Hilarious-Fraudster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.35K

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

46.5%

Resolved

1,528

Trades

4,952

lifetime

Volume

$77.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 11-06 17:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 143 days

Categories

Other

54% 22% -$1,619

Sports

32% 18% -$1,873

Politics

11% 38% +$246

Tech

1% 18% -$30

Crypto

1% 20% -$75

Pop-Culture

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No		+20	$18	14¢	$3	-$16	10-22 21:28
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No		+20	$8	4¢	$1	-$8	10-22 21:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$1.3K	800	800	+0	No	-$7	05-27 16:05
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	4	$1.3K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$12	05-21 16:27
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	6	$1.2K	665	665	+0	Yes	+$7	05-21 15:05
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	20	$1.1K	701	701	+0	No	+$7	05-22 08:13
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	30	$1.1K	1,066	1,066	+0	Yes	+$110	08-06 05:22
will the announcers say assist during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023969	26	$942	577	577	+0	Yes	+$88	06-23 00:17
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	5	$933	468	768	-300	No	+$245	05-22 12:29
spx up or down on june 9 2026	4	$860	500	500	+0	Down	+$1	06-09 18:31
wti up or down on june 10 2026	4	$805	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$15	06-10 00:58
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	4	$761	500	500	+0	Karen Khachanov	+$71	09-09 22:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$716	800	800	+0	No	+$4	05-23 22:06
wti up or down on june 11 2026	6	$647	400	400	+0	Down	+$7	06-11 20:42
wti up or down on june 16 2026	15	$642	600	579	+21	Down	-$6	06-16 00:47
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	11	$612	500	500	+0	Yes	+$10	06-11 22:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	11	$592	500	500	+0	No	+$2	05-20 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?	11	$549	546	546	+0	Yes	$0	06-10 04:44
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?	11	$539	552	552	+0	Down	+$5	06-16 07:22
will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	4	$525	500	500	+0	Yes	+$5	06-09 00:29
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$522	320	320	+0	No	+$3	06-10 02:01
spy up or down on june 10 2026	6	$518	500	500	+0	Down	+$2	06-10 14:23
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	5	$516	300	550	-250	No	-$94	05-26 02:17
atp zverev halys 2026 09 03	4	$488	300	300	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$58	09-04 04:28
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	7	$460	459	459	+0	Yes	+$4	05-20 14:55
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	16	$456	748	748	+0	open	—	10-17 23:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$444	700	700	+0	No	+$0	05-17 05:27
will the announcers say captain during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914468	18	$438	400	400	+0	No	-$268	06-20 02:38
will the announcers say record during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023964	21	$419	324	324	+0	Yes	$0	06-23 01:24
will the announcers say ronaldo during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548690	2	$392	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-22 22:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	8	$379	405	405	+0	No	+$2	05-25 02:27
spy up or down on june 9 2026	7	$378	361	361	+0	Down	+$4	06-09 14:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 17:35:25	Will "Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of November 3 - November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x8ee3d7…
11-06 17:04:04	Will "Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of November 3 - November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x96c0e4…
11-06 17:01:52	Will "Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of November 3 - November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xecc282…
11-06 17:00:42	Will "Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of November 3 - November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf2e3c0…
11-06 14:18:34	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xac6da5…
11-06 08:22:22	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0x9f89f2…
11-06 02:59:03	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xf2c107…
11-06 02:44:49	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x30b0ac…
11-06 02:42:55	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xc6949c…
11-01 16:31:16	Exact Score: Real Racing Club 0 - 3 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x2520d9…
11-01 15:21:24	Exact Score: Real Racing Club 0 - 3 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xbb4860…
11-01 15:21:12	Exact Score: Real Racing Club 0 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x5dde34…
11-01 15:20:31	Exact Score: Real Racing Club 1 - 5 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x505f27…
10-31 09:22:21	Will Pablo Tellez / Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Semifinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x64b599…
10-31 03:45:42	Will Anna Bright / Anna Leigh Waters advance to the Semifinals in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xdcc749…
10-30 14:17:57	Will Lacy Schneemann / Ting Chieh Wei advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xae3df6…
10-30 12:14:36	Will Christian Alshon advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x27c6b1…
10-30 03:17:51	Will Hong Kit Wong advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x75e0f9…
10-30 03:17:30	Will Cailyn Campbell advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xa54cda…
10-30 00:05:18	Will Isabella Dunlap advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xd8fb98…
10-30 00:02:48	Will Tyra Hurricane Black / Gabriel Tardio advance to the Final in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x0e62c0…
10-30 00:02:31	Will John Lucian Goins advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x3a4bf1…
10-29 23:29:04	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym	Ben Shelton	SELL	35	40¢	$14	0xc91a8f…
10-29 23:27:37	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym	Ben Shelton	BUY	70	12¢	$9	0xefe419…
10-29 23:05:49	Will Hunter Johnson advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xbb0fc0…
10-29 23:04:10	Will Chao Yi Wang / Layne Sleeth advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x95e0ae…
10-29 23:03:19	Will Tama Shimabukuro advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x1bccd3…
10-29 22:41:15	will tyra hurricane black gabriel tardio advance to the final in mixed doubles at the 2026 opendoor pickleball world championships	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xecdba5…
10-29 22:41:15	will tyra hurricane black gabriel tardio advance to the final in mixed doubles at the 2026 opendoor pickleball world championships	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x7c7d6f…
10-29 22:41:13	will pablo tellez roscoe bellamy advance to the semifinals in mens doubles at the 2026 opendoor pickleball world championships	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xbb91a3…
10-29 22:41:10	will john lucian goins advance to the final in mens singles at the 2026 opendoor pickleball world championships	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb33724…
10-29 22:41:09	will pablo tellez roscoe bellamy advance to the quarterfinals in mens doubles at the 2026 opendoor pickleball world championships	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x99fd6d…
10-29 22:41:09	will john lucian goins advance to the final in mens singles at the 2026 opendoor pickleball world championships	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x8e8c6a…
