Murky-Fallingout — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$105.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$72

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved (90d)

5,005

Trades (90d)

12,114

42,369 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.63M

$4.68M lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

$545

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 11-04 13:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 231 days

Categories

Other

66% 50% -$16,595

Sports

34% 52% -$44,544

Crypto

0% 59% +$367

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 429 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
nba lal sac 2026 11 04 spread away 11pt5	Lakers		+500	$240	62¢	$308	+$68	11-04 06:10
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	T1		+288	$234	82¢	$238	+$4	11-02 23:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mlb sea wsh 2026 06 12 total 9pt5	12	$9.8K	9,840	8,840	+1,000	Over	+$422	06-12 23:10
FC Famalicão vs. Gil Vicente FC: Gil Vicente FC O/U 0.5	36	$8.8K	14,658	0	+14,658	Under	-$8,795	08-30 18:36
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread home 5pt5	9	$7.9K	8,000	8,000	+0	Knicks	-$80	06-12 23:10
FC Famalicão vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5	57	$7.3K	10,911	0	+10,911	Under	-$7,310	08-30 18:49
FC Famalicão vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5	49	$6.4K	16,000	0	+16,000	Under	-$6,400	08-30 18:29
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5	16	$6.0K	10,731	0	+10,731	Under	-$6,039	08-30 18:31
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5	14	$5.5K	8,053	0	+8,053	Over	+$2,577	08-30 18:43
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score	9	$4.9K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	-$4,880	08-30 18:36
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5	17	$4.5K	13,000	0	+13,000	Under	-$4,470	08-30 18:34
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	2	$4.1K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	-$80	10-31 10:27
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11?	2	$4.0K	7,935	0	+7,935	Yes	-$113	09-11 06:56
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-18?	2	$4.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$0	10-18 09:56
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01?	2	$4.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	+$0	11-01 17:07
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	2	$4.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	+$0	10-20 18:05
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	2	$4.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$0	10-24 15:50
Will England win on 2026-09-29?	2	$4.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	+$0	09-28 15:06
Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25?	5	$4.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$40	09-25 14:56
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18?	2	$3.9K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	+$120	10-18 17:43
Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-23?	6	$3.9K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$120	09-21 23:06
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?	4	$3.9K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	+$132	09-26 13:34
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	2	$3.8K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	+$160	10-13 17:42
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?	2	$3.8K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	+$160	09-17 18:24
Will HB Køge win on 2026-09-22?	6	$3.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$160	09-21 23:19
Will France win on 2026-09-28?	18	$3.8K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	+$160	09-28 17:33
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?	1	$3.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$200	09-16 20:07
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-10-31?	1	$3.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$240	10-31 14:57
Will Wales win on 2026-09-24?	2	$3.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$240	09-23 20:53
Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-10-25?	4	$3.7K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	-$3,720	10-25 15:52
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-09?	80	$3.7K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$280	10-09 02:20
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-10-11?	1	$3.7K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$320	10-11 15:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 13:50:34	Spread: Hawks (-1.5)	Wizards	BUY	500	45¢	$225	0xd71b2b…
11-04 13:45:27	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xa04392…
11-04 13:36:25	Spread: Thunder (-2.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	500	49¢	$245	0x4b2761…
11-04 13:24:48	nba mil bos 2026 11 04 total 224pt5	Over	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xff973e…
11-04 13:24:48	nba mil bos 2026 11 04 total 224pt5	Over	BUY	185	46¢	$85	0xf8e134…
11-04 13:19:00	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xda62de…
11-04 13:18:58	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	269	50¢	$135	0x33b034…
11-04 13:17:30	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd2f56a…
11-04 13:17:28	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	221	50¢	$110	0xb8b4f8…
11-04 13:04:43	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1,026	64¢	$657	0xc00050…
11-04 13:02:48	Rolex Paris Masters (Doubles): Bolelli/Vavassori vs Cash/Nakashima	Cash/Nakashima	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0x34c2ba…
11-04 12:56:42	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3,000	40¢	$1,200	0x339283…
11-04 12:40:13	76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5	Under	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0xb609a6…
11-04 12:38:55	Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	370	56¢	$207	0x601c09…
11-04 12:38:52	Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	74	56¢	$42	0xbaaa38…
11-04 12:38:51	Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0xb36033…
11-04 12:38:51	Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0x9e1351…
11-04 12:38:51	Pacers vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	BUY	1,000	69¢	$690	0x8520f8…
11-04 12:13:09	76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5	Under	BUY	500	53¢	$265	0x798256…
11-04 11:59:37	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xcd91b3…
11-04 11:59:37	Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5)	Shanghai Shenhua FC	BUY	2,004	53¢	$1,062	0x233d5c…
11-04 11:53:22	Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Ignacio Buse (+1.5)	Ignacio Buse	BUY	2,638	36¢	$950	0xa5f2cd…
11-04 11:38:01	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x85faf4…
11-04 11:21:42	Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x11621d…
11-04 11:20:03	Spread: Hawks (-4.5)	Wizards	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0xc5cebf…
11-04 11:05:09	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien	Luca Van Assche	BUY	3,000	36¢	$1,080	0x52afa5…
11-04 10:47:06	Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	2,924	53¢	$1,550	0xba37a3…
