Will the highest temperature in Paris be 4°C or below on November 6?
No won
Total volume
$1,343
Trades
49
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-11-06
First seen
2026-11-04
last 11-06 01:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $9
vs crowd: 0% YES on $1.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $0 | $588 | $588 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $2 | $568 | $566 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $0 | $146 | $146 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $0 | $9 | $9 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $300 | $300 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | $351 | $351 |
| Median | 11 | $0 | $146 | $146 |
| Below median | 4 | $0 | $236 | $236 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $279 | $279 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 16 | 11-05 16:38 |
| Specific-Environment 0x5b88…9d30 | No | +352 | $351 | $351 | 2 | 11-04 23:47 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +300 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 11-04 08:54 |
| Worthwhile-Kingdom 0xbe0a…eed1 | No | +279 | $279 | $279 | 1 | 11-05 10:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x324c…557a | No | +217 | $217 | $217 | 1 | 11-04 23:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xbfbe…da52 | Yes | +75 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-05 11:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | +68 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-06 01:59 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +59 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-04 08:54 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-04 08:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x04bc…80db | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 11-04 23:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b66…28c0 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 11-05 01:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x77ca…e273 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-04 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x0223…3674 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 11-05 00:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xb352…71f3 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 11-04 23:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3e9…b640 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 11-05 00:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x713b…7dfa | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 11-05 01:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x6dd4…b333 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 11-04 23:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a94…e5e4 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 11-05 01:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x617a…0987 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 11-04 23:40 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-04 08:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xe73a…2335 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-04 08:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x496f…9df6 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-05 02:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-04 08:54 |
| Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-05 11:17 |
| Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-05 16:38 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-04 08:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-05 16:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-05 16:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-06 01:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0310c7… |
| 11-06 01:59:03 | Helpful-Fatigues 0x9bb2…21cb | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x0310c7… |
| 11-06 01:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0310c7… |
| 11-05 16:38:15 | (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbae569… |
| 11-05 16:38:15 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x6754db… |
| 11-05 16:38:15 | Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xbae569… |
| 11-05 16:38:15 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6754db… |
| 11-05 16:38:15 | (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6754db… |
| 11-05 11:17:31 | Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb875a6… |
| 11-05 11:17:31 | (anonymous) 0xbfbe…da52 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb875a6… |
| 11-05 10:02:19 | Worthwhile-Kingdom 0xbe0a…eed1 | No | BUY | 279 | 100¢ | $279 | 0x7123cf… |
| 11-05 10:02:19 | (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | BUY | 279 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7123cf… |
| 11-05 02:05:25 | (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x720b0a… |
| 11-05 02:05:25 | (anonymous) 0x496f…9df6 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x720b0a… |
| 11-05 01:17:15 | (anonymous) 0x3b66…28c0 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xf0f9cf… |
| 11-05 01:17:15 | (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf0f9cf… |
| 11-05 01:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1b426e… |
| 11-05 01:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x3a94…e5e4 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x1b426e… |
| 11-05 01:07:54 | (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2f5477… |
| 11-05 01:07:54 | (anonymous) 0x713b…7dfa | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x2f5477… |
| 11-05 00:07:43 | (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e5674… |
| 11-05 00:07:43 | (anonymous) 0x0223…3674 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x9e5674… |
| 11-05 00:06:46 | (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe6c7b6… |
| 11-05 00:06:46 | (anonymous) 0xb3e9…b640 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xe6c7b6… |
| 11-04 23:47:19 | Specific-Environment 0x5b88…9d30 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x0627b0… |
| 11-04 23:47:19 | (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0627b0… |
| 11-04 23:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x04bc…80db | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xc72bd9… |
| 11-04 23:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc72bd9… |
| 11-04 23:42:06 | (anonymous) 0x6dd4…b333 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xc05c83… |
| 11-04 23:42:06 | (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc05c83… |
| 11-04 23:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x617a…0987 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x48a4b4… |
| 11-04 23:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x48a4b4… |
| 11-04 23:37:03 | (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x87a1be… |
| 11-04 23:37:03 | (anonymous) 0xb352…71f3 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x87a1be… |
| 11-04 23:31:36 | (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | BUY | 251 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeeb712… |
| 11-04 23:31:36 | Specific-Environment 0x5b88…9d30 | No | BUY | 251 | 100¢ | $251 | 0xeeb712… |
| 11-04 23:03:31 | (anonymous) 0x324c…557a | No | BUY | 217 | 100¢ | $217 | 0xcee4be… |
| 11-04 23:03:31 | (anonymous) 0x6c9b…994d | Yes | BUY | 217 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcee4be… |
| 11-04 08:54:03 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0x7378c0… |
| 11-04 08:54:03 | (anonymous) 0xbfbe…da52 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7378c0… |
| 11-04 08:54:03 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7378c0… |
| 11-04 08:54:03 | (anonymous) 0xe73a…2335 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7378c0… |
| 11-04 08:54:03 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7378c0… |
| 11-04 08:54:03 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7378c0… |
| 11-04 08:54:03 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7378c0… |
| 11-04 08:54:03 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7378c0… |
| 11-04 08:54:03 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7378c0… |
| 11-04 06:04:10 | Helpful-Fatigues 0x9bb2…21cb | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xcbd692… |
| 11-04 06:04:10 | (anonymous) 0x77ca…e273 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcbd692… |