Specific-Environment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$171

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved

1,093

Trades

1,684

lifetime

Volume

$61.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-30 23:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 200 days

Categories

Other

100% 94% +$171

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	46	$6.1K	3,112	3,054	+58	No	+$7	03-10 09:04
highest temperature in shanghai on march 19 2026 4corbelow	4	$628	316	316	+0	No	+$3	03-18 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or below on August 9?	13	$487	300	190	+110	No	-$2	08-09 00:46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on September 12?	1	$463	464	0	+464	No	+$0	09-10 23:05
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 13?	1	$463	464	0	+464	No	+$1	09-13 00:10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on September 10?	1	$463	463	0	+463	No	+$0	09-08 22:32
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 9?	1	$461	462	0	+462	No	+$0	10-08 01:36
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on September 1?	1	$461	461	0	+461	No	+$0	08-31 05:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on October 1?	1	$460	461	0	+461	No	+$0	09-30 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C or below on October 21?	2	$460	460	0	+460	No	+$0	10-21 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 29?	1	$460	460	0	+460	No	+$0	09-28 23:24
highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 11c	6	$449	226	226	+0	No	+$2	03-20 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on October 12?	1	$386	387	0	+387	No	+$0	10-11 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or below on September 3?	3	$364	365	0	+365	No	+$0	09-02 10:47
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 19?	1	$364	364	0	+364	No	+$0	10-19 00:31
highest temperature in paris on october 18 2026 7corbelow	2	$363	364	0	+364	No	+$0	10-16 23:40
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 8?	2	$363	363	0	+363	No	+$0	09-07 01:00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or below on August 28?	1	$343	343	0	+343	No	+$0	08-27 01:08
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C or higher on August 30?	2	$320	320	0	+320	No	+$0	08-29 12:02
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 6?	1	$311	313	0	+313	No	+$2	08-04 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or below on September 16?	1	$310	311	0	+311	No	+$0	09-15 23:06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on September 26?	2	$310	310	0	+310	No	+$0	09-25 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 27?	2	$309	310	0	+310	No	+$0	10-25 22:53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on October 14?	1	$309	309	0	+309	No	+$0	10-13 05:46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or below on August 23?	1	$306	306	0	+306	No	+$0	08-22 00:14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 44°C or higher on June 26?	2	$287	194	94	+100	No	+$2	06-26 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 14?	3	$286	173	114	+58	No	$0	05-14 12:35
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 12c	2	$274	139	139	+0	No	+$4	03-20 08:39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 25?	2	$270	266	5	+261	No	+$1	05-25 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or below on May 24?	1	$269	270	0	+270	No	+$1	05-22 22:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 7°C or below on November 1?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x51ab02…
10-30 05:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$50	0x19963e…
10-30 05:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on October 31?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x278f4d…
10-29 06:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on October 30?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x08de66…
10-28 00:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xb8cdc1…
10-27 23:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x3ae7ca…
10-27 23:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5a48bd…
10-27 11:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 29?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x5f490f…
10-25 22:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0xbd9943…
10-25 22:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xb3c323…
10-25 22:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcf8005…
10-25 02:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 25?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x70f348…
10-25 02:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 26?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x98a786…
10-25 01:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe66f66…
10-25 01:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$253	0x839a74…
10-23 10:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C or below on October 24?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0x29e803…
10-23 10:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on October 24?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$215	0x54b9d6…
10-21 06:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	364	100¢	$364	0x600737…
10-19 23:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xf24eff…
10-19 00:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	364	100¢	$364	0xb23ad9…
10-18 09:20:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on October 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x11015d…
10-16 23:40:00	highest temperature in paris on october 18 2026 7corbelow	No	BUY	310	100¢	$309	0x53891a…
10-16 12:58:22	highest temperature in paris on october 18 2026 7corbelow	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xedbec9…
10-15 22:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on October 17?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xba343a…
10-15 03:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 9°C or below on October 16?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe1648d…
10-15 03:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on October 16?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfb623b…
10-15 03:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on October 16?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb49b88…
10-13 23:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or below on October 15?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xbe7aa7…
10-13 22:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or below on October 15?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xff614d…
10-13 05:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	309	100¢	$309	0x6583be…
10-13 05:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x00133f…
10-13 05:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 13?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xb62e8e…
10-11 10:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C or below on October 13?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x51eb52…
10-11 10:29:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	387	100¢	$386	0xbca4b4…
10-08 01:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 9?	No	BUY	462	100¢	$461	0x1474e8…
10-07 02:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on October 7?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x762763…
10-06 10:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 7?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xc0e5e9…
10-05 23:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on October 7?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2067b9…
10-05 23:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C or below on October 7?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x551f72…
10-05 22:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on October 7?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x49e23c…
10-05 22:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C or below on October 7?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x892963…
10-04 08:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on October 5?	No	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0xe1d1b2…
10-04 08:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x909ab1…
10-04 08:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on October 6?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3438cc…
10-04 08:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on October 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x319509…
09-30 04:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on October 1?	No	BUY	461	100¢	$460	0xeb1467…
09-28 23:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 29?	No	BUY	460	100¢	$460	0x9a80a8…
09-28 13:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 28?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xfbc43e…
09-28 10:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe19495…
09-28 10:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 28?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x1ddb11…
09-27 10:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 28?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5bc2e1…
09-26 23:57:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on September 28?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$235	0xc37780…
09-26 23:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xad3426…
09-26 23:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x001481…
09-26 23:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x770c99…
09-26 23:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 27?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa8146f…
09-26 12:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 28?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x1090de…
09-26 12:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on September 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x403a33…
09-26 12:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on September 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x060810…
09-25 10:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on September 26?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x0c8b97…
09-25 10:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on September 26?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x6170a0…
09-24 01:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 25?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x7a118a…
09-23 23:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2522e7…
09-23 23:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 24?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x2af936…
09-22 22:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on September 24?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0xc17611…
09-21 23:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcc7eb1…
09-21 23:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x90ada5…
09-21 23:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 23?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x788f72…
09-21 23:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 23?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x250e68…
09-21 23:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C or below on September 23?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0xc42c9e…
09-21 23:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 23?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7af771…
09-20 22:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or below on September 22?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0x4f6a52…
09-19 23:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0xd57fad…
09-18 23:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on September 20?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$252	0x4815a1…
09-17 22:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or higher on September 19?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x3c939a…
09-17 06:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on September 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd21ad6…
09-16 13:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x11ac21…
09-15 23:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or below on September 16?	No	BUY	311	100¢	$310	0x218902…
09-13 23:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0x6a9fd7…
09-13 23:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0x065484…
09-13 00:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	464	100¢	$463	0xd71b86…
09-10 23:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on September 12?	No	BUY	464	100¢	$463	0x96edbb…
09-08 22:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on September 10?	No	BUY	463	100¢	$463	0x14234f…
09-07 01:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$253	0x6d758d…
09-06 11:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x7c0dfd…
09-05 23:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd5829e…
09-04 01:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x4f5bcd…
09-03 22:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 5?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xf7ada6…
09-03 22:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x53dd83…
09-02 12:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x649d34…
09-02 10:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x117456…
09-02 10:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac39b1…
09-02 10:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4b2f9…
09-02 05:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	345	100¢	$344	0x1c2590…
09-02 05:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x55d77e…
08-31 05:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on September 1?	No	BUY	461	100¢	$461	0xe5a13d…
08-29 12:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x2adb64…
08-29 12:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5839f8…
08-28 06:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 29?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x31cb82…
08-27 01:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	343	100¢	$343	0xfd1fbd…