11-04 10:46:55	Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	76	54¢	$41	0xf8b8ee…
11-04 10:14:43	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze	Elena Pridankina	BUY	3,000	36¢	$1,080	0x9d419c…
11-04 09:40:24	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	104	51¢	$53	0x33233c…
11-04 09:35:36	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x86429f…
11-04 08:43:19	FC Seoul vs. The Cong - Viettel FC: FC Seoul 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	73	53¢	$38	0x313a85…
11-04 08:43:18	Rolex Paris Masters (Doubles): Granollers/Zeballos vs Halys/Herbert	Granollers/Zeballos	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xaa1019…
11-04 08:26:52	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x65c601…
11-04 08:26:46	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xf3a0f3…
11-04 08:23:37	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	500	56¢	$280	0x8ce022…
11-04 08:22:55	Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Team Falcons	BUY	500	26¢	$130	0x76484f…
11-04 08:14:37	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	88	35¢	$31	0xe9150d…
11-04 08:13:49	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	1,319	10¢	$132	0x83123b…
11-04 08:04:00	Spread: Hornets (-3.5)	Nets	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xfa5ba2…
11-04 08:04:00	Spread: Hornets (-3.5)	Nets	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd28cbc…
11-04 08:04:00	Spread: Hornets (-3.5)	Nets	BUY	477	49¢	$234	0x93709b…
11-04 08:00:48	Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x61daf4…
11-04 07:41:31	Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3676bd…
11-04 07:33:45	PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3,000	49¢	$1,470	0x21266f…
11-04 07:30:21	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	58	44¢	$26	0xbce355…
11-04 07:28:48	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	87	50¢	$43	0x0460a1…
11-04 07:21:18	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0xe2615e…
11-04 07:19:24	Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: Kashima Antlers O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	445	41¢	$182	0xf94958…
11-04 07:05:07	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x255729…
11-04 07:04:24	cs2 navi fal2 2026 11 04 map handicap away 1pt5	Team Falcons	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xf11b15…
11-04 07:01:33	FC Pohang Steelers vs. Gamba Osaka: Gamba Osaka O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	61	48¢	$29	0x4b5f78…
11-04 06:48:19	FC Seoul vs. The Cong - Viettel FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9e9803…
11-04 06:47:12	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x17e97a…
11-04 06:42:55	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x32aa03…
11-04 06:34:57	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0x9265f1…
11-04 06:29:18	FC Seoul vs. The Cong - Viettel FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x16e833…
11-04 06:29:15	Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)	LYON	BUY	479	46¢	$220	0xf9a20c…
11-04 06:26:19	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	34	45¢	$15	0x9bd96d…
11-04 06:21:13	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf5c688…
11-04 06:14:57	PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: Club Brugge KV O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x91c0f9…
11-04 06:10:51	nba lal sac 2026 11 04 spread away 11pt5	Lakers	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0xa10ca8…
11-04 06:08:24	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x295548…
11-04 05:58:24	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0x8e4a6d…
11-04 05:56:39	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x2540d5…
11-04 05:53:21	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x979137…
11-04 05:52:21	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xc2f748…
11-04 05:50:12	Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)	LYON	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x34c140…
11-04 05:48:13	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xb60dcc…
11-04 05:42:16	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	52	56¢	$29	0xa9cf19…
11-04 05:39:31	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xd2e977…
11-04 05:36:30	Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Mavericks	BUY	422	50¢	$211	0x9d1919…
11-04 05:35:45	Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	BetBoom Team	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x5bfc8a…
11-04 05:35:10	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x859af7…
11-04 05:35:10	Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	BetBoom Team	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x74c2b7…
11-04 05:35:10	Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	BetBoom Team	BUY	66	36¢	$24	0x14a5db…
11-04 05:35:07	Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	BetBoom Team	BUY	77	36¢	$28	0xbe302c…
11-04 05:35:04	Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	BetBoom Team	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xf8e3e0…
11-04 05:35:04	Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	BetBoom Team	BUY	77	36¢	$28	0x31118a…
11-04 05:34:21	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x660f79…
11-04 05:32:36	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0x0a86b7…
11-04 05:29:22	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	494	64¢	$316	0x9720d9…
11-04 05:27:52	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xc611c8…
11-04 05:27:24	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0xb172f2…
11-04 05:27:15	Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5)	Alexander Zverev	BUY	117	45¢	$53	0xd06a11…
11-04 05:26:22	Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	BetBoom Team	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xf131f8…
11-04 05:25:52	PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: Club Brugge KV O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	190	51¢	$97	0x161972…
11-04 05:24:46	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0xdf455a…
11-04 05:16:42	Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	Liquid	BUY	290	60¢	$174	0x704b5d…
11-04 05:08:18	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	48	36¢	$17	0x573ae5…
11-04 05:07:33	Set Handicap: Leylah Fernandez (-1.5) vs Sofia Kenin (+1.5)	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xadb459…
11-04 05:05:10	Set Handicap: Leylah Fernandez (-1.5) vs Sofia Kenin (+1.5)	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0x8cdbb2…
11-04 05:03:51	Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5	Over	BUY	183	47¢	$86	0x0777a1…
11-04 04:59:58	cs2 tl1 bb3 2026 11 04 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x68f15f…
11-04 04:56:10	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xd12086…
11-04 04:38:49	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x8d5b69…
11-04 04:37:28	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x6e2fe2…
11-04 04:37:22	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x54f94a…
11-04 04:37:21	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x07e1f1…
11-04 04:37:19	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xd51a36…