…
09-26 09:46:32	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xceea46…
09-26 09:39:24	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc78a7a…
08-29 01:14:28	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x8e5228…
08-28 17:30:45	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0xcc13e7…
08-28 17:30:45	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	96	61¢	$59	0x5eab14…
08-28 12:26:52	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x5f7252…
08-28 12:26:45	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	193	90¢	$174	0x144664…
08-28 12:26:00	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	36	90¢	$32	0xe8d0aa…
08-28 12:26:00	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x2dd894…
08-28 11:36:27	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0xa1fdeb…
08-28 11:35:39	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x6282b3…
08-28 11:35:34	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	77	90¢	$69	0xa51ff8…
08-28 11:28:21	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	70	17¢	$12	0xc5127b…
08-28 11:28:21	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xa6963b…
08-28 11:28:21	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x71b9e3…
08-28 11:28:21	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x5dcb61…
08-28 10:55:51	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xcf3862…
08-24 14:32:27	Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	140	46¢	$64	0x8c3ba3…
08-24 12:08:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xac64c0…
08-19 12:13:55	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	77¢	$22	0x76d437…
08-18 20:12:46	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x523d13…
08-18 05:40:15	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	354	77¢	$273	0x599046…
08-10 17:14:18	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x745723…
08-10 17:06:00	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xbdb339…
08-01 20:32:09	situational awareness anthropic sale confirmed by august 31 20260730182057663	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0x2bb84d…
07-31 13:41:00	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x121cf2…
07-31 12:27:57	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	173	38¢	$66	0xa5968f…
07-31 12:06:06	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x81448d…
07-31 12:06:02	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2dcddb…
07-31 12:05:57	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x734a50…
07-31 12:05:53	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1124d3…
07-31 12:05:45	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xed8b8f…
07-31 12:05:42	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2325da…
07-31 12:05:38	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd6266c…
07-31 12:05:32	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb5ec76…
07-31 12:05:27	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x51ec90…
07-31 12:05:23	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5dff5f…
07-31 12:05:18	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x66d129…
07-31 12:05:15	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x426593…
07-31 12:05:11	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x55b117…
07-31 12:05:06	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x65db15…
07-31 12:05:02	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3c2b15…
07-31 12:04:57	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4faf8a…
07-31 12:04:54	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x473539…
07-31 12:04:50	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9347f0…
07-31 12:04:38	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4c8276…
07-31 12:04:33	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3ac0fc…
07-31 12:04:29	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf0e6cd…
07-31 12:04:24	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcc57c0…
07-31 12:04:21	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd5a49f…
07-31 11:44:23	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9e55da…
07-31 11:44:18	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe40bd8…
07-31 11:43:45	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7fed0d…
07-31 11:43:26	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x19db31…
07-31 11:41:56	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5c6cec…
07-31 11:41:26	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x092503…
07-31 11:38:33	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xec60b2…
07-31 11:38:26	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x113d70…