Hilarious-Fraudster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.32K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.5%

Resolved

1,490

Trades

4,900

lifetime

Volume

$76.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 10-26 19:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 131 days

Categories

Other

54% 21% -$1,584

Sports

32% 18% -$1,873

Politics

12% 38% +$246

Tech

1% 18% -$30

Crypto

1% 20% -$75

Pop-Culture

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$1.3K	800	800	+0	No	-$7	05-27 16:05
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	4	$1.3K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$12	05-21 16:27
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	6	$1.2K	665	665	+0	Yes	+$7	05-21 15:05
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	20	$1.1K	701	701	+0	No	+$7	05-22 08:13
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	30	$1.1K	1,066	1,066	+0	Yes	+$110	08-06 05:22
will the announcers say assist during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023969	26	$942	577	577	+0	Yes	+$88	06-23 00:17
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	5	$933	468	768	-300	No	+$245	05-22 12:29
spx up or down on june 9 2026	4	$860	500	500	+0	Down	+$1	06-09 18:31
wti up or down on june 10 2026	4	$805	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$15	06-10 00:58
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	4	$761	500	500	+0	Karen Khachanov	+$71	09-09 22:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$716	800	800	+0	No	+$4	05-23 22:06
wti up or down on june 11 2026	6	$647	400	400	+0	Down	+$7	06-11 20:42
wti up or down on june 16 2026	15	$642	600	579	+21	Down	-$6	06-16 00:47
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	11	$612	500	500	+0	Yes	+$10	06-11 22:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	11	$592	500	500	+0	No	+$2	05-20 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?	11	$549	546	546	+0	Yes	$0	06-10 04:44
spx opens up or down on june 16 2026	11	$539	552	552	+0	Down	+$5	06-16 07:22
will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	4	$525	500	500	+0	Yes	+$5	06-09 00:29
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$522	320	320	+0	No	+$3	06-10 02:01
spy up or down on june 10 2026	6	$518	500	500	+0	Down	+$2	06-10 14:23
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	5	$516	300	550	-250	No	-$94	05-26 02:17
atp zverev halys 2026 09 03	4	$488	300	300	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$58	09-04 04:28
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	7	$460	459	459	+0	Yes	+$4	05-20 14:55
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	16	$456	748	748	+0	open	—	10-17 23:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$444	700	700	+0	No	+$0	05-17 05:27
will the announcers say captain during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914468	18	$438	400	400	+0	No	-$268	06-20 02:38
will the announcers say record during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023964	21	$419	324	324	+0	Yes	$0	06-23 01:24
will the announcers say ronaldo during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548690	2	$392	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-22 22:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	8	$379	405	405	+0	No	+$2	05-25 02:27
spy up or down on june 9 2026	7	$378	361	361	+0	Down	+$4	06-09 14:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:15:57	Will SZA headline Coachella 2027?	No	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x046830…
10-26 14:16:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	66	31¢	$20	0xde3451…
10-26 14:16:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x536e6a…
10-26 14:16:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	38	31¢	$12	0xbb519a…
10-26 14:16:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xe1b5d0…
10-26 04:05:41	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2800 and $4.2899 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x4ea159…
10-25 22:51:18	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2800 and $4.2899 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x13ba20…
10-25 21:51:56	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	18	75¢	$14	0x75a612…
10-25 21:51:56	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	62	75¢	$46	0x40eff9…
10-25 17:42:14	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x070f7d…
10-25 17:41:57	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 3 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x8a6627…
10-24 23:25:29	Spread: 76ers (-12.5)	76ers	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x123d03…
10-24 14:10:42	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x6896e7…
10-24 13:36:02	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	SELL	22	84¢	$18	0x457f8d…
10-24 13:34:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x8aa485…
10-24 13:34:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x0e73fe…
10-24 13:34:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0x48dfbf…
10-24 13:34:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	82	24¢	$20	0x6f6096…
10-23 19:13:48	Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Brandon Nakashima	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x41d8be…
10-23 18:46:47	Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Brandon Nakashima	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x3fe7c7…
10-23 15:52:39	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0x0a84a9…
10-23 15:23:11	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x28e211…
10-23 01:38:26	M25 Tamworth: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Enzo Aguiard	Enzo Aguiard	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x6495c1…
10-23 01:37:39	M25 Tamworth: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Enzo Aguiard	Enzo Aguiard	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x9c0711…
10-23 01:17:30	M25 Tamworth: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Enzo Aguiard	Enzo Aguiard	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0xd45530…
10-23 01:16:27	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x56af71…
10-22 22:39:17	M25 Tamworth: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Enzo Aguiard	Enzo Aguiard	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x106da3…
10-22 22:33:35	M25 Tamworth: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Enzo Aguiard	Enzo Aguiard	BUY	95	82¢	$78	0xbd7ed2…
10-22 22:33:33	M25 Tamworth: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Enzo Aguiard	Enzo Aguiard	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6d4d56…
10-22 21:30:36	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xdeb175…
10-22 21:30:15	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xb1b9c5…
10-22 21:28:27	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x545d3b…
10-22 21:21:26	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xf73b62…
10-22 21:02:23	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xd2534e…
10-22 21:02:23	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xbe058e…
10-22 20:50:15	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xcaba82…