10-29 22:41:06	will cj klinger danni elle townsend advance to the round of 16 in mixed doubles at the 2026 opendoor pickleball world championships	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x0f7124…
10-29 22:38:55	will tyson mcguffin advance to the round of 16 in mens singles at the 2026 opendoor pickleball world championships	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xfa4284…
10-29 22:38:39	will eric oncins advance to the round of 16 in mens singles at the 2026 opendoor pickleball world championships	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x22b9d3…
10-29 22:34:27	Will Hunter Johnson advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x827de2…
10-29 22:33:06	Will Chao Yi Wang / Layne Sleeth advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x03304a…
10-29 22:30:40	will lacy schneemann ting chieh wei advance to the quarterfinals in womens doubles at the 2026 opendoor pickleball world championships	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x0185c8…
10-29 22:17:28	will hong kit wong advance to the semifinals in mens singles at the 2026 opendoor pickleball world championships	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x4b8421…
10-29 22:17:27	will tama shimabukuro advance to the final in mens singles at the 2026 opendoor pickleball world championships	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xae0b4e…
10-29 22:17:27	will isabella dunlap advance to the semifinals in womens singles at the 2026 opendoor pickleball world championships	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x499ab0…
10-29 22:17:27	will eric oncins advance to the quarterfinals in mens singles at the 2026 opendoor pickleball world championships	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x0f3c6b…
10-29 22:17:25	will cailyn campbell advance to the semifinals in womens singles at the 2026 opendoor pickleball world championships	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x1fad76…
10-29 22:11:16	Will Catherine Parenteau advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xd5d051…
10-29 21:54:34	will anna bright anna leigh waters advance to the semifinals in womens doubles at the 2026 opendoor pickleball world championships	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc25639…
10-29 21:42:58	will ben johns gabriel tardio advance to the final in mens doubles at the 2026 opendoor pickleball world championships	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xf765d3…
10-29 21:42:57	Will Christian Alshon advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x9566d1…
10-29 21:42:52	Will Catherine Parenteau advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x971914…
10-29 21:42:43	Will Christopher Haworth advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x7fc63e…
10-29 20:42:27	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	SELL	30	42¢	$13	0x8f9486…
10-29 20:02:30	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x8cfd43…
10-26 19:15:57	Will SZA headline Coachella 2027?	No	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x046830…
10-26 14:16:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	66	31¢	$20	0xde3451…
10-26 14:16:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x536e6a…
10-26 14:16:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	38	31¢	$12	0xbb519a…
10-26 14:16:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xe1b5d0…
10-26 04:05:41	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2800 and $4.2899 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x4ea159…
10-25 22:51:18	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2800 and $4.2899 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x13ba20…
10-25 21:51:56	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	18	75¢	$14	0x75a612…
10-25 21:51:56	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	62	75¢	$46	0x40eff9…
10-25 17:42:14	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x070f7d…
10-25 17:41:57	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 3 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x8a6627…
10-24 23:25:29	Spread: 76ers (-12.5)	76ers	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x123d03…
10-24 14:10:42	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x6896e7…
10-24 13:36:02	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	SELL	22	84¢	$18	0x457f8d…
10-24 13:34:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x8aa485…
10-24 13:34:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x0e73fe…
10-24 13:34:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0x48dfbf…
10-24 13:34:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	82	24¢	$20	0x6f6096…
10-23 19:13:48	Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Brandon Nakashima	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x41d8be…
10-23 18:46:47	Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Brandon Nakashima	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x3fe7c7…
10-23 15:52:39	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0x0a84a9…
10-23 15:23:11	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x28e211…
10-23 01:38:26	M25 Tamworth: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Enzo Aguiard	Enzo Aguiard	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x6495c1…
10-23 01:37:39	M25 Tamworth: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Enzo Aguiard	Enzo Aguiard	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x9c0711…
10-23 01:17:30	M25 Tamworth: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Enzo Aguiard	Enzo Aguiard	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0xd45530…
10-23 01:16:27	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x56af71…
10-22 22:39:17	M25 Tamworth: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Enzo Aguiard	Enzo Aguiard	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x106da3…
10-22 22:33:35	M25 Tamworth: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Enzo Aguiard	Enzo Aguiard	BUY	95	82¢	$78	0xbd7ed2…
10-22 22:33:33	M25 Tamworth: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Enzo Aguiard	Enzo Aguiard	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6d4d56…
10-22 21:30:36	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xdeb175…
10-22 21:30:15	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xb1b9c5…
10-22 21:28:27	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x545d3b…
10-22 21:21:26	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xf73b62…
10-22 21:02:23	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xd2534e…
10-22 21:02:23	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xbe058e…
10-22 20:50:15	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xcaba82…
10-22 20:48:48	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x396c3f…
10-22 20:48:47	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xb12d4f…
10-22 20:35:51	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x3ac5b1…
10-22 11:04:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x754be4…
10-21 22:40:20	Will "Yacht" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x79bcbf…
10-21 22:40:06	Will "Sharia" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xe489e0…
10-21 22:39:21	Will "Sharia" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xd22b63…
10-21 22:34:51	Will "Hasan" or "Piker" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x023c64…
10-21 22:00:21	Will "Canada" be said 3+ times during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	No	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xebc10d…
10-21 21:57:26	Will "Sharia" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x9333e7…
10-21 21:54:09	Will "Canada" be said 3+ times during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x5c0b49…
10-21 21:52:38	will sharia be said during the michigan us senate debate october 21	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xe13293…