Sorrowful-Sequel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$897

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

84.0%

Resolved

173

Trades

895

lifetime

Volume

$90.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

$33

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-13 07:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 70% +$205

Other

24% 68% -$437

Politics

19% 100% +$1,128

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in November?	Yes		+74	$42	44¢	$33	-$9	11-13 07:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	26	$7.0K	3,725	3,725	+0	No	+$258	03-26 01:33
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	26	$5.4K	3,355	3,355	+0	No	+$254	03-31 19:59
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	8	$4.5K	2,560	2,509	+51	No	+$210	06-23 14:35
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	17	$3.9K	4,403	4,403	+0	Yes	+$82	04-05 06:26
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	21	$3.7K	2,465	2,465	+0	Yes	-$355	03-30 13:48
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	2	$3.5K	1,913	1,913	+0	No	+$191	06-18 15:51
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	12	$3.0K	2,417	1,117	+1,300	No	+$208	03-21 13:18
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	9	$2.7K	1,417	1,417	+0	Yes	+$47	03-06 19:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	3	$2.5K	1,550	1,550	+0	Yes	+$428	06-14 21:35
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	15	$1.8K	1,019	1,019	+0	Yes	+$131	06-14 21:37
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	6	$1.6K	1,093	1,093	+0	Yes	+$217	03-17 00:08
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 30 april 5	3	$1.5K	800	797	+3	No	+$26	04-03 14:54
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	8	$1.5K	800	800	+0	No	+$30	06-26 15:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	6	$1.5K	950	950	+0	Yes	+$101	06-14 21:23
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	2	$1.5K	950	950	+0	Yes	+$133	04-05 23:15
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	5	$1.3K	793	793	+0	No	-$143	03-18 10:58
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	6	$1.3K	724	724	+0	No	+$42	03-26 22:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$1.3K	800	800	+0	No	-$16	07-01 14:38
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$1.3K	724	724	+0	No	+$149	03-31 13:10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	8	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	+$38	06-14 05:15
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	2	$1.3K	669	669	+0	Yes	+$27	03-05 14:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 11:45 UTC	8	$1.2K	669	668	+2	Down	-$35	03-18 11:58
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	2	$1.1K	900	900	+0	No	-$324	06-22 13:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 12:15 UTC	2	$1.1K	552	551	+1	Up	+$25	03-18 12:28
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	11	$967	600	600	+0	Over	+$55	06-23 17:38
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$949	500	500	+0	No	+$31	03-31 13:40
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	2	$930	500	500	+0	No	+$40	06-18 15:24
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	14	$867	504	504	+0	No	+$50	03-26 08:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	3	$865	649	300	+349	No	+$61	06-23 13:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 10:00 UTC	17	$812	451	450	+1	Up	+$33	03-16 10:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 07:01:25	Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	74	57¢	$42	0xee35dc…
11-12 04:50:24	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xd3ad58…
11-12 04:44:09	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0xfc3101…
11-12 04:44:07	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x9a6035…
11-12 04:41:33	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x203efd…
11-06 11:44:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0xee4782…
11-05 15:58:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?	No	BUY	86	13¢	$11	0x703ca2…
11-05 15:57:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?	No	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xa2e4e9…
11-04 04:00:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x236854…
11-01 16:49:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbb9d14…
11-01 16:49:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0xbb0a90…
11-01 10:27:15	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xa64981…
11-01 10:14:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xf8c635…
10-31 01:53:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x5ad1ad…
10-31 01:48:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x60530d…
10-24 12:55:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x3d6501…
10-24 09:29:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	39	24¢	$9	0x1d2cad…
10-15 14:30:05	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	39	53¢	$21	0xf7e893…
09-18 13:47:17	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	198	97¢	$192	0x83743a…
09-18 13:47:17	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x2c08f1…
09-08 15:57:45	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x2f19ea…
09-04 11:14:01	bitcoin above 80k on september 4 2026	Yes	SELL	189	88¢	$166	0x9bbb95…
09-04 11:13:55	bitcoin above 80k on september 4 2026	Yes	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0xdcaeed…
09-04 03:42:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x47d081…
09-04 03:41:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	400	59¢	$236	0x44cb4b…
09-03 14:28:45	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	380	94¢	$357	0x2cd657…
09-03 14:27:00	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x141654…
09-01 15:00:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	400	82¢	$328	0xea0f1e…
08-28 08:55:09	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x4cd362…
08-24 15:52:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?	No	BUY	186	83¢	$154	0x84bfa9…
08-24 15:49:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?	No	BUY	138	83¢	$115	0x9d0195…
08-24 15:07:55	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	174	97¢	$169	0x547064…
08-24 15:05:15	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	126	97¢	$122	0x629bed…
08-20 15:05:03	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	300	67¢	$201	0xea574f…
08-19 21:46:22	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	60	96¢	$57	0xdc0990…
08-19 21:46:16	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	140	96¢	$134	0x123170…
08-19 16:21:21	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	130	72¢	$94	0x03ec34…
08-19 16:21:01	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0x5df0a3…
08-19 16:20:46	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	54	72¢	$39	0x6d3c00…
08-19 15:40:18	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	SELL	300	31¢	$93	0x07da03…
08-19 15:06:22	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0x1c75de…
08-19 11:45:10	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0x95f224…
08-18 15:10:15	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x9c935c…
08-18 13:20:19	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026 from august 10	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$0	0x07dd61…
08-18 13:20:16	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026 from august 10	Yes	BUY	299	79¢	$237	0x80e62b…
08-18 10:41:43	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026 from august 10	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xce93ce…
08-18 10:32:10	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026 from august 10	Yes	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x9e4c72…
07-01 14:38:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	800	80¢	$640	0x79eff8…
06-30 22:20:11	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x6d136d…
06-30 22:20:10	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x032a47…
06-30 22:20:08	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x8a853c…
06-30 22:20:08	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x21c79d…
06-30 22:20:07	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0xfe04b4…
06-27 09:27:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	800	82¢	$656	0x1e8ac4…
06-27 04:39:28	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x7577e7…
06-27 04:22:53	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x8d0b28…
06-27 04:22:53	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	268	95¢	$255	0x377294…
06-27 04:22:32	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x4464bd…
06-27 04:22:25	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1c647b…
06-27 04:22:19	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x101092…
06-27 04:22:01	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xccffe7…
06-27 03:09:29	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0xfaa242…
06-27 03:09:16	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x37e4f6…
06-26 15:48:49	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	199	98¢	$196	0xb8eae6…
06-26 15:47:59	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xde33bd…
06-26 15:39:01	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x28095b…
06-26 15:37:58	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	204	98¢	$200	0x2219ca…
06-26 15:37:55	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	130	98¢	$128	0x41275f…
06-26 15:37:04	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	133	98¢	$131	0x0c592b…
06-26 14:12:12	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0xc266ed…
06-25 21:56:32	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x8ad757…
06-25 21:55:08	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x2b347f…
06-25 21:27:19	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x2fcd4a…
06-25 21:06:19	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0xae4d14…
06-25 17:10:16	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x92f2ae…
06-25 16:06:31	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x0bd99c…
06-25 15:25:23	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	800	94¢	$755	0x303e3e…
06-23 17:38:22	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x4aa94e…
06-23 17:38:20	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x4f03bf…
06-23 17:33:25	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xc511b5…
06-23 17:33:16	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x8691bc…
06-23 17:28:46	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0xe74035…
06-23 17:28:44	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	29	83¢	$24	0x60ba42…
06-23 17:22:44	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xc7aa8e…
06-23 17:20:44	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x0f1922…
06-23 17:20:43	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	145	79¢	$114	0xf888a2…
06-23 17:20:43	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	25	79¢	$20	0x495122…
06-23 17:20:14	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	177	78¢	$138	0xd7a2d0…
06-23 17:20:14	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xbdae0a…
06-23 17:20:07	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x8e3c13…
06-23 17:15:10	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x17f848…
06-23 17:09:43	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x16e344…
06-23 14:35:10	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xc447be…
06-23 14:32:14	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfcd58e…
06-23 13:46:56	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	349	89¢	$311	0xf91aa0…
06-22 13:49:47	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	900	44¢	$396	0x52234a…
06-22 13:46:50	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0xbb7ab1…
06-21 23:08:01	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x74d86a…
06-21 23:06:55	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x26b76a…
06-21 22:13:58	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xe23495…