Vivid-Plain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$424

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 09:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% $-8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$41	56	+56	Up	+$15	05-05 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$33	33	+33	Down	+$1	05-05 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$30	104	+104	Up	+$9	05-04 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$24	34	+34	Up	+$0	05-04 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$23	43	+43	Down	$-23	05-05 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$20	28	+28	Down	$-20	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$18	28	+28	Up	+$0	05-05 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$16	26	+26	open	—	05-05 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	3	$16	25	+25	Down	+$2	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$15	28	+28	Up	$-15	05-05 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$14	25	+25	Down	+$11	05-05 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$13	17	+17	open	—	05-05 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$13	18	+18	Down	+$5	05-05 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$13	25	+25	Down	+$13	05-05 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$11	20	+20	Up	$-1	05-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$9	17	+17	open	—	05-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$9	13	+13	Up	$-9	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$9	17	+17	open	—	05-05 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$9	18	+18	Up	+$9	05-05 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$8	20	+20	open	—	05-05 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$7	8	+8	Down	+$1	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$7	18	+18	Down	+$11	05-05 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$7	45	+45	Down	$-7	05-04 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$7	18	+18	Up	+$11	05-05 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$6	26	+26	Up	$-6	05-04 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-05 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	$-5	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 08:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 09:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x61d8a1…
05-05 09:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0x285e3f…
05-05 09:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xecacd9…
05-05 08:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x55a3fc…
05-05 08:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xc523a1…
05-05 08:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0ef82f…
05-05 08:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xa6d340…
05-05 08:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc11b7c…
05-05 08:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc11def…
05-05 07:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x9c71bc…
05-05 07:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x1b011a…
05-05 06:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x7609ef…
05-05 06:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xec453d…
05-05 06:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x8f7b5b…
05-05 06:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x52e4de…
05-05 06:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9625a9…
05-05 06:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xddafe4…
05-05 06:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe995b7…
05-05 05:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xcfae15…
05-05 04:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xadd121…
05-05 04:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0x1b1f62…
05-05 04:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xcb517d…
05-05 04:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xc4348f…
05-05 04:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x480d07…
05-05 04:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xc6193b…
05-05 04:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x3a480a…
05-05 03:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x3ca0bb…
05-05 03:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x98dc4e…
05-05 03:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x5f1022…
05-05 03:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0xc74ca3…
05-05 03:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xed9156…
05-05 02:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0x5354af…
05-05 02:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$5	0x32e6a1…
05-05 02:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x44b351…
05-05 02:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xd7a52e…
05-05 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x2281e7…
05-05 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$8	0xfc7e5a…
05-05 01:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x2a1cbd…
05-05 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0xa7b7f6…
05-05 01:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	35	67¢	$23	0x9dfb1f…
05-05 01:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	84¢	$18	0x9210d0…
05-05 01:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xaf5239…
05-05 00:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xd73514…
05-05 00:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2eee50…
05-05 00:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0xc39e65…
05-05 00:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x79c5e2…
05-05 00:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x07d153…
05-05 00:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x6c38a3…
05-05 00:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x0f87c0…
05-04 23:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x5d0117…
05-04 23:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0x6758f6…
05-04 23:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x7f1ff1…
05-04 23:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xe64c75…
05-04 23:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0xccf43a…
05-04 23:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xbdba51…
05-04 22:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x5f4a38…
05-04 22:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x94d987…
05-04 22:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x711372…
05-04 22:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0xb89ec1…
05-04 22:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xfd012b…
05-04 22:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0xad40f4…
05-04 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x74d5ab…
05-04 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xbe5f9f…
05-04 21:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$19	0x632f27…
05-04 21:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x39c4c2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	36	$5.00K	169	05-05 09:01
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	30	$1.99K	149	05-05 09:00
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	30	$1.87K	142	05-05 09:00
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	29	$1.51K	102	05-05 09:01
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	26	$5.57K	74	05-05 09:01
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	26	$3.59K	124	05-05 09:00
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	26	$1.62K	108	05-05 09:01
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	25	$2.91K	151	05-05 08:21