10-22 20:48:48	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x396c3f…
10-22 20:48:47	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xb12d4f…
10-22 20:35:51	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x3ac5b1…
10-22 11:04:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x754be4…
10-21 22:40:20	Will "Yacht" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x79bcbf…
10-21 22:40:06	Will "Sharia" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xe489e0…
10-21 22:39:21	Will "Sharia" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xd22b63…
10-21 22:34:51	Will "Hasan" or "Piker" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x023c64…
10-21 22:00:21	Will "Canada" be said 3+ times during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	No	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xebc10d…
10-21 21:57:26	Will "Sharia" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x9333e7…
10-21 21:54:09	Will "Canada" be said 3+ times during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x5c0b49…
10-21 21:52:38	will sharia be said during the michigan us senate debate october 21	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xe13293…
10-21 21:48:30	Will "Yacht" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x3d041d…
10-21 21:48:21	Will "Canada" be said 3+ times during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xf0f5cf…
10-21 21:47:39	Will "Hasan" or "Piker" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x02054a…
10-21 20:52:27	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xcbe343…
10-21 20:51:36	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xf41459…
10-21 20:50:51	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xffb590…
10-21 18:56:51	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x1ac37f…
10-21 18:56:36	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 0 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x0f0fcd…
10-20 20:44:21	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 FC Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x7aff6f…
10-20 20:44:14	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x5a05b0…
10-20 20:44:00	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0xbef5df…
10-20 20:21:06	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 FC Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x632a1c…
10-20 19:43:29	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 FC Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x368eb4…
10-20 19:43:12	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 FC Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x65b064…
10-20 18:37:33	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x8c7dcd…
10-20 18:37:18	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbf97f0…
10-20 18:37:11	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xf01c0a…
10-20 18:36:38	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1433b9…
10-20 18:36:00	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7dfc25…
10-20 18:29:18	Cali: Completed Match: Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x3bba16…
10-20 10:54:38	Ningbo Open: Completed Match: Jelena Ostapenko vs Belinda Bencic	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x1fd620…
10-20 09:47:21	Japan Women's Open: Completed Match: Katerina Siniakova vs Peyton Stearns	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xaf1b21…
10-20 09:39:45	Lisbon: Completed Match: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin Tiffon	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x9fc4a7…
10-20 00:15:50	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x780e41…
10-19 23:33:26	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd7044f…
10-19 16:18:54	Florence: Completed Match: Michele Ribecai vs Jacopo Vasami	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x3be07c…
10-19 12:18:11	Lyon Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Kyrian Jacquet vs Michael Mmoh	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x95b42b…
10-19 05:15:44	wta mcnally kraus 2026 10 19 completed match	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xb4d457…
10-19 01:20:39	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	125	42¢	$52	0xbb796c…
10-19 01:08:35	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	25	42¢	$10	0x61e23d…
10-19 00:50:12	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x2854d9…
10-19 00:02:17	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x98e233…
10-18 22:21:54	Will Snowflake Q3 Product revenue be above $1.58B?	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$16	0x6af8fa…
10-18 22:07:35	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2900 and $4.2999 on October 19?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x628fab…
10-18 22:06:50	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2900 and $4.2999 on October 19?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x062ec1…
10-18 21:59:45	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2900 and $4.2999 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x09ba91…
10-18 20:37:00	will us gas price be between 4pt29 and 4pt30 on october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x74c6e4…
10-18 17:10:12	Cali, Colombia, Qualifying: Completed Match: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Mariano Kestelboim	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xc47d4f…
10-18 13:37:48	Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying: Completed Match: Joao Domingues vs Ivan Gakhov	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xc74f26…
10-18 12:00:51	Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying: Completed Match: Abdullah Shelbayh vs Pedro Rodenas	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xaff72f…
10-18 10:51:03	Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying: Completed Match: Olle Wallin vs Vasco Leote Prata	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xeeadd7…
10-18 08:50:12	atp sciahba siniako 2026 10 18 completed match	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xcebc0f…
10-18 05:50:36	wta kalinin sasnovi 2026 10 18 completed match	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xa01aaf…
10-18 03:51:57	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Daria Snigur vs Katarzyna Kawa	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x0573f6…
10-18 03:02:21	Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Taylah Preston vs Emerson Jones	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x5659c1…
10-18 02:42:54	atp shimizu kachmaz 2026 10 18 completed match	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xc46059…
10-18 02:07:18	Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x7f8414…
10-18 01:16:35	Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	45	72¢	$32	0x4497d9…
10-17 23:14:35	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0xc2f0c4…
10-17 22:38:32	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	31¢	$19	0xd004a7…
10-17 22:04:21	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	SELL	162	29¢	$47	0xc1de64…
10-17 20:05:00	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	28¢	$30	0x39910d…