Realized P&L
+$2.89K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.60K
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved
1,534
Trades
8,483
lifetime
Volume
$164.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$4.79K
24 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 11-06 10:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
72% 20% +$3,773
Politics
25% 47% -$1,106
Sports
3% 44% +$253
Crypto
0% 50% -$31
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 589 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -174,590 -$4,969 2¢ $-3404 +$1,564 11-05 05:38
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -36,948 -$443 2¢ $-794 -$351 06-18 21:33
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,614 -$390 11¢ $-288 +$102 06-18 21:33
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -22,180 -$532 1¢ $-122 +$410 07-16 01:30
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -23,937 -$125 0¢ $-84 +$41 06-18 21:32
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? No +54 -$63 57¢ $31 +$94 10-04 17:06
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 6? Yes +124 $26 18¢ $23 -$3 11-06 14:15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? Yes +54 $11 42¢ $23 +$12 09-28 02:34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on November 6? Yes +188 $9 5¢ $10 +$1 11-06 14:13
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 6? Yes +212 $17 3¢ $7 -$11 11-06 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 6? No +60 $2 4¢ $2 +$0 11-06 13:49
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on November 6? Yes +210 $2 1¢ $2 $0 11-06 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6? No +652 $76 0¢ $1 -$75 11-06 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 6? Yes +91 $9 0¢ $0 -$9 11-06 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 6? Yes +207 $62 0¢ $0 -$62 11-06 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on November 6? Yes +200 $14 0¢ $0 -$14 11-06 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on November 6? Yes +288 $9 0¢ $0 -$9 11-06 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 6? Yes +80 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 6? Yes +124 $21 0¢ $0 -$21 11-06 06:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 6? Yes +121 $24 0¢ $0 -$24 11-06 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 6? Yes +81 $15 0¢ $0 -$15 11-06 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 6? Yes +35 $0 0¢ $0 $0 11-06 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on November 6? Yes +83 $14 0¢ $0 -$14 11-06 06:51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 6? Yes +45 $20 0¢ $0 -$20 11-06 04